International visitor numbers to Dubai are increasing. Reuters
International visitor numbers to Dubai are increasing. Reuters
International visitor numbers to Dubai are increasing. Reuters
International visitor numbers to Dubai are increasing. Reuters

International visitor numbers to Dubai grow at start of 2019


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The total number of international guests who visited Dubai during first two months of 2019 grew by 90,000 compared to same period of 2018, according to data published by the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing on its website.

Some 3.14 million foreign tourists visited Dubai in January to February this year compared to 3.05 million in the same period last year, 3.01 million in 2017 and 2.68 million in 2016, respectively.

Western Europe topped the source of foreign visitors at 22 per cent of the total, with the GCC next at 18 per cent and South East Asia at 17 per cent.

Of individual countries, India was the primary source of guests at 386,000, a drop of 9 per cent over the same period last year, while the number of visitors from the UK rose 4 per cent, those from Germany increased 11 per cent and from the US the number was up 4 per cent.

Oman led the way in terms of percentage increase with 25 per cent more visitors from the country in January to February (175,000) compared to the corresponding period last year.
The average occupancy rate for hotel establishments in the period came in at 84 per cent, compared with 87 per ent last year.
Revenue per available room was Dh432 in the January to February period, down from Dh501m last year, while the average daily room rate was Dh513 compared to Dh574 in 2018.

The tourism department's latest figures come after the Global Wealth Migration Report for 2019, developed by AfrAsia Bank and New World Wealth, last week revealed that Dubai attracted more than 1,000 millionaires from outside the country last year, surpassing major cities like Los Angeles, Melbourne, Miami, New York, San Francisco and Sydney.

The report described Dubai as the most prominent financial centre in the Middle East, and one of the safest cities in the region as well as a popular destination for high net worth individuals (HNWIs) and wealthy expatriates, according to state news agency WAM. The report also said that Dubai is an example of the power that business incentives have in encouraging business formation.

Approximately 2,000 HNWIs, each with at least $1 million worth of net assets, moved into the UAE in 2018, boosting the local economy. The number of affluent migrants in the UAE rose by 2 per cent in 2018, compared to the previous year, according to the report.

It added that globally approximately 108,000 millionaires migrated in 2018, compared to 95,000 in 2017. China saw a mass exodus of 15,000 millionaires in 2018, the most significant of any country in the world, followed by Russia, which saw about 7,000 millionaires leave. India said farewell to 5,000 millionaires, while Turkey lost 4,000, and 3,000 millionaires each migrated from France and the UK.

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Countries offering golden visas

UK
Innovator Founder Visa is aimed at those who can demonstrate relevant experience in business and sufficient investment funds to set up and scale up a new business in the UK. It offers permanent residence after three years.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

How has net migration to UK changed?

The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.

It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.

The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.

The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.

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