A woman withdraws money from an ATM at a fortified local branch of the Banque du Liban et D'Outre Mer (BLOM) in the Lebanese capital Beirut on May 14. Patrick Baz / AFP
A woman withdraws money from an ATM at a fortified local branch of the Banque du Liban et D'Outre Mer (BLOM) in the Lebanese capital Beirut on May 14. Patrick Baz / AFP
A woman withdraws money from an ATM at a fortified local branch of the Banque du Liban et D'Outre Mer (BLOM) in the Lebanese capital Beirut on May 14. Patrick Baz / AFP
Several factors influence people’s financial decisions, with their emotional state playing a significant role. Behavioural economics offers us insights into what informs economic transactions. Almost always, these are related to how a person feels.
Fear is a natural and defining human emotion that is aggravated during times of socioeconomic challenges, such as those triggered by the pandemic. Fear is an instinctive and natural response to external influences.
The economy has been structured to build this fear of the unknown in people. For the most part, fear ensures the continuity of life and the survival of humanity. It encourages us to remain cautious and shield ourselves from potential losses or missteps.
The insurance and takaful sector, for instance, allows people to make low-risk investments to overcome this uncertainty and enjoy a sense of security against major losses.
A heightened degree of fear could, however, potentially cause harm, especially in the long run. Extreme feelings of concern or fear can be an obstacle in humanity’s progress and its pursuit of growth. Disruptive and innovative technologies and practices often trigger emotions such as fear and uncertainty.
A woman photographs a vandalised ATM machine in the Lebanese capital Beirut, January 15. Anwar Amro / AFP
For example, open banking services are a relatively new tool that encourage financial inclusion through disrupting the status quo in the banking and finance industries. Open banking requires financial institutions and tech companies to work hand in hand in order to facilitate transactions between financiers and customers via digital channels.
However, legalising these transactions and increasing people’s awareness about them is a relatively slow process. Customers have a number of security concerns with regard to money laundering and cyberattacks, and such fears could ultimately limit the potential and utilisation of open banking transactions.
UAE investors prefer to preserve their wealth in cash, according to a survey by global wealth manager UBS. Ryan Carter / The National
Modern technologies, such as the 5G networks that hold the potential to eliminate bureaucracy in government as well as other sectors, can increase efficiency and accelerate accomplishments, but they often spark concerns over their impact on cyber security, the environment and public health.
As a rule, we find such concerns increase in challenging times. However, we need to remember that this is a good opportunity for us to learn to be more flexible and align our systems to create a modern, responsive legal framework as opposed to one mired in legacy issues.
In the present scenario, central banks should take the responsibility for the legitimate feelings of fear in the community
The ability of any country’s legislative system to identify the pros and cons and anticipate likely scenarios of misuse of new practices is a strong factor in leveraging the power of innovation.
Central banks play a vital role in the success of a country’s financial transactions as they are responsible for legislation and for legalising systems and processes. It is time that these institutions take into consideration innovative approaches that can help alleviate the impact of the current circumstances. Some examples include online financial transactions that allow a third party to mediate between a financier and a customer, high speed communication technologies and large data storage capabilities.
We must remember that a variety of decades-old practices – such as traditional banking infrastructures that require in-person transactions – are likely to become obsolete in a few years.
In the absence of established practices, and by introducing new channels and technologies without a suitable legislative system to protect rights and guarantee accountability can lead to disastrous consequences.
In the present scenario, central banks should take the responsibility for the legitimate feelings of fear in the community, and realise that it is the adaptability and resilience of a country to cope with change that ensures the financial and economic success of its markets.
They must also ensure these changes go together with large-scale public awareness campaigns to educate stakeholders and address their concerns over new frameworks, how they bring value to society and how to make optimal use of them.
Fear and uncertainty are widespread during these times. But with careful planning, constant innovation and investment in the right resources we can steer our economies into the recovery phase and come out stronger.
Mohammed Alardhi is executive chairman of Investcorp, chairman of Bank Sohar and was longest-serving Omani head of the Royal Air Force of Oman
Future markets: Saudi Arabia, potentially Kuwait and other GCC countries
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Source: Open desert areas with strong winds
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Duration: Can linger for days
Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
Source: Can be carried from distant regions
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Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
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Ziina users can donate to relief efforts in Beirut
Ziina users will be able to use the app to help relief efforts in Beirut, which has been left reeling after an August blast caused an estimated $15 billion in damage and left thousands homeless. Ziina has partnered with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees to raise money for the Lebanese capital, co-founder Faisal Toukan says. “As of October 1, the UNHCR has the first certified badge on Ziina and is automatically part of user's top friends' list during this campaign. Users can now donate any amount to the Beirut relief with two clicks. The money raised will go towards rebuilding houses for the families that were impacted by the explosion.”
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
France has organised a delegation of leading businesses to travel to Syria. The group was led by French shipping giant CMA CGM, which struck a 30-year contract in May with the Syrian government to develop and run Latakia port. Also present were water and waste management company Suez, defence multinational Thales, and Ellipse Group, which is currently looking into rehabilitating Syrian hospitals.