Unpaid bills to Iraq are worsening Lebanon's electricity woes, with a delay in fuel shipments, Iraqi officials have told The National. The fuel shortages left Beirut trying to diversify sources after a 48-hour blackout, despite asking Iraq to cancel part of the debt during Lebanon's severe economic crisis.
Lebanon relies solely on a deal with Iraq to supply fuel for its power plants, allowing the state electricity company Electricite du Liban to provide just over four hours of electricity a day. Under the terms of the agreement, seen by The National, Lebanon pays the Iraqi government for the fuel in local currency, which Iraq can spend on “goods and services” in Lebanon, such as medical services.
Because the heavy fuel supplied by Iraq does not meet Lebanon’s specifications, the contract, signed in 2021 and renewed twice, allows Beirut to swap it on the international market for other types suitable for its power plants, either low-sulphur or gas oil. But the deal is fraught with problems and has been described by experts as a “ticking bomb".
Lebanon has no alternative to Iraq to fuel its power plants in case of any financial disagreements, but Baghdad has yet to access the funds kept in an account at the Lebanese national bank, The National previously revealed.
Over the weekend, EDL was forced to shut down its last operating power plant in Zahrani, in southern Lebanon, as it ran out of gas oil, affecting the country’s airport, ports, water pumps, sewerage systems and prisons. A senior Iraqi government official said the delay was because Lebanon had not paid for fuel oil provided under the previous contract.
According to the official, Lebanon requested that Iraq waive the debt. Iraq said it would resume shipments but would not cancel the earlier debt.
Figures from the Lebanese Ministry of Energy, shared with The National, show the bank account assigned to the Iraqis at Lebanon's central bank contains only the value of the first year’s imports, about $550 million. Under the terms of the contract, Lebanon has one year to pay for each fuel shipment. It appears that Iraq has been struggling to obtain its funds for 2022.
A second Iraqi official said a "small" discount was offered for future exports because Baghdad had already agreed to instalment payments, expressing concern that the discount may be damaging because of the loss it would represent to potential earnings. Sources differed on the total amount owed to Iraq, putting the figure between $700 million and $900 million.
Iraq has officially given “technical and logistical reasons” for the shipment delay, renewing its “sincere commitment” to Lebanon.
“Iraq is committed to the agreement signed between Baghdad and Beirut, and more importantly, there is a fraternal, national and humanitarian commitment from the Iraqi government and people towards our brothers in Lebanon during these difficult times,” Iraqi government spokesman Bassem Al Awadi said.
The recent power cut did not affect most Lebanese, who are already relying on back-up generators. These polluting alternatives have been filling the gap left by the state electricity company since the economic crisis dealt the last blow to an already crippled sector in 2019. But key infrastructure, such as water pumps, have been completely paralysed.
“Our power consumption is too high for us to rely on generators. We almost entirely depend on state electricity and we have not been able to provide water for the past few days,” Jean Gebran, the director general of Beirut and Mount Lebanon Water Corporation, told The National.
Diversifying sources
Lebanon's Energy Minister Walid Fayad said the crisis “stems from our reliance on a single source, whereas depending on multiple sources is better". Mr Fayad said a new shipment is due to arrive on August 26, and that Iraq has committed to increasing the oil quantities this month to 125,000 tons (113,400 tonnes) from 100,000 tons.
He said Lebanon is finalising a new deal to swap Iraqi crude oil for fuel suitable for Lebanon's power plants. In a statement, Mr Fayad told of Iraq's “eagerness” to ensure that Lebanon has “multiple sources rather than just one".
Algeria has proposed to help the cash-strapped country overcome the current crisis by “immediately” supplying fuel, after a phone call between Lebanon's caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Algerian Prime Minister Nadir Larbaoui.
Energy Minister Mohamed Arkab confirmed that Algeria would provide a “donation” of fuel, with the specifics to be finalised in negotiations between the two nations. Neither the government palace in Beirut nor the Ministry of Energy responded to The National's request for comment.
“We hope this will be the beginning of strengthening ties, especially in the energy sector,” Mr Fayad said. "If we can obtain even a small portion of the gas Algeria exports to Europe, we could reduce our electricity costs."
Lebanon's five-time renewed 15-year contract with Algerian oil company Sonatrach ended in late 2020. The suspension followed allegations that a Sonatrach subsidiary had subcontracted delivery to private companies, which were later accused of supplying “adulterated fuel” to Lebanon.
In the meantime, the Zahrani plant has resumed operations at a lower capacity after securing diesel from by nearby oil facilities.
“Kicking the can down the road.”
Experts warn that quick fixes might only postpone the root problems. Marc Ayoub, associate fellow at the American University of Beirut’s Issam Fares Institute, warned against “a temporary fix to buy time until a comprehensive or general solution is found."
Mr Ayoub said that key issues such as payment mechanisms and broader sector reforms still need to be addressed.
This is not the first time that fuel shipments have been delayed by unresolved payments. By November 2024, Lebanon will already owe Iraq about the equivalent of $1.59 billion for millions of tonnes of fuel imported since 2021. This is about 8 per cent of the country's GDP. But even if the entire amount is deposited into the account, the Iraqis will not be able to immediately have access the funds, which are denominated in dollars but supposed to be withdrawn in Lebanese pounds.
We have not fulfilled our promises to provide services to our dear Iraq, nor to pay the money as we recently renewed the pledge
Abbas Ibrahim
The payment mechanisms, including the exchange rates and the exact nature of the services, remain unclear in the contract. Former General Director of General Security Abbas Ibrahim, who brokered the 2021 deal with Iraq, has denounced Lebanon's failure to uphold its “promises” to Baghdad.
“We have not fulfilled our promises to provide services to our dear Iraq, nor to pay the money as we recently renewed the pledge,” Mr Ibrahim said on X.
Commenting on Lebanon's dues to Iraq, Mr Al Awadi told The National that the payment mechanism between the two countries “will be implemented with an understanding of the general situation in Lebanon from the Iraqi side".
How Lebanon, struggling with a deep economic crisis for five years amid stalling reforms, will handle payments remains unclear. The same uncertainty surrounds any new contracts if reforms are not implemented.
Mr Ayoub stressed the need for “transparency” in contract awarding, given the sector’s history, warning that without it, “we’re merely kicking the can down the road".
Company%20profile
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Dengue%20fever%20symptoms
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SPECS
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How to wear a kandura
Dos
- Wear the right fabric for the right season and occasion
- Always ask for the dress code if you don’t know
- Wear a white kandura, white ghutra / shemagh (headwear) and black shoes for work
- Wear 100 per cent cotton under the kandura as most fabrics are polyester
Don’ts
- Wear hamdania for work, always wear a ghutra and agal
- Buy a kandura only based on how it feels; ask questions about the fabric and understand what you are buying
Company%20profile
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MEDIEVIL%20(1998)
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDeveloper%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20SCE%20Studio%20Cambridge%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPublisher%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Sony%20Computer%20Entertainment%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsole%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20PlayStation%2C%20PlayStation%204%20and%205%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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if you go
Getting there
Etihad (Etihad.com), Emirates (emirates.com) and Air France (www.airfrance.com) fly to Paris’ Charles de Gaulle Airport, from Abu Dhabi and Dubai respectively. Return flights cost from around Dh3,785. It takes about 40 minutes to get from Paris to Compiègne by train, with return tickets costing €19. The Glade of the Armistice is 6.6km east of the railway station.
Staying there
On a handsome, tree-lined street near the Chateau’s park, La Parenthèse du Rond Royal (laparenthesedurondroyal.com) offers spacious b&b accommodation with thoughtful design touches. Lots of natural woods, old fashioned travelling trunks as decoration and multi-nozzle showers are part of the look, while there are free bikes for those who want to cycle to the glade. Prices start at €120 a night.
More information: musee-armistice-14-18.fr ; compiegne-tourisme.fr; uk.france.fr
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Name: Yousef Al Bahar
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Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”