People walk past at a screen displaying India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman before the budget, on a facade of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India. Reuters
People walk past at a screen displaying India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman before the budget, on a facade of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India. Reuters
People walk past at a screen displaying India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman before the budget, on a facade of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India. Reuters
People walk past at a screen displaying India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman before the budget, on a facade of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India. Reuters

India promises to boost purchasing power in budget to revive growth


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India’s finance minister pledged in her budget speech to lift the purchasing power of citizens to help arrest the slowdown in Asia’s third-largest economy.

“This is a budget to boost incomes and enhance purchasing power,” Nirmala Sitharaman said in Parliament in New Delhi Saturday.

She said the fiscal plan is based around three main themes: an “aspirational India, economic development for all and a caring society.”

Some highlights of her speech so far:

  • Rural: Farm, rural sectors to be allocated 2.83 trillion rupees ($40 billion/ Dh146.9bn); agriculture credit target for next year set at 15 tn rupees
  • Infrastructure: Transport infrastructure to be allocated 1.7 tn rupees; a sum of 3.6 tn rupees earmarked for piped water projects; power, renewable energy sector to get 220 billion rupees
  • Health: 690bn rupees allocated to sector
  • Education: 993bn rupees allocated to sector; foreign investment will be allowed in education as well as overseas borrowing by institutions
  • Investment: A program proposed to encourage the making of mobile phones, medical devices; proposal to allow private sector to build data center parks

The government is trying to boost growth from its weakest pace in more than a decade, while trying to keep fiscal risks under control. Economists expect the budget deficit in the year through March will probably widen to 3.8 per cent of gross domestic product from a previously targeted 3.3 per cent.​

India’s benchmark stocks fell 0.2 per cent as of 12:29 p.m. in Mumbai on Saturday, while the bonds and currency markets were shut.

The minister’s top adviser on Friday urged the government to relax the deficit goal for the current year, as reviving economic growth was the “urgent priority.” Economists in a Bloomberg survey also predict the deficit goal for the coming year starting in April will widen to 3.5 per cent of GDP, which is higher than the 3 per cent mandated by law.

The deficit will likely be funded by a record market borrowing of 7.8tn rupees, according to a separate Bloomberg News poll. The finance minister may once more turn to the Reserve Bank of India for higher dividends, and look to boost receipts from the sale of state assets.

Growth is likely to rebound to 6 per cent to 6.5 per cent in the year starting April from an estimated 5 per cent in the current year, according to the Economic Survey, a report card of the economy presented to lawmakers by Sitharaman Friday.

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The 3,494 entries for the 2019 Sharjah Children Biennial come from:

435 – UAE

2,000 – China

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Coffee: black death or elixir of life?

It is among the greatest health debates of our time; splashed across newspapers with contradicting headlines - is coffee good for you or not?

Depending on what you read, it is either a cancer-causing, sleep-depriving, stomach ulcer-inducing black death or the secret to long life, cutting the chance of stroke, diabetes and cancer.

The latest research - a study of 8,412 people across the UK who each underwent an MRI heart scan - is intended to put to bed (caffeine allowing) conflicting reports of the pros and cons of consumption.

The study, funded by the British Heart Foundation, contradicted previous findings that it stiffens arteries, putting pressure on the heart and increasing the likelihood of a heart attack or stroke, leading to warnings to cut down.

Numerous studies have recognised the benefits of coffee in cutting oral and esophageal cancer, the risk of a stroke and cirrhosis of the liver. 

The benefits are often linked to biologically active compounds including caffeine, flavonoids, lignans, and other polyphenols, which benefit the body. These and othetr coffee compounds regulate genes involved in DNA repair, have anti-inflammatory properties and are associated with lower risk of insulin resistance, which is linked to type-2 diabetes.

But as doctors warn, too much of anything is inadvisable. The British Heart Foundation found the heaviest coffee drinkers in the study were most likely to be men who smoked and drank alcohol regularly.

Excessive amounts of coffee also unsettle the stomach causing or contributing to stomach ulcers. It also stains the teeth over time, hampers absorption of minerals and vitamins like zinc and iron.

It also raises blood pressure, which is largely problematic for people with existing conditions.

So the heaviest drinkers of the black stuff - some in the study had up to 25 cups per day - may want to rein it in.

Rory Reynolds