Zaid Mohseni (Chief Executive Officer of Broadcast Middle East FZ LLC) at Media One Hotel lobby. (Jeffrey E Biteng / The National)
Zaid Mohseni (Chief Executive Officer of Broadcast Middle East FZ LLC) at Media One Hotel lobby. (Jeffrey E Biteng / The National)

Advertising market forecast to hit $1bn



Iran's total advertising market is forecast to double to US$1 billion (Dh3.67bn) in the next few years despite the ban on satellite TV, the Middle East's dominant medium for ads.

Zaid Mohseni, the chief executive of Broadcast Middle East (BME), a joint venture between News Corp and Moby Group, said his company was "bullish" on the local market.

Reliable figures on viewership and advertising spending in the Islamic republic are not available. But Mr Mohseni said he expected the local advertising market to double in the next few years.

"We think that, at the moment, the total ad market in Iran is $500 million," he said. "But we think that there is a potential for this ad market to increase to $1bn in a short period of time."

BME operates the Farsi1 satellite channel, and plans to launch two additional Farsi-language stations over the next few months.

Mr Mohseni declined to disclose the ad revenue for the Farsi1 channel but said it had "exceeded" expectations. Electronics brands such as Samsung, Panasonic, Sharp and Sony Ericsson had advertised on the channel, he said.

Receiving satellite TV signals is illegal in Iran, although the ban is not strictly enforced. Mr Mohseni acknowledged that the prohibition makes it difficult to obtain figures about the Iranian market.

"Technically, satellite viewing is not legal, so people cannot watch satellite. So as a result of that they will not readily admit to watching satellite in an official survey," he said.

There was room in the market for more advertising-supported Farsi TV stations, he said.

"We think that the market is really underserved. If you look at the Arab market, you've got 300 million Arabic speakers, and you've got a plethora of channels for the Arab audience," said Mr Mohseni. "But for the Farsi-speaking market, based on our research, we still think that there is a huge gap in terms of the supply of good content … If we can get the viewers, we think that advertisers will also be interested."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Tips for job-seekers
  • Do not submit your application through the Easy Apply button on LinkedIn. Employers receive between 600 and 800 replies for each job advert on the platform. If you are the right fit for a job, connect to a relevant person in the company on LinkedIn and send them a direct message.
  • Make sure you are an exact fit for the job advertised. If you are an HR manager with five years’ experience in retail and the job requires a similar candidate with five years’ experience in consumer, you should apply. But if you have no experience in HR, do not apply for the job.

David Mackenzie, founder of recruitment agency Mackenzie Jones Middle East

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