Tourists from Asian countries such as India and Iran are patronising Dubai hotels in growing numbers, but Europeans still dominate the registers while the number of Arab visitors from the GCC is declining, according to new figures from the Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing (DTCM).
The shift in tourist demographics reflects Dubai's growing appeal among newly affluent Asian consumers and a growing interest in the Gulf for exploring emerging alternatives such as Oman, analysts say.
The number of Asian visitors to Dubai in the first nine months of last year increased by 11 per cent over the previous year, calculations based on DTCM figures by The National showed. The two predominant contributors were Iran and India, which together made up more than half of the total from the region.
Arab tourists from the GCC fell by 15 per cent, the figures showed. The data also showed that the total number of travellers from the Middle East - including from countries such as Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Lebanon - dropped during the first nine months of 2008.
"GCC travellers are now looking at other emerging destinations in the region such as Jordan, Oman and Kuwait rather than revisiting Dubai," said Caroline Bremner, the head of travel and tourism research at Euromonitor International, a global market research firm.
"There is a drop in Arab visitors because other countries in the region are becoming so competitive with prices and Dubai is far from being a cheap destination," said Ms Bremner.
The total number of tourists visiting Dubai hotels in the first nine months of 2008 was 5.4 million, according to the DTCM figures. This is 6 per cent higher than the year before, according to a calculation by The National using the average quarterly figure of 2007 as a benchmark.
Europeans dominated the numbers, with 1.7 million tourists in the nine months, followed by Arabs and Asians, both around 1.3m for the January-to-September period.
The DTCM is targeting the GCC market in a new marketing campaign announced last month to boost the number of tourists to Dubai in the face of the global economic crisis.
The plan includes deep discounts on room rates, ranging from 40 per cent to 60 per cent, in addition to a 25 per cent discount on the price of food and beverages during the Dubai Shopping Festival, which started on Thursday and will continue until Feb 15.
Khalid Ahmed bin Sulayem, the director general of the DTCM, last month said the campaign was part of an effort to sustain tourist numbers in 2009 and other promotions would be announced throughout the year.
Ms Bremner said Dubai should target Asia too.
"I think that it's a good idea of the DTCM to continue to target the GCC countries, but they should also start to target emerging markets in Asia like India and China because that's where the growth levels will really come from."
Analysts said Dubai could still exceed 2007's total annual tourist figure of 6.9m, despite the reports of falling occupancy levels, particularly in December.
"Dubai could have easily attracted 1.4m visitors during the last quarter of 2008," said Elie Armaly, the business development director of Roya International, a Dubai-based hospitality consultancy.
DTCM has previously said it did not plan to revise its target for 2015, to attract 15m tourists. Ms Bremner agreed.
"I think that in the coming two to three years, when the market will recover, there will be no need to revise the 2015 target."
abakr@thenational.ae
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Dubai Creek Open in numbers
- The Dubai Creek Open is the 10th tournament on this year's Mena Tour
- It is the first of five events before the season-concluding Mena Tour Championship
- This week's field comprises 120 players, 21 of which are amateurs
- 15 previous Mena Tour winners are competing at Dubai Creek Golf and Yacht Club
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