Lebanon’s army commander in chief has at one stage indicated he was prepared to step down over the adopted process for drafting and implementing a plan to disarm Hezbollah, security sources in Beirut told The National on Friday.
The army has been tasked with drawing up a plan to dismantle the once-dominant force in Lebanon by this Sunday, and to implement it by the end of the year.
The army chief has argued that he does not want his institution to find itself confronting Hezbollah directly, according to the sources.
“The army is not happy with the process, and Brig Gen Rodolphe Haykal has at some point threatened to resign,” a security official with direct knowledge of the matter said. The source didn't specify when the warning was made.
“He wants the government to pursue a comprehensive agreement and avoid putting the army in a direct confrontation with the group and other factions in Lebanon,” he added.
US envoys Tom Barrack and Morgan Ortagus stunned Lebanese officials this week when they said they could not guarantee any Israeli de-escalation before the army announces its plan and begins collecting Hezbollah’s weapons.
The Lebanese government, despite resistance from Shiite ministers, voted to proceed with Hezbollah’s disarmament and tasked the army with drawing up a plan, expecting a reciprocal step from Israel that never came.
Hezbollah insists that Israel must first withdraw from the south and halt its attacks before any discussion of disarmament can begin. The US, however, has warned that Lebanon will receive neither financial assistance nor restored relations unless it moves ahead now and dismantles the group.
A government source told The National the army is still “expected” to submit the disarmament plan, downplaying any tensions. “We’re now waiting for the army. The [government] session is scheduled for Tuesday for the army to deliver the plan. There is no disagreement, and they are ready,” the source said.
The army did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
However, it stated in a press release on Friday that it is "carrying out its missions with the highest levels of responsibility, professionalism, and commitment to the security and internal stability of the nation, in accordance with the decision of the political authority and in fulfilment of its duty, no matter how great the challenges may be".
Preservation of civil peace
Hours later, the army chief held an unscheduled meeting with unit and operational regiment commanders, along with several officers. The meeting reviewed the latest developments facing Lebanon and the army “during this exceptional period, amid Israeli violations and attacks,” according to a statement published by state media.
“The army is shouldering major responsibilities at all levels and is entering a sensitive phase in which it will undertake delicate missions," warned General Haykal.
"It will take the necessary steps to ensure the success of its mission, while taking into account the preservation of civil peace and internal stability," he stated.
“We have made great sacrifices and offered martyrs in the line of our national duty, and nothing will deter us from continuing to bear our responsibility across all regions and along the borders."
He also said that the army is maintaining "the necessary communication" with the Syrian authorities regarding control of the northern and eastern borders "as this serves a common interest".
“The army command continues its efforts to strengthen the institution’s capabilities and improve the conditions of its soldiers, relying on its own resources as well as the support of brotherly and friendly nations," he added.
Lebanon, battered by war, is in urgent need of financial aid to recover from the devastating conflict Hezbollah fought with Israel, and lost.
The army is being tasked with securing the borders with Israel and Syria, maintaining security inside the country, and collecting Hezbollah’s weapons. It has also been tasked with collecting arms from Palestinian factions at twelve refugee camps.
“If the army agrees to deliver a plan merely to let the government claim it has achieved something, it would be handing over an incomplete framework. We are talking about dismantling a mini-state," added the security source.
While the US envoys delivered a harsh reality check to Lebanese leaders, they also offered incentives to push the army into moving forward with a disarmament plan. Senator Lindsey Graham, who was also in Beirut, even hinted at the possibility of a military pact between Lebanon and the United States.
“They also floated the idea of indirect US military involvement in the disarmament process, and conveyed an Israeli message that they would be willing to assist the army with intelligence to carry out the task,” one security official explained.
“Even if Hezbollah wanted to disarm, it could not do so without Iran’s green light. Tehran would need something in return – and Hezbollah, for its part, wants guarantees for its future, the future of its fighters, and its community.”
Critical days
During the last war between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese army largely stayed on the sidelines, watching as battles raged along the border. It was not the first time the national army found itself reduced to a bystander in its own country’s conflict.
The army is one of Lebanon’s most trusted institutions, often described as the only body that bridges the nation’s sectarian and political divides. Yet it has been crippled by five years of economic collapse, left with an ageing arsenal, no air defences, and little capacity to confront a modern, well-equipped military like Israel’s.
By contrast, Hezbollah looms large both militarily and politically. While the Lebanese army fields about 80,000 troops, Hezbollah claimed before the war with Israel that it had more than 100,000 fighters and commanders, and a far more advanced arsenal built with Iranian backing. The imbalance has left the army militarily overshadowed and politically constrained.
“There is more pressure now on Lebanon because Israel believes Hezbollah is beginning to recover from the loss of its leaders and more than half of its arsenal. They see urgency in building on the momentum and pushing forward with disarmament,” explained one of the officials.
Lebanon is bracing for major developments in the coming days. The army must have its disarmament plan by Sunday, the same day Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri, a Hezbollah ally, is expected to deliver a highly anticipated speech. Two days later, on Tuesday, the government will review the army’s plan.
“These are critical days,” warned one of the security sources.
Military expert and retired Brig Gen Ali Abi Raad said he was confident "the army will not clash with Hezbollah, or with anyone else, nor with the people," praising Gen Haikal as "pragmatic, patriotic and dynamic."
He added that "the outcome will be through a particular kind of arrangement, such as proposing to open dialogue. It could be part of the army's plan".
"No plan, whatever its form, can be implemented except through dialogue with the concerned side, regarding the method of handover, the method of storage, and how the process will take place. This cannot be carried out by force, whatever the cost."
'Nightmare Alley'
Director:Guillermo del Toro
Stars:Bradley Cooper, Cate Blanchett, Rooney Mara
Rating: 3/5
Venom
Director: Ruben Fleischer
Cast: Tom Hardy, Michelle Williams, Riz Ahmed
Rating: 1.5/5
Infobox
Western Region Asia Cup Qualifier, Al Amerat, Oman
The two finalists advance to the next stage of qualifying, in Malaysia in August
Results
UAE beat Iran by 10 wickets
Kuwait beat Saudi Arabia by eight wickets
Oman beat Bahrain by nine wickets
Qatar beat Maldives by 106 runs
Monday fixtures
UAE v Kuwait, Iran v Saudi Arabia, Oman v Qatar, Maldives v Bahrain
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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England v South Africa Test series:
First Test: at Lord's, England won by 211 runs
Second Test: at Trent Bridge, South Africa won by 340 runs
Third Test: at The Oval, July 27-31
Fourth Test: at Old Trafford, August 4-8
Specs
Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric
Range: Up to 610km
Power: 905hp
Torque: 985Nm
Price: From Dh439,000
Available: Now
Profile of Hala Insurance
Date Started: September 2018
Founders: Walid and Karim Dib
Based: Abu Dhabi
Employees: Nine
Amount raised: $1.2 million
Funders: Oman Technology Fund, AB Accelerator, 500 Startups, private backers
Mane points for safe home colouring
- Natural and grey hair takes colour differently than chemically treated hair
- Taking hair from a dark to a light colour should involve a slow transition through warmer stages of colour
- When choosing a colour (especially a lighter tone), allow for a natural lift of warmth
- Most modern hair colours are technique-based, in that they require a confident hand and taught skills
- If you decide to be brave and go for it, seek professional advice and use a semi-permanent colour
How Filipinos in the UAE invest
A recent survey of 10,000 Filipino expatriates in the UAE found that 82 per cent have plans to invest, primarily in property. This is significantly higher than the 2014 poll showing only two out of 10 Filipinos planned to invest.
Fifty-five percent said they plan to invest in property, according to the poll conducted by the New Perspective Media Group, organiser of the Philippine Property and Investment Exhibition. Acquiring a franchised business or starting up a small business was preferred by 25 per cent and 15 per cent said they will invest in mutual funds. The rest said they are keen to invest in insurance (3 per cent) and gold (2 per cent).
Of the 5,500 respondents who preferred property as their primary investment, 54 per cent said they plan to make the purchase within the next year. Manila was the top location, preferred by 53 per cent.
The Perfect Couple
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor
Creator: Jenna Lamia
Rating: 3/5
The five pillars of Islam
Teams
Punjabi Legends Owners: Inzamam-ul-Haq and Intizar-ul-Haq; Key player: Misbah-ul-Haq
Pakhtoons Owners: Habib Khan and Tajuddin Khan; Key player: Shahid Afridi
Maratha Arabians Owners: Sohail Khan, Ali Tumbi, Parvez Khan; Key player: Virender Sehwag
Bangla Tigers Owners: Shirajuddin Alam, Yasin Choudhary, Neelesh Bhatnager, Anis and Rizwan Sajan; Key player: TBC
Colombo Lions Owners: Sri Lanka Cricket; Key player: TBC
Kerala Kings Owners: Hussain Adam Ali and Shafi Ul Mulk; Key player: Eoin Morgan
Venue Sharjah Cricket Stadium
Format 10 overs per side, matches last for 90 minutes
Timeline October 25: Around 120 players to be entered into a draft, to be held in Dubai; December 21: Matches start; December 24: Finals
The specs: 2019 BMW i8 Roadster
Price, base: Dh708,750
Engine: 1.5L three-cylinder petrol, plus 11.6 kWh lithium-ion battery
Transmission: Six-speed automatic
Power: 374hp (total)
Torque: 570Nm (total)
Fuel economy, combined: 2.0L / 100km
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EA Sports FC 26
Publisher: EA Sports
Consoles: PC, PlayStation 4/5, Xbox Series X/S
Rating: 3/5
Electric scooters: some rules to remember
- Riders must be 14-years-old or over
- Wear a protective helmet
- Park the electric scooter in designated parking lots (if any)
- Do not leave electric scooter in locations that obstruct traffic or pedestrians
- Solo riders only, no passengers allowed
- Do not drive outside designated lanes
Cricket World Cup League 2
UAE squad
Rahul Chopra (captain), Aayan Afzal Khan, Ali Naseer, Aryansh Sharma, Basil Hameed, Dhruv Parashar, Junaid Siddique, Muhammad Farooq, Muhammad Jawadullah, Muhammad Waseem, Omid Rahman, Rahul Bhatia, Tanish Suri, Vishnu Sukumaran, Vriitya Aravind
Fixtures
Friday, November 1 – Oman v UAE
Sunday, November 3 – UAE v Netherlands
Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League semi-final, first leg
Barcelona v Liverpool, Wednesday, 11pm (UAE).
Second leg
Liverpool v Barcelona, Tuesday, May 7, 11pm
Games on BeIN Sports
The specs
Engine: Direct injection 4-cylinder 1.4-litre
Power: 150hp
Torque: 250Nm
Price: From Dh139,000
On sale: Now
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Artist: Coldplay
Label: Parlophone/Atlantic
Number of tracks: 10
Rating: 3/5