People pray at a mosque in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Getty Images
People pray at a mosque in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Getty Images
People pray at a mosque in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Getty Images
People pray at a mosque in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Getty Images

Changing face of Islam in Germany: Turkish groups no longer a majority


Tim Stickings
  • English
  • Arabic

People of Turkish origin no longer make up the majority of Muslims in Germany, a major new report found.

The survey of Islamic life in Germany, last carried out in 2016, showed migrants from the Middle East putting their stamp on Germany's population – one in six of the country's Muslims now have roots in Syria, Iraq or Lebanon.

There are now between 5.3 and 5.6 million Muslims living in Germany, from a population of 83.1 million.

The study played down fears of a "parallel society" raised by migrant-sceptic politicians. It found that nearly half of Muslims are German citizens, and most have close friends without any migrant background.

More than 80 per cent of Muslims in Germany said they were religious, the study found, but their level of integration hardly differed from other migrant groups.

“Our analysis shows that the influence of religion on integration is often overstated,” said one of the report’s authors Dr Kerstin Tanis.

Migration makes Germany’s Muslim population more diverse

As recently as 2008, people with Turkish roots made up more than two thirds of Germany’s Muslim population.

Many Turkish people migrated to what was then West Germany under a “guest worker” scheme during the 1960s and 1970s, and their compatriots and relatives now number about 2.5 million.

But the Turkish communities grew little in recent years, which meant their dominant position was ended by migration from countries such as Syria.

About 45 per cent of Germany’s Muslims are believed to be of Turkish origin, down from 68 per cent in 2008.

Syrians are the second-largest group, making up about 13 per cent of Germany’s Muslim population.

Kosovo, Afghanistan and Morocco are also among the top countries of origin, followed by Lebanon, North Macedonia, Serbia, Pakistan and Iraq.

There are thought to be about 16,000 Muslims living in Germany with roots in the UAE, Saudi Arabia or Yemen.

Dr Anja Stichs, a sociologist and co-author of the report, said the figures showed Germany’s Muslim population was becoming more diverse.

“The life experiences of Muslims living in Germany are also correspondingly different,” she said.

“Many of them migrated to Germany many years ago or were born in Germany. Nearly half of them have German citizenship.

“But a growing number have arrived in the past few years and are still in the process of building their lives in Germany.”

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Report says Germany’s Muslims are well integrated

Chancellor Angela Merkel's decision to open Germany's doors during the 2015 refugee crisis turned Islam and integration into a major political flashpoint.

The far-right Alternative for Germany party surged into Parliament for the first time in 2017 after declaring that “Islam does not belong to Germany” and raising fears of “segregation by parallel Islamic societies”.

Fears were also raised over whether government messages about the dangers of Covid-19 were getting through to migrant groups.

However, the new report rejected the notion of “social isolation” among Muslim communities.

The survey said 65 per cent of Muslims have frequent contact with friends with no migrant background.

Another 21 per cent said they sometimes have such contact, and only 14 per cent said they never do.

In addition, many of those who do not have such relationships “show a strong desire for more frequent contact with people who have no migration background”, the report said.

About 82 per cent of Muslims say they are religious, but researchers said this was less important for integration than other factors such as the length of time that someone has lived in Germany.

Religious practices also varied. About 40 per cent of Germany’s Muslims said they prayed every day, but 25 per cent said they did not do so at all.

In addition, the study found that about 70 per cent of Muslim women and girls in Germany do not wear a head covering.

Muslims value language skills but sometimes lag behind in education

Most Muslims in Germany – 79 per cent – say their German language skills are good or very good.

Among those who were born in Germany, 93 per cent say they speak very good German.

Despite this, many Muslims have fewer educational qualifications, partly because their schooling was often interrupted by fleeing their home country.

About 16 per cent of Muslim adults do not have a school leaving certificate, compared to three per cent of those with no history of migration.

Within migrant communities, the level of education is higher among younger generations who were born in Germany.

About 58 per cent of Muslims born in Germany had completed some kind of degree course or job qualification, the report said.

First-generation migrants, who moved to Germany themselves, often face a particular shortfall in educational achievement, Dr Tanis said.

“One example of this are the many people who recently migrated from the Middle East and had to break off their education,” she said.

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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

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