It's easy to love the countries of South America. The land is so vast that geographers consider it a separate continent from North America. Politically that is not how it is seen from Washington, where at times it is treated as Uncle Sam's backyard. From Nicaragua to Argentina, the land has everything –stunning mountain scenery, breathtaking deserts, great rivers and jungles, extraordinary wildlife and the blessings of outstanding riches from natural resources. The name "Argentina" comes from the word for silver. The great River Plate – Rio del Plata – also means silver. The coast of Venezuela was so beautiful, it reminded an early explorer of Venice – Venezia in Italian, hence the name. And Venezuela is blessed with its own riches too. It claims the largest oil reserves in the world, amounting to 297 billion barrels. But if Venezuela is blessed, it also shares the Latin American curse – appalling governments, corruption and the often clumsy interest of the US.
The current crisis in what should be one of the world’s rich countries is entirely man-made. Hugo Chavez, a charismatic former paratrooper, was president of Venezuela from 1999 to 2013 and then handed his populist Bolivarian Revolution, or Chavismo, over to his far less charismatic successor Nicolas Maduro. Under Chavez, an attempt was made to do something about the gap between rich and poor but the main beneficiaries appear to have been Chavez cronies and family. His daughter Mariela Gabriela Chavez is officially a diplomat at the United Nations but she is also said to be one of the richest women in the world. Her personal fortune is estimated at $4.2 billion. This is in a country in which military officers can earn as little as $12 a month, oil production has fallen back to the levels of the 1940s, and the economy has shrunk to half of what it was at its peak. Venezuela’s hyperinflation has been put at 80,000 per cent, supermarket shelves are empty and many city dwellers are forced to scavenge for food. Venezuela’s population is 31 million but at least a million are said to have left for neighbouring Colombia in what reports claim is the biggest migration crisis in Latin American history. The legacy of Chavez and his supposed socialism is that Venezuelans have voted with their feet to leave.
This rich country is a failing state with a failed revolution, but – again in the Latin American tradition – Mr Maduro blames the US, and more specifically, the CIA. For decades Washington has interfered, sometimes brutally, in the affairs of its southern neighbours. The US invaded Panama in 1989 and overthrew the drug-running dictator, general Manuel Noriega. Washington financed or supported armed insurrections, including those in Chile in 1973, Cuba in the Bay of Pigs in 1961, and the Contras, the armed thugs who fought the Sandinista government in Nicaragua in the 1980s. But it is also true that Latin American leaders find in the CIA a convenient scapegoat for any misfortune, man-made or natural. During one of my visits to Cuba, there was an outbreak of mosquito-borne dengue fever. The Cuban authorities put up posters of giant mosquitoes which spelled out the initials “CIA” and underneath had the slogan in Spanish: “We will eradicate them”.
The simple fact about Venezuela is that financial mismanagement and endemic corruption have killed off what should be the region's most dynamic economy. Mr Maduro is clinging to power, thanks to the loyalty of a few key military officers and paramilitary supporters. But those who can be bought can also be sold. Such "loyalty" might not last long. And there is one other peculiarity about attitudes to Latin America. Senior figures on the European political left often suffer brain freeze when left-wing governments prove corrupt, cruel or incompetent. Venezuela's Maduro regime is all three and yet sections of the British Labour Party have called for an end to "the US attempt at regime change".
Recent history does suggest that Washington should resist interfering in Latin American politics. American blundering – as the Bay of Pigs and other fiascos demonstrate – tends to make things worse rather than better. And Donald Trump is hardly one to give lectures on competence in government. But the Trump administration is right to insist that ending the suffering of the Venezuelan people means ending Mr Maduro's disastrous presidency.
The more sentimental parts of the British political left often found it difficult to defend communism in the drab states of eastern Europe or in Russia. But somehow, in the sunshine, scenery and supposed socialism of Latin America, some argue it’s all the CIA’s fault. It isn’t. The best recent years for South America have been those under George W Bush and Barack Obama, when the US was preoccupied elsewhere, in Iraq and Afghanistan. And the best hope for this extraordinary continent is that its people will, by their own efforts, take control in Venezuela back from the gangsters of a failed elite who use the words “socialism” and “Chavismo” as an excuse while they fill their own pockets and bankrupt the country.
Gavin Esler is a journalist, author and television presenter
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Our family matters legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
The advice provided in our columns does not constitute legal advice and is provided for information only. Readers are encouraged to seek independent legal advice.
The more serious side of specialty coffee
While the taste of beans and freshness of roast is paramount to the specialty coffee scene, so is sustainability and workers’ rights.
The bulk of genuine specialty coffee companies aim to improve on these elements in every stage of production via direct relationships with farmers. For instance, Mokha 1450 on Al Wasl Road strives to work predominantly with women-owned and -operated coffee organisations, including female farmers in the Sabree mountains of Yemen.
Because, as the boutique’s owner, Garfield Kerr, points out: “women represent over 90 per cent of the coffee value chain, but are woefully underrepresented in less than 10 per cent of ownership and management throughout the global coffee industry.”
One of the UAE’s largest suppliers of green (meaning not-yet-roasted) beans, Raw Coffee, is a founding member of the Partnership of Gender Equity, which aims to empower female coffee farmers and harvesters.
Also, globally, many companies have found the perfect way to recycle old coffee grounds: they create the perfect fertile soil in which to grow mushrooms.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
From Europe to the Middle East, economic success brings wealth - and lifestyle diseases
A rise in obesity figures and the need for more public spending is a familiar trend in the developing world as western lifestyles are adopted.
One in five deaths around the world is now caused by bad diet, with obesity the fastest growing global risk. A high body mass index is also the top cause of metabolic diseases relating to death and disability in Kuwait, Qatar and Oman – and second on the list in Bahrain.
In Britain, heart disease, lung cancer and Alzheimer’s remain among the leading causes of death, and people there are spending more time suffering from health problems.
The UK is expected to spend $421.4 billion on healthcare by 2040, up from $239.3 billion in 2014.
And development assistance for health is talking about the financial aid given to governments to support social, environmental development of developing countries.
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