Global stock markets have snapped back nicely after US President Donald Trump eased his proposed trade tariffs, while investors have also shrugged off rising Middle East tension. Yet uncertainty remains.
Some investors will be looking to play it safe, while others may be keen to go on the offensive.
Tony Hallside, chief executive at Dubai-based advisers STP Partners, sees “a meaningful window for investors to position themselves ahead of a broader shift in market dynamics”.
If you are looking to invest $10,000 (Dh36,725) over the next quarter, here are three potential strategies.
The first involves investing in the forgotten continent, the second targets a low-risk asset class that may swing back into favour, while the third looks towards two economic powerhouses due for a recovery.
As with any investment, always consider both the risks and rewards, and aim to hold for the long term. Mr Hallside says: “Don’t chase hot tips but look for structural plays that can deliver over a five to 10-year horizon.”
1. European stocks
Investors snubbed Europe for years as they chased the US bull market ever higher. That is now changing.
In April, BlackRock chief executive Larry Fink said Europe is finally “waking up” after years of stagnation and regulatory gridlock, predicting a productivity boom as the EU tears down internal trade barriers and embraces reform.
Others agree. Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, says European economies will benefit from big fiscal programmes and deregulation, while the US slows. “This will spell the end of US stock market outperformance,” he predicted.
A survey by Natixis Investment Managers found that seven in 10 strategists expect European markets to beat the US in 2025. Almost half backed defence stocks to deliver the strongest returns as Europe rearms.
Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial in Dubai, also favours Europe as monetary policy becomes less restrictive. “Interest rate cuts are making new borrowing less expensive for firms and households, and loan growth is picking up,” he says.
The European Commission has announced a €150 billion ($175.8 billion) funding mechanism to support defence, with total spending potentially reaching €800 billion.
Germany’s €500 billion stimulus package is another long-term boost, he adds.
Mr Valecha says this is driving interest in domestic-focused European stocks, particularly in infrastructure, industrials, energy and defence. “Also, European equities remain relatively inexpensive compared to their US counterparts. This offers an attractive entry point for global investors.”
He suggests exchange-traded funds such as the Select STOXX Europe Aerospace & Defence ETF, which targets sectors powering Europe’s economic transformation.
Don’t completely abandon the US, Mr Hallside cautions. “There’s been a lot of noise around whether valuations are stretched, but given earnings resilience, free cash flow and US consumer strength, it’s hard to argue against staying invested.”
He suggests buying ETFs to track the S&P 500 or Nasdaq. “Use market dips as entry points,” Mr Hallside recommends.
2. Bonds are back
After years in the doldrums, fixed income is finally catching investors’ attention again.
With interest rate cuts on the horizon and equity markets looking fully priced, bonds offer both income and stability in an uncertain world.
Mr Valecha notes that while the US Federal Reserve held its funds rate at 4.25 per cent to 4.5 per cent in June, a cut in September is a near certainty.
"This would support long-dated US government bonds, or Treasuries, which are more sensitive to rate shifts. ETFs such as the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) offer exposure to this trade,” he explains.
He also sees promise in US municipal bonds. “State and local governments have maintained solid fiscal health. Elevated yields in municipal bonds provide attractive income opportunities.” He points to the Guggenheim Taxable Municipal Bond & Investment Grade Debt Trust (GBAB), which offers yields as high as 10 per cent.
Mr Paolini at Pictet is also keen. “Global investors should increase their overall exposure to bonds, which is now very low after a decade of very poor performance.” He sees value in emerging market debt, inflation-linked US Treasuries and developed market credit.
Mark Munroe, investment director at fund manager Aberdeen, says short-dated bonds are “in something of a sweet spot right now”. “They allow investors to lock into attractive yields that are higher than cash, while keeping volatility low.”
He adds that most investors now expect interest rates to come down gradually, and favours lower-risk investment grade corporate bonds.
The risks? Shifting inflation or tariff pressures could hit bonds. However, with yields still attractive, now is a good time to invest.
Options include the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF, iShares 0–5 Years TIPS Bond ETF, or the iShares 0–5 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF.
Mr Valecha says safety seekers should not ignore gold either. “The precious metal is now more than just a safety play, it’s becoming a strategic asset. The price could hit between $3,600 and $3,800 in the medium term and possibly exceed $4,000 if current trends continue.”
Stick to a buy-on-dips strategy. Get exposure to gold through ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) or physical gold, he says.
3. India and China
These two economic giants have had a rough ride lately, but experts suggest the worst may soon be over.
There is a meaningful window for investors to position themselves ahead of a broader shift in market dynamics
Tony Hallside,
chief executive, STP Partners
India’s growth story has been hit by a slowdown in consumer spending, tight liquidity and falling government expenditure, all worsened by fears of US tariffs.
Yet investment managers say valuations have now dropped to more reasonable levels, presenting a fresh entry point for long-term investors who can handle a little volatility.
Rita Tahilramani, investment director of the abrdn New India Investment Trust, views India’s slowdown “as temporary and cyclical in nature”.
“The Reserve Bank of India started its rate cutting cycle in February and is adding liquidity to the market,” she says.
"While earnings growth slowed in the most recent reporting season, we expect India to continue generating comfortable double-digit earnings growth going into next year."
Despite geopolitical risks, she remains bullish on India’s long-term potential, citing support for middle-class consumption, infrastructure investment and manufacturing incentives. “Any correction in share prices would be, in our view, a buying opportunity,” she adds.
Rob Burgeman, wealth manager at RBC Brewin Dolphin, has his eyes on China. “All of a sudden, it looks like an interesting place to invest,” he says, highlighting progress in artificial intelligence and signs that new tariffs may be less damaging than feared.
Mr Burgeman says the weaker US dollar, shifting supply chains and lighter debt loads should all work in favour of emerging markets. “What’s good for China is often good for the wider Asia Pacific region as well,” he adds.
The Perfect Couple
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Liev Schreiber, Jack Reynor
Creator: Jenna Lamia
Rating: 3/5
Learn more about Qasr Al Hosn
In 2013, The National's History Project went beyond the walls to see what life was like living in Abu Dhabi's fabled fort:
Series result
1st ODI Zimbabwe won by 6 wickets
2nd ODI Sri Lanka won by 7 wickets
3rd ODI Sri Lanka won by 8 wickets
4th ODI Zimbabwe won by 4 wickets
5th ODI Zimbabwe won by 3 wickets
The specs: 2018 Jaguar E-Pace First Edition
Price, base / as tested: Dh186,480 / Dh252,735
Engine: 2.0-litre four-cylinder
Power: 246hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 365Nm @ 1,200rpm
Transmission: Nine-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 7.7L / 100km
How to apply for a drone permit
- Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
- Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
- Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
- Submit their request
What are the regulations?
- Fly it within visual line of sight
- Never over populated areas
- Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
- Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
- Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
- Should have a live feed of the drone flight
- Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
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Racecard
6.35pm: American Business Council – Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (Dirt) 1,600m
7.10pm: British Business Group – Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,200m
7.45pm: CCI France UAE – Handicap (TB) Dh87,500 (D) 1,400m
8.20pm: Czech Business Council – Rated Conditions (TB) Dh105,000 (D) 1,400m
8.55pm: Netherlands Business Council – Rated Conditions (TB) Dh95,000 (D) 1,600m
9.30pm: Indian Business and Professional Council – Handicap (TB) Dh95,000 (D) 1,200m
Men’s singles
Group A: Son Wan-ho (Kor), Lee Chong Wei (Mas), Ng Long Angus (HK), Chen Long (Chn)
Group B: Kidambi Srikanth (Ind), Shi Yugi (Chn), Chou Tien Chen (Tpe), Viktor Axelsen (Den)
Women’s Singles
Group A: Akane Yamaguchi (Jpn), Pusarla Sindhu (Ind), Sayaka Sato (Jpn), He Bingjiao (Chn)
Group B: Tai Tzu Ying (Tpe), Sung Hi-hyun (Kor), Ratchanok Intanon (Tha), Chen Yufei (Chn)
More coverage from the Future Forum
Our legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
The five new places of worship
Church of South Indian Parish
St Andrew's Church Mussaffah branch
St Andrew's Church Al Ain branch
St John's Baptist Church, Ruwais
Church of the Virgin Mary and St Paul the Apostle, Ruwais
if you go
The flights
Emirates fly direct from Dubai to Houston, Texas, where United have direct flights to Managua. Alternatively, from October, Iberia will offer connections from Madrid, which can be reached by both Etihad from Abu Dhabi and Emirates from Dubai.
The trip
Geodyssey’s (Geodyssey.co.uk) 15-night Nicaragua Odyssey visits the colonial cities of Leon and Granada, lively country villages, the lake island of Ometepe and a stunning array of landscapes, with wildlife, history, creative crafts and more. From Dh18,500 per person, based on two sharing, including transfers and tours but excluding international flights. For more information, visit visitnicaragua.us.
RACE CARD
6.30pm: Madjani Stakes Group 2 (PA) Dh97,500 (Dirt) 1,900m
7.05pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,400m
7.40pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,600m
8.15pm: Handicap (TB) Dh87,500 (D) 2,200m
8.50pm: Dubai Creek Mile Listed (TB) Dh132,500 (D) 1,600m
9.25pm: Conditions (TB) Dh120,000 (D) 1,900m
10pm: Handicap (TB) Dh92,500 (D) 1,400m
Know before you go
- Jebel Akhdar is a two-hour drive from Muscat airport or a six-hour drive from Dubai. It’s impossible to visit by car unless you have a 4x4. Phone ahead to the hotel to arrange a transfer.
- If you’re driving, make sure your insurance covers Oman.
- By air: Budget airlines Air Arabia, Flydubai and SalamAir offer direct routes to Muscat from the UAE.
- Tourists from the Emirates (UAE nationals not included) must apply for an Omani visa online before arrival at evisa.rop.gov.om. The process typically takes several days.
- Flash floods are probable due to the terrain and a lack of drainage. Always check the weather before venturing into any canyons or other remote areas and identify a plan of escape that includes high ground, shelter and parking where your car won’t be overtaken by sudden downpours.
Suggested picnic spots
Abu Dhabi
Umm Al Emarat Park
Yas Gateway Park
Delma Park
Al Bateen beach
Saadiyaat beach
The Corniche
Zayed Sports City
Dubai
Kite Beach
Zabeel Park
Al Nahda Pond Park
Mushrif Park
Safa Park
Al Mamzar Beach Park
Al Qudrah Lakes
How much do leading UAE’s UK curriculum schools charge for Year 6?
- Nord Anglia International School (Dubai) – Dh85,032
- Kings School Al Barsha (Dubai) – Dh71,905
- Brighton College Abu Dhabi - Dh68,560
- Jumeirah English Speaking School (Dubai) – Dh59,728
- Gems Wellington International School – Dubai Branch – Dh58,488
- The British School Al Khubairat (Abu Dhabi) - Dh54,170
- Dubai English Speaking School – Dh51,269
*Annual tuition fees covering the 2024/2025 academic year
Race card
6.30pm: Handicap (TB) $68,000 (Dirt) 1,200m
7.05pm: Meydan Cup – Listed Handicap (TB) $88,000 (Turf) 2,810m
7.40pm: UAE 2000 Guineas – Group 3 (TB) $125,000 (D) 1,600m
8.15pm: Firebreak Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $130,000 (D) 1,600m
9.50pm: Meydan Classic – Conditions (TB) $$50,000 (T) 1,400m
9.25pm: Dubai Sprint – Listed Handicap (TB) $88,000 (T) 1,200m
Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE
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The specs
Engine: 2.3-litre, turbo four-cylinder
Transmission: 10-speed auto
Power: 300hp
Torque: 420Nm
Price: Dh189,900
On sale: now
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
MATCH INFO
Barcelona 2
Suarez (10'), Messi (52')
Real Madrid 2
Ronaldo (14'), Bale (72')
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Specs
Engine: 51.5kW electric motor
Range: 400km
Power: 134bhp
Torque: 175Nm
Price: From Dh98,800
Available: Now
Abu%20Dhabi%E2%80%99s%20Racecard
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New schools in Dubai
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Red Sparrow
Dir: Francis Lawrence
Starring: Jennifer Lawrence, Joel Egerton, Charlotte Rampling, Jeremy Irons
Three stars
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
SERIES INFO
Schedule:
All matches at the Harare Sports Club
1st ODI, Wed Apr 10
2nd ODI, Fri Apr 12
3rd ODI, Sun Apr 14
4th ODI, Sun Apr 16
UAE squad
Mohammed Naveed (captain), Rohan Mustafa, Ashfaq Ahmed, Shaiman Anwar, Mohammed Usman, CP Rizwan, Chirag Suri, Mohammed Boota, Ghulam Shabber, Sultan Ahmed, Imran Haider, Amir Hayat, Zahoor Khan, Qadeer Ahmed
Zimbabwe squad
Peter Moor (captain), Solomon Mire, Brian Chari, Regis Chakabva, Sean Williams, Timycen Maruma, Sikandar Raza, Donald Tiripano, Kyle Jarvis, Tendai Chatara, Chris Mpofu, Craig Ervine, Brandon Mavuta, Ainsley Ndlovu, Tony Munyonga, Elton Chigumbura
Company%20Profile
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'Saand Ki Aankh'
Produced by: Reliance Entertainment with Chalk and Cheese Films
Director: Tushar Hiranandani
Cast: Taapsee Pannu, Bhumi Pednekar, Prakash Jha, Vineet Singh
Rating: 3.5/5 stars
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory