• US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a Democrat rally in Washington, as President Joe Biden and their spouses Jill Biden and Doug Emhoff listen. Bloomberg
    US Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a Democrat rally in Washington, as President Joe Biden and their spouses Jill Biden and Doug Emhoff listen. Bloomberg
  • Bill Gates, chairman of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, speaks at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Former astronaut and Democratic candidate Mark Kelly defeated his Republican rival in Arizona's senate race. Reuters
    Bill Gates, chairman of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, speaks at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Former astronaut and Democratic candidate Mark Kelly defeated his Republican rival in Arizona's senate race. Reuters
  • Maricopa County recorder Stephen Richer, left, opens mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Ballots were being counted in Maricopa County three days after voters went to the polls for the midterm election in Arizona. AFP
    Maricopa County recorder Stephen Richer, left, opens mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Ballots were being counted in Maricopa County three days after voters went to the polls for the midterm election in Arizona. AFP
  • Election workers open mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. AFP
    Election workers open mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. AFP
  • Staff scan ballots for the US midterm elections at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Reuters
    Staff scan ballots for the US midterm elections at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. Reuters
  • Election workers open mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. AFP
    Election workers open mail-in ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre in Phoenix, Arizona. AFP
  • In a divided America, a political campaign sign sits abandoned at the roadside in Phoenix, Arizona, two days after the midterms. AFP
    In a divided America, a political campaign sign sits abandoned at the roadside in Phoenix, Arizona, two days after the midterms. AFP
  • Ballots are processed in Las Vegas. Getty Images
    Ballots are processed in Las Vegas. Getty Images
  • Election officials give a press conference in Maricopa County, Arizona, where ballots were still being counted two days after the midterms. AFP
    Election officials give a press conference in Maricopa County, Arizona, where ballots were still being counted two days after the midterms. AFP
  • Ballots are carried to be scanned in Philadelphia. Reuters
    Ballots are carried to be scanned in Philadelphia. Reuters
  • Mr Biden was all smiles during a news conference in the White House. Bloomberg
    Mr Biden was all smiles during a news conference in the White House. Bloomberg
  • An election worker sorts ballots in Las Vegas. AFP
    An election worker sorts ballots in Las Vegas. AFP
  • Election workers sort ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre. AFP
    Election workers sort ballots at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Centre. AFP
  • Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger holds a news conference in Atlanta. AP
    Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger holds a news conference in Atlanta. AP
  • Los Angeles mayoral candidate Rick Caruso gets a hug on stage at his election night headquarters in Los Angeles. AP
    Los Angeles mayoral candidate Rick Caruso gets a hug on stage at his election night headquarters in Los Angeles. AP
  • Paul Riley, father of Josh Riley, bows his head as election results come in at his son's election party in Binghamton, New York. Josh Riley, the Democratic candidate, ran against Republican Marc Molinaro. AP
    Paul Riley, father of Josh Riley, bows his head as election results come in at his son's election party in Binghamton, New York. Josh Riley, the Democratic candidate, ran against Republican Marc Molinaro. AP
  • Michigan Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer speaks during election night in Detroit. AP
    Michigan Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer speaks during election night in Detroit. AP
  • Supporters cheer during an election night event for Democratic Senate candidate John Fetterman in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Mr Fetterman defeated Republican Senate candidate Dr Mehmet Oz. AFP
    Supporters cheer during an election night event for Democratic Senate candidate John Fetterman in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Mr Fetterman defeated Republican Senate candidate Dr Mehmet Oz. AFP
  • Supporters watch news of a projected victory for Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania governor, Josh Shapiro, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Reuters
    Supporters watch news of a projected victory for Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania governor, Josh Shapiro, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Reuters
  • Republican J D Vance arrives with his wife Usha to declare victory in the Senatorial race in Columbus, Ohio. Reuters
    Republican J D Vance arrives with his wife Usha to declare victory in the Senatorial race in Columbus, Ohio. Reuters
  • New York Governor Kathy Hochul attends an event to celebrate her victory in the US midterm elections. Reuters
    New York Governor Kathy Hochul attends an event to celebrate her victory in the US midterm elections. Reuters
  • Representative Abigail Spanberger, of the Democratic party, speaks to supporters after her re-election, in Fredericksburg, Virginia. AP
    Representative Abigail Spanberger, of the Democratic party, speaks to supporters after her re-election, in Fredericksburg, Virginia. AP
  • Democrat Wes Moore, second from left, hugs his daughter, Mia, centre, as his mother, Joy Thomas Moore, left, son, Jamie, second from right, and wife, Dawn, look on, after he was declared the winner of the Maryland race for governor. AP
    Democrat Wes Moore, second from left, hugs his daughter, Mia, centre, as his mother, Joy Thomas Moore, left, son, Jamie, second from right, and wife, Dawn, look on, after he was declared the winner of the Maryland race for governor. AP
  • A supporter of Republican candidate Lee Zeldin reacts as media outlets predict results, in the race for governor, in favour of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. AP
    A supporter of Republican candidate Lee Zeldin reacts as media outlets predict results, in the race for governor, in favour of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. AP
  • Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt celebrates his re-election, at a Republican Party watch party in Oklahoma City. AP
    Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt celebrates his re-election, at a Republican Party watch party in Oklahoma City. AP
  • Democratic candidate for governor of Georgia Stacey Abrams speaks during her 2022 US midterm elections night party in Atlanta, Georgia. Her rival Brian Kemp won. Reuters
    Democratic candidate for governor of Georgia Stacey Abrams speaks during her 2022 US midterm elections night party in Atlanta, Georgia. Her rival Brian Kemp won. Reuters
  • A woman arrives before Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis speaks to supporters during an election night party in Tampa. AP
    A woman arrives before Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis speaks to supporters during an election night party in Tampa. AP
  • Voters wait in line at a polling station at the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs in Austin, Texas. AP
    Voters wait in line at a polling station at the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs in Austin, Texas. AP
  • A voter goes to cast their vote after filling out their ballot at a polling station inside The Shed arts centre in Manhattan. AP
    A voter goes to cast their vote after filling out their ballot at a polling station inside The Shed arts centre in Manhattan. AP
  • A jogger runs past the Capitol Building in Washington. The US midterm elections are held every four years at the midpoint of each presidential term. EPA
    A jogger runs past the Capitol Building in Washington. The US midterm elections are held every four years at the midpoint of each presidential term. EPA
  • Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis waves from the stage next to his wife Casey and children during his midterm elections party in Tampa. Reuters
    Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis waves from the stage next to his wife Casey and children during his midterm elections party in Tampa. Reuters
  • A man in costume arrives for a Republican party 'Save America' rally before the US midterm elections, in Miami, Florida. AFP
    A man in costume arrives for a Republican party 'Save America' rally before the US midterm elections, in Miami, Florida. AFP
  • US President Joe Biden, centre, poses for a selfie with supporters during a rally for Democratic candidates, including New York Governor Kathy Hochul, at Sarah Lawrence College in Bronxville, New York. AFP
    US President Joe Biden, centre, poses for a selfie with supporters during a rally for Democratic candidates, including New York Governor Kathy Hochul, at Sarah Lawrence College in Bronxville, New York. AFP
  • A man marks his ballot during early voting in Lansing, Michigan. Reuters
    A man marks his ballot during early voting in Lansing, Michigan. Reuters
  • A child attends a rally held by US President Joe Biden with Democratic nominee for Maryland Governor Wes Moore, Senator Chris Van Hollen and other Maryland Democrats, at Bowie State University. Reuters
    A child attends a rally held by US President Joe Biden with Democratic nominee for Maryland Governor Wes Moore, Senator Chris Van Hollen and other Maryland Democrats, at Bowie State University. Reuters
  • Supporters cheer during a rally for Democratic candidates at Sarah Lawrence College in Bronxville, New York. AFP
    Supporters cheer during a rally for Democratic candidates at Sarah Lawrence College in Bronxville, New York. AFP
  • State Representative Leslie Rossi poses by a giant cutout of former US President Donald Trump in front of the "Trump House", which she owns and created in 2016, in Youngstown, Pennsylvania. AFP
    State Representative Leslie Rossi poses by a giant cutout of former US President Donald Trump in front of the "Trump House", which she owns and created in 2016, in Youngstown, Pennsylvania. AFP
  • Republican candidate for US Senate for Arizona Blake Masters speaks at a rally in Queen Creek, Arizona. EPA
    Republican candidate for US Senate for Arizona Blake Masters speaks at a rally in Queen Creek, Arizona. EPA
  • People in the crowd cheer during a campaign rally at Bowie State University in Maryland, which was attended President Joe Biden, the first lady, Jill Biden, Maryland Democratic gubernatorial candidate Wes Moore and Senator Chris Van Hollen. AP
    People in the crowd cheer during a campaign rally at Bowie State University in Maryland, which was attended President Joe Biden, the first lady, Jill Biden, Maryland Democratic gubernatorial candidate Wes Moore and Senator Chris Van Hollen. AP
  • Republican candidate for Arizona governor Kari Lake arrives for a campaign stop, in Phoenix. Reuters
    Republican candidate for Arizona governor Kari Lake arrives for a campaign stop, in Phoenix. Reuters
  • Morgan Koetje and Nickolas Lentz from Reproductive Freedom for All, canvass a neighborhood in support of Proposal 3, a ballot measure that would codify the right to an abortion, one day before the midterm election in Dewitt, Michigan. Reuters
    Morgan Koetje and Nickolas Lentz from Reproductive Freedom for All, canvass a neighborhood in support of Proposal 3, a ballot measure that would codify the right to an abortion, one day before the midterm election in Dewitt, Michigan. Reuters
  • Republican candidate for US Senate Herschel Walker takes a picture with supporters in Kennesaw, Georgia during a "Unite Georgia Bus Stop" campaign rally on the eve of the midterm elections. AFP
    Republican candidate for US Senate Herschel Walker takes a picture with supporters in Kennesaw, Georgia during a "Unite Georgia Bus Stop" campaign rally on the eve of the midterm elections. AFP
  • Republican Senate candidate Val Demings speaks to supporters in Wilton Manors, Florida. AP
    Republican Senate candidate Val Demings speaks to supporters in Wilton Manors, Florida. AP
  • Senate hopeful Mehmet Oz addresses campaign rally in Pennsburg, Pennsylvania. AP
    Senate hopeful Mehmet Oz addresses campaign rally in Pennsburg, Pennsylvania. AP
  • Former president Donald Trump speaks at a rally in support of the campaign of Ohio Senate candidate JD Vance, at Dayton International Airport. AP
    Former president Donald Trump speaks at a rally in support of the campaign of Ohio Senate candidate JD Vance, at Dayton International Airport. AP
  • President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden arrive for the rally at Bowie State University, in Maryland. AP
    President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden arrive for the rally at Bowie State University, in Maryland. AP
  • Voters pass by a sign outside a polling site in Warwick, Rhode Island after casting their ballots on the last day of early voting before the midterm election. AP
    Voters pass by a sign outside a polling site in Warwick, Rhode Island after casting their ballots on the last day of early voting before the midterm election. AP
  • Democratic candidate for Georgia governor Stacey Abrams speaks to volunteers during an election eve phone and text bank party in Atlanta. AP
    Democratic candidate for Georgia governor Stacey Abrams speaks to volunteers during an election eve phone and text bank party in Atlanta. AP
  • US Vice President Kamala Harris, left, points to Los Angeles mayoral candidate Representative Karen Bass, after speaking at a rally in Los Angeles. AP
    US Vice President Kamala Harris, left, points to Los Angeles mayoral candidate Representative Karen Bass, after speaking at a rally in Los Angeles. AP

Can the Democrats keep control of the US House?


Thomas Watkins
  • English
  • Arabic

Five days after the US midterm elections there remains a very narrow path for the Democrats to retain control of the US House of Representatives.

It's going to be “perilously close”, President Joe Biden said on Sunday.

Such an outcome would defy almost all polls and predictions going into the November 8 elections, and would deal a stunning rebuke to the Republican Party, which supposedly had massive advantages in recent weeks including an uncertain economy, high inflation and low approval ratings for Mr Biden.

As of Sunday at noon in the US, the Republicans remained favourites to win control of the 435-seat House, having won 211 congressional seats, just seven shy of the 218 needed.

The Democrats had 206 seats, with the remaining 18 seats still up for grabs.

The maths still favour the Republicans, though the uncalled races are mainly from states in the western US, which generally skews heavily Democrat.

“It’s a stretch, where everything has to fall our way,” Mr Biden said on Sunday.

“I’ve said all along, it’ll be perilously close. We can win it. Whether we’re going to win it remains to be seen.”

It could take several days before the outcome of enough House races is known to determine which party won.

Returns were still flowing in for several races, thanks to voting rules in some places that allow mail-in ballots to be counted even after election day, provided they were postmarked by November 8.

The Democrats on Saturday retained control of the US Senate after incumbent Arizona Senator Mark Kelly and Nevada Senator Catherine Cortez Masto defeated their Republican challengers.

The balance of power is now 50-49 for the Democrats in the Senate and even if Georgia Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock loses in a run-off election next month, the Democrats would retain power thanks to Vice President Kamala Harris's tie-breaking vote.

None of this was supposed to happen, as far as the Republicans were concerned. They had predicted a “bloodbath” of victories against the Democrats, saying a “red wave” would sweep the US as key seats flipped from Democrat to Republican.

Though they are still favourites to win the House of Representatives, the Republicans fell short of their own expectations.

Younger voters turned out in near-historic numbers to rebuke the party for overturning abortion rights and for undermining US democracy by fielding hundreds of election-denying candidates who pushed Trump's false claims that he had only lost to Mr Biden in 2020 thanks to a far-reaching shadowing conspiracy.

Democratic Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi, who for now at least is the Speaker of the House, told CNN on Sunday that the Republican "red wave" had dried into a "little tiny trickle".

Updated: November 13, 2022, 6:55 PM