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Calls are intensifying for a “vaccine ceasefire” to tackle the logistical challenges of a critical campaign to immunise 640,000 children in Gaza, following its first polio case in 25 years.
The World Health Organisation, Unicef, Gaza's local health authorities and other groups are planning to vaccinate children under 10 in the last week of August. However, executing that plan effectively presents a logistical nightmare, as Israeli attacks continue to displace thousands of civilians, targeting roads, critical infrastructure and wastewater systems, all of which complicates efforts to control the spread of the highly infectious disease.
The UN vaccination campaign will include setting up a “cold chain” or a system to ensure that the 1.2 million vaccines are stored at a controlled temperature from the time that they are manufactured to the moment they are administered. Since the breakdown of the medical system in Gaza, and the absence of a single fully functioning hospital, doctors will have to go from “tent to tent” to administer vaccines in a place where nine out of 10 people have been displaced by war.
Unicef's spokesman Jonathan Crickx told The National from Jerusalem that overcrowding in tents, where there is no infrastructure, nor proper toilets, sewage or waste water treatment systems, as well as the hot weather, further exacerbates existing problems and makes it crucial to be able to operate without the threat of violence.
“That’s the only way to put back together a proper functioning health system, functioning water distribution system, or any of the things that are needed to prevent the spread of the disease – and that’s why for months now, humanitarian actors have asked for a humanitarian ceasefire to be put in place in Gaza,” he explained.
Last week, UN Secretary General António Guterres called for the warring parties in Gaza to guarantee humanitarian pauses in the fighting so a polio vaccine campaign can be conducted. But reaching a deal between warring parties has become more difficult despite Hamas's approval of a US proposal in May due to additions later made by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Still, the UN campaign aims to ensure that at least 95 per cent of Gaza's children are vaccinated, from the current 89 per cent. Part of that operation will involve removing limits by Israeli authorities on what is being allowed into Gaza, the US-based International Rescue Committee (IRC) said in a statement on Thursday.
“Restrictions must be removed by Israel on the entry of materials such as water chlorination supplies, fuel to run water systems and equipment such as water pumps, solar panels and generator systems to help rebuild Gaza’s water infrastructure, and provide clean water,” Dr Jude Senkugu, the group's Emergency Health Co-ordinator for the occupied Palestinian territory, affirmed.
Pre-war success story
Dr Zaher Sahloul, chief of the humanitarian charitable non-governmental organisation MedGlobal, told The National his group faced challenges when bringing in medical supplies, despite receiving clearance from Israeli authorities.
“There were medical supplies, dressing tubes for patients, catheters, suture kits, ventilators, hospital beds and oxygen cylinders,” he said. “We sent them the list of supplies and they approved their entry through the Rafah border. But when the items arrived from the US to Egypt to be dispatched to Rafah, we were told we couldn't bring them in because of the oxygen cylinders. Not only did they return those items, they returned the entire shipment including things that are not of dual use.”
The entry of medical equipment has become even more restricted, he added, with doctors coming from abroad only able to bring in one bag of supplies, compared with the previous 25 or so.
The situation in Gaza was not always so abysmal. The coastal territory used to be a “success story” for the eradication of polio and had a 99 per cent vaccination rate, according to the US-based MedGlobal chief, whose group is participating in the WHO-led vaccination scheme in Gaza and has 16 primary health clinics in the Strip.
Medical advances and widespread vaccination campaigns worldwide have rendered new cases of polio rare, with only a few hundred reported every year. It had been declared eradicated in the occupied Palestinian territories for at least 25 years until its detection in Gaza's sewage samples and later in a 10-month-old child.
Dr Sahloul's experience in Syria at the start of the 2011 war demonstrated that a single polio case quickly escalated to 36, necessitating a vaccination campaign targeting “millions” of children. “Now, in Gaza, one case is too many,” he warned.
There are at least two other suspected cases of infections in Gaza, with symptoms including acute flaccid paralysis, a condition that results in complete immobility.
“This is the hallmark of polio and if these cases are confirmed, that means there are other children who may be harbouring the virus and don't have symptoms. This is because only one out of 200 children who contract the virus will have symptoms,” Dr Sahloul said.
Paralysis related to polio is “irreversible and incurable, leading to lifelong disability and sometimes death”, he said.
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One in nine do not have enough to eat
Created in 1961, the World Food Programme is pledged to fight hunger worldwide as well as providing emergency food assistance in a crisis.
One of the organisation’s goals is the Zero Hunger Pledge, adopted by the international community in 2015 as one of the 17 Sustainable Goals for Sustainable Development, to end world hunger by 2030.
The WFP, a branch of the United Nations, is funded by voluntary donations from governments, businesses and private donations.
Almost two thirds of its operations currently take place in conflict zones, where it is calculated that people are more than three times likely to suffer from malnutrition than in peaceful countries.
It is currently estimated that one in nine people globally do not have enough to eat.
On any one day, the WFP estimates that it has 5,000 lorries, 20 ships and 70 aircraft on the move.
Outside emergencies, the WFP provides school meals to up to 25 million children in 63 countries, while working with communities to improve nutrition. Where possible, it buys supplies from developing countries to cut down transport cost and boost local economies.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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