NMC Health has focused on the GCC, particularly the UAE, Saudi and Oman, for its expansion. Ravindranath K / The National
NMC Health has focused on the GCC, particularly the UAE, Saudi and Oman, for its expansion. Ravindranath K / The National
NMC Health has focused on the GCC, particularly the UAE, Saudi and Oman, for its expansion. Ravindranath K / The National
NMC Health has focused on the GCC, particularly the UAE, Saudi and Oman, for its expansion. Ravindranath K / The National

UK’s big winners and battered losers in stocks in 2017


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From Provident Financial’s 66 per cent plunge in a day to Carillion Plc shedding two-thirds of its value in three sessions, there’s been no shortage of drama in UK stocks this year.

The biggest losers of 2017 have been marked by sensational and rapid declines, while the winners -- including Games Workshop’s 266 per cent rally -- have been gradual triumphs. There was no unifying theme, though analysts suggested a degree of investor complacency and a lack of foreign buyers under the shadow of Brexit may have exacerbated selloffs.

Investors are “maybe not quite so well prepared for the surprises,” due to the overall quietness in stock markets, IG market analyst Chris Beauchamp said in an interview, noting that funds would rather cut the losers completely than give companies a chance to redeem themselves after profit warnings.

At the same time, the UK’s impending exit from the European Union has dissuaded overseas fund managers who may in the past have stepped in to buy stocks at bargain prices, according to London Capital Group’s senior market analyst Jasper Lawler. That’s making declines for individual UK stocks “specifically noticeable,” Mr Lawler said in an interview.

Here’s a curated list of the FTSE All-Share Index’s biggest winners and losers of the year:

The Winners

Games Workshop: Up 266 per cent
The maker of Warhammer figures upgraded profit expectations three times in 2017. The weak pound has made its products -- tabletop miniature war games -- cheaper for overseas customers, who account for more than half the company's revenue. A positive reception for a new edition of board game Warhammer 40k, which takes the game out of its Lord of the Rings-style roots and into a far-future conflict, has also helped the stock.

KAZ Minerals: Up 135 per cent
The Kazakhstan-focused copper miner has been rewarded for "exceptional project execution," Macquarie analyst Alon Olsha said by email. Two new projects have ramped up "seamlessly," which is rare in the mining industry. While copper's gain this year has helped, "ultimately it was factors within management control that led to the stock more than doubling over the year," Mr Olsha said.

Sophos Group: Up 115 per cent
With returns beating Silicon Valley-based cybersecurity peers, investors and analysts alike are bullish on Sophos's cashflow and the high proportion of subscription revenue, which provides greater visibility on future growth. The company is Morgan Stanley's European technology pick for 2018. Not to mention that Stifel analyst George O'Connor says there could be "a whole range of companies" who would be interested in acquiring it.

Wizz Air Holdings: Up 99 per cent
Eastern Europe's largest budget airline has been rewarded for its bullishness. It said in May it would add more capacity in its core Eastern Europe market and in November detailed plans to build a UK arm into a significant national operation in its own right. JPMorgan named it one of its top European airline picks for 2018 on the potential for further growth arising from the failures of Air Berlin and Monarch Airlines.

NMC Health: Up 88 per cent
The London-listed provider of healthcare in the Middle East has been added to both the FTSE 100 Index and Europe's Stoxx 600 Index this year. Its also been active in M&A and partnerships, and is looking for more deals, according to its chief executive officer. Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with 11 out of 12 who cover the stock calling it a buy, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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The Losers

Carillion: Down 93 per cent
Three years ago, Carillion attempted a merger with Balfour Beatty. Now its market capitalization is just a tiny fraction of its peer. The construction company has issued three profit warnings since July, brought in KPMG to look at its accounts, has been attempting to dispose of assets and may see in the new year by breaching its debt covenants. Rival Interserve has faced similar problems writing down unprofitable contracts; that stock is down 74 per cent this year.

Provident Financial: Down 68 per cent
Carillion won the race to the bottom, but Provident provided the most spectacular moment. The subprime lender fell 66 per cent in a day in August on a "quadruple whammy" of bad news: a regulatory probe into its Vanquis Bank credit-card unit, a profit warning, scrapping the interim dividend and its chief executive stepping down. Just when it seemed things couldn't get any worse, Provident said in December that car finance unit Moneybarn was being investigated.

Dixons Carphone: Down 43 per cent
An unexpected forecast for a drop in annual profit in August hammered the mobile phone and electronics retailer. Analysts complained that the company didn't address investor concerns earlier in the year. The retailer was squeezed by customers holding on to handsets longer, with a relative dearth of hot new devices meaning less appetite for upgrades. A new plan for the mobile-phone unit late in the year was welcomed, but only partially made up the ground lost.

Petrofac: Down 42 percent
Getting investigated by the UK's Serious Fraud Office is a sure-fire way to land on the losers list. Oil services firm Petrofac first flagged a bribery-related probe in May and, a few weeks later, suspended its chief operating officer. Later in the same disastrous month, Moody's Investors Service cut the company's credit rating to junk. RBC Capital Markets analyst Victoria McCulloch says the SFO probe will remain an "overhang" in 2018.

Centrica: Down 41 per cent
It was already shaping up to be a difficult year for Centrica as the UK government touted plans to cap some household energy bills. But things went from bad to worse in November when shares in the owner of British Gas fell the most in two decades after a profit warning. The energy company saw UK customers desert and drew questions from analysts about the sustainability of its dividend.

F1 drivers' standings

1. Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes 281

2. Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari 247

3. Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes 222

4. Daniel Ricciardo, Red Bull 177

5. Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari 138

6. Max Verstappen, Red Bull 93

7. Sergio Perez, Force India 86

8. Esteban Ocon, Force India 56

The rules on fostering in the UAE

A foster couple or family must:

  • be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
  • not be younger than 25 years old
  • not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
  • be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
  • have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
  • undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
  • A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
New schools in Dubai
BRIEF SCORES

England 353 and 313-8 dec
(B Stokes 112, A Cook 88; M Morkel 3-70, K Rabada 3-85)  
(J Bairstow 63, T Westley 59, J Root 50; K Maharaj 3-50)
South Africa 175 and 252
(T Bavuma 52; T Roland-Jones 5-57, J Anderson 3-25)
(D Elgar 136; M Ali 4-45, T Roland-Jones 3-72)

Result: England won by 239 runs
England lead four-match series 2-1

The specs

Engine: 1.5-litre turbo

Power: 181hp

Torque: 230Nm

Transmission: 6-speed automatic

Starting price: Dh79,000

On sale: Now

The Sky Is Pink

Director: Shonali Bose

Cast: Priyanka Chopra Jonas, Farhan Akhtar, Zaira Wasim, Rohit Saraf

Three stars

The National's picks

4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
5.10pm: Continous
5.45pm: Raging Torrent
6.20pm: West Acre
7pm: Flood Zone
7.40pm: Straight No Chaser
8.15pm: Romantic Warrior
8.50pm: Calandogan
9.30pm: Forever Young

Day 3, Dubai Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Lahiru Gamage, the Sri Lanka pace bowler, has had to play a lot of cricket to earn a shot at the top level. The 29-year-old debutant first played a first-class game 11 years ago. His first Test wicket was one to savour, bowling Pakistan opener Shan Masood through the gate. It set the rot in motion for Pakistan’s batting.

Stat of the day – 73 Haris Sohail took 73 balls to hit a boundary. Which is a peculiar quirk, given the aggressive intent he showed from the off. Pakistan’s batsmen were implored to attack Rangana Herath after their implosion against his left-arm spin in Abu Dhabi. Haris did his best to oblige, smacking the second ball he faced for a huge straight six.

The verdict One year ago, when Pakistan played their first day-night Test at this ground, they held a 222-run lead over West Indies on first innings. The away side still pushed their hosts relatively close on the final night. With the opposite almost exactly the case this time around, Pakistan still have to hope they can salvage a win from somewhere.

PROFILE OF HALAN

Started: November 2017

Founders: Mounir Nakhla, Ahmed Mohsen and Mohamed Aboulnaga

Based: Cairo, Egypt

Sector: transport and logistics

Size: 150 employees

Investment: approximately $8 million

Investors include: Singapore’s Battery Road Digital Holdings, Egypt’s Algebra Ventures, Uber co-founder and former CTO Oscar Salazar

VEZEETA PROFILE

Date started: 2012

Founder: Amir Barsoum

Based: Dubai, UAE

Sector: HealthTech / MedTech

Size: 300 employees

Funding: $22.6 million (as of September 2018)

Investors: Technology Development Fund, Silicon Badia, Beco Capital, Vostok New Ventures, Endeavour Catalyst, Crescent Enterprises’ CE-Ventures, Saudi Technology Ventures and IFC

ESSENTIALS

The flights

Emirates flies from Dubai to Phnom Penh via Yangon from Dh2,700 return including taxes. Cambodia Bayon Airlines and Cambodia Angkor Air offer return flights from Phnom Penh to Siem Reap from Dh250 return including taxes. The flight takes about 45 minutes.

The hotels

Rooms at the Raffles Le Royal in Phnom Penh cost from $225 (Dh826) per night including taxes. Rooms at the Grand Hotel d'Angkor cost from $261 (Dh960) per night including taxes.

The tours

A cyclo architecture tour of Phnom Penh costs from $20 (Dh75) per person for about three hours, with Khmer Architecture Tours. Tailor-made tours of all of Cambodia, or sites like Angkor alone, can be arranged by About Asia Travel. Emirates Holidays also offers packages. 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Profile Box

Company/date started: 2015

Founder/CEO: Mohammed Toraif

Based: Manama, Bahrain

Sector: Sales, Technology, Conservation

Size: (employees/revenue) 4/ 5,000 downloads

Stage: 1 ($100,000)

Investors: Two first-round investors including, 500 Startups, Fawaz Al Gosaibi Holding (Saudi Arabia)

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