Houthis take part in a parade in Sanaa, Yemen. The Iran-backed group has launched attacks in the Red Sea following the outbreak of the war in Gaza. EPA
Houthis take part in a parade in Sanaa, Yemen. The Iran-backed group has launched attacks in the Red Sea following the outbreak of the war in Gaza. EPA
Houthis take part in a parade in Sanaa, Yemen. The Iran-backed group has launched attacks in the Red Sea following the outbreak of the war in Gaza. EPA
Houthis take part in a parade in Sanaa, Yemen. The Iran-backed group has launched attacks in the Red Sea following the outbreak of the war in Gaza. EPA

Houthi Red Sea threat brings new front to Israel-Gaza war


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US President Joe Biden's administration on Thursday imposed sanctions on 13 people and entities over claims they provided “tens of millions of dollars” in Iran-linked funds to the Houthi rebels in Yemen.

These are the first Houthi-targeted sanctions issued by Washington since the start of the Israel-Gaza war, which has led to an eruption of activity among Tehran's proxies in the wider region.

“The Houthis continue to receive funding and support from Iran, and the result is unsurprising: unprovoked attacks on civilian infrastructure and commercial shipping, disrupting maritime security and threatening international commercial trade,” Brian Nelson, undersecretary of the treasury for terrorism and financial intelligence, said in a statement.

The US and its allies are working to counter a mounting threat in the Red Sea from the Iran-backed Houthis – a new development related to the war in Gaza that could affect international trade.

Missiles and drones launched from Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen were aimed at three ships in the southern Red Sea on Sunday, the US military said.

The simultaneous attack followed Houthi drone and missile attacks last month on the Israeli port city of Eilat, which is adjacent to Aqaba in Jordan and Egyptian resorts.

The US Treasury Department on Thursday said US warships “have had to respond in self-defence to missile attacks from the Houthis”.

“Such actions further regional instability and risk broadening the conflict between Israel and Hamas,” it said.

The conflict also risks disrupting international trade, as the area is a major maritime route for oil and other goods.

“We are looking at a major externality of the Gaza war that could cripple international trade,” Jordanian security specialist Saud Al Sharafat told The National. “There is no immediate response to it."

In addition to shipping, Houthi missile and drone capabilities pose an “imminent threat” to three bases used by US troops in southern Jordan, he said.

Despite the US announcement that a new naval task force could be set up to protect commercial shipping in the Red Sea, the Houthis can still expand their attacks, encouraging armed groups in countries including Somalia to join in, said Mr Al Sharafat, who leads the Shorufat Centre for Globalisation and Terrorism Studies in Amman.

There is unlikely to be a major US response, which aids the Houthi strategy of increasing attacks, he said. America is stretched in Ukraine and is “trying to restrain Israel”, he said.

Washington instead responded on Thursday with sanctions on several people and entities reportedly linked to Iran.

The targets of Thursdays sanctions included Iran-based Houthi financial facilitator Said Al Jamal, who the Treasury alleges “has for years relied on an array of exchange houses, both in Yemen and abroad, to remit the proceeds of Iranian commodity sales to the Houthi movement”.

Bilal Hudroj of the Lebanon-based Hodroj Exchange was also on the list for working “with Al Jamal to make financial transfers to Houthi officials in Yemen”.

“Hudroj and Hodroj Exchange have sent millions of dollars and euros to Yemeni exchange houses aligned with Al Jamal. At least some of these payments were made in direct co-ordination with senior Houthi members,” the Treasury said.

Shortly after the Israel-Gaza war broke out on October 7, the Houthis announced their intention to stop Israeli ships from travelling across the Red Sea. But attacks by the rebels have mostly targeted non-Israeli maritime traffic.

About 10 per cent of annual global trade passes across the Red Sea. A senior executive at a regional cargo company expected Arab Red Sea ports to be affected.

“For now the Houthis are saying take notice we are here. But the longer the Gaza war goes on, its impact will be more unpredictable,” he said.

“The Israelis will be the least affected because their main ports are on the Mediterranean. Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Egypt will feel the impact.”

A ship anchored off Al Salif port on the Red Sea in the province of Hodeidah, Yemen. EPA
A ship anchored off Al Salif port on the Red Sea in the province of Hodeidah, Yemen. EPA

On Wednesday, Reuters reported that Saudi Arabia asked Washington to respond with restraint to the Houthi attacks on ships, a move a Jordanian source said reflected a desire by the kingdom and other Arab countries to deal deftly with the threat.

“No one wants an escalation that could result in the Houthis closing the Bab Al Mandeb, or mount a replica of the Aramco attack,” he said.

In 2019, a drone attack on Aramco sites in Saudi Arabia claimed by the Houthis caused a major disruption to oil production and soured ties between the kingdom and Washington.

US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Washington and its allies discussed having a naval escort force in the Red Sea.

Officials in Egypt said the country relayed its intention to join the naval task force, while maintaining communication channels with the Houthis.

The security and revenue of the Suez Canal, an international waterway that links the northern reaches of the Red Sea to the Mediterranean, is at stake for Egypt. A disruption of traffic through the canal would affect global trade and rob Egypt of nearly $10 billion in annual hard currency revenue.

One official said senior intelligence officers were recently in contact with Houthi officials to gauge the intentions of the group amid the war in Gaza.

“We have no way of influencing their decisions, but we want to familiarise ourselves with their thinking and to gauge their intentions,” the official told The National.

Gen Mohsen Al Daary, defence minister of the Houthi-led government, visited Egypt in May and met Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and the country's Defence Minister Gen Mohamed Zaki.

Egypt has also intensified communication with Iran to prevent the escalation of the Gaza war into a full-fledged regional conflict, the official said.

Early in the war, two drones fired by the Houthis towards Israel fell short of their intended targets and hit Egypt’s Red Sea towns of Taba and Noweiba, on the Gulf of Aqaba.

Farzin Nadhimi, a specialist on Iran's naval capabilities at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said the US idea of a naval task force would need a clear mission to protect ships and the power to take defensive actions.

This would, he said, contrast with a 2022 formation, called Task Force 153 that “lacked a strong mandate and rules of engagement”.

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What is the Supreme Petroleum Council?

The Abu Dhabi Supreme Petroleum Council was established in 1988 and is the highest governing body in Abu Dhabi’s oil and gas industry. The council formulates, oversees and executes the emirate’s petroleum-related policies. It also approves the allocation of capital spending across state-owned Adnoc’s upstream, downstream and midstream operations and functions as the company’s board of directors. The SPC’s mandate is also required for auctioning oil and gas concessions in Abu Dhabi and for awarding blocks to international oil companies. The council is chaired by Sheikh Khalifa, the President and Ruler of Abu Dhabi while Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, Abu Dhabi’s Crown Prince and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, is the vice chairman.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
The biog:

Languages: Arabic, Farsi, Hindi, basic Russian 

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Favourite bike: Gold Wing, Honda

Favourite biking destination: Canada 

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Education reform in Abu Dhabi

 

The emirate’s public education system has been in a constant state of change since the New School Model was launched in 2010 by the Abu Dhabi Education Council. The NSM, which is also known as the Abu Dhabi School Model, transformed the public school curriculum by introducing bilingual education starting with students from grades one to five. Under this new curriculum, the children spend half the day learning in Arabic and half in English – being taught maths, science and English language by mostly Western educated, native English speakers. The NSM curriculum also moved away from rote learning and required teachers to develop a “child-centered learning environment” that promoted critical thinking and independent learning. The NSM expanded by one grade each year and by the 2017-2018 academic year, it will have reached the high school level. Major reforms to the high school curriculum were announced in 2015. The two-stream curriculum, which allowed pupils to elect to follow a science or humanities course of study, was eliminated. In its place was a singular curriculum in which stem -- science, technology, engineering and maths – accounted for at least 50 per cent of all subjects. In 2016, Adec announced additional changes, including the introduction of two levels of maths and physics – advanced or general – to pupils in Grade 10, and a new core subject, career guidance, for grades 10 to 12; and a digital technology and innovation course for Grade 9. Next year, the focus will be on launching a new moral education subject to teach pupils from grades 1 to 9 character and morality, civic studies, cultural studies and the individual and the community.

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