Donald (the "deal maker") Trump worked hard to justify his reputation during his recent swing through East Asia by urging Japan to buy more US armaments and by signing some US$250 billion of US-China business "deals" in Beijing.
The 10-day Trump Odyssey, encompassing visits to Japan, South Korea, China, Vietnam and the Philippines, was always intended be more about show than substance. It was designed to impress upon Asia the fact that the US is still the premier power in the region despite China's rise as an economic and geopolitical giant.
In particular, Mr Trump used his visit to Tokyo - the first stop on his tour - to make it clear that the US-Japan relationship is "rock solid" and that no other power should doubt that. The message was aimed at China and North Korea although neither was mentioned by name. As the veteran Japan analyst Jesper Koll tells The National: "Trump believes in speaking loudly and carrying a big stick."
The fact that three giant US aircraft carriers - accompanied by a flotilla of Japanese and other maritime vessels - were dispatched to seas in the East Asia region during Mr Trump's visit served to reinforce the message to Asia in general and to China and North Korea in particular that the US is not to be messed with.
To the relief of the South Korean president Moon Jae-in, the US leader had toned down somewhat the harsh rhetoric he used in Japan against North Korea in Japan by the time he arrived in Seoul. South Koreans had feared that a repeat of Mr Trump's threat to rain "fire and fury" on the North could inflame its leader Kim Jong-un and touch off a local missile attack, or even a Third World War.
Likewise in Beijing, Mr Trump went out of his way to flatter the Chinese president Xi Jinping and even suggested that China had been "smart" to rack up huge trade surpluses by taking advantage of what he believes were the weak and faulty trade policies of his predecessors in the White House.
After being granted an audience in Japan with Emperor Akihito and receiving red-carpet treatment all round, the US leader was treated in Beijing to a banquet in the Great Hall of the People and to a pageantry-rich visit to the Chinese capital's Forbidden City. The Japanese and Chinese were clearly out to honour Mr Trump and he was anxious to bolster his tarnished image in the US.
But when it comes to practising what he preaches in his book Trump: The Art of the Deal - which seems to describe Mr Trump's attitude toward US foreign and economic policymaking - his performance fell short in Asia, analysts say. He simply urged Japan to cut its trade surplus with the US but said nothing further about the new bilateral trade deal he has been demanding from Tokyo.
He did get agreement from Japan to buy more arms from the US - the details of which were not disclosed - and he even suggested that if these purchases included US-made ballistic missile interceptors that Japan could "shoot down over-flying North Korean missiles bound for Guam or the US". However, the defence analyst Lance Gating believes that is all but impossible, saying that by the time a missile was over Japan, it would be "very high and moving extremely fast". A missile destroyer would need "to be in just the right position to intercept", he says and for it to succeed in taking a missile out would be a "pretty low percentage shot".
____________
Read more:
Asia-Pacific leaders agree to address 'unfair trade practices'
Trump hails China ties after a feast of flattery
Trump says US will work with Japan for a balanced trade deal
____________
In China, where he was accompanied by a cohort of leading US businessmen, Mr Trump boasted of having signed billions of dollars worth of deals in just a couple of days. But many of these "deals", which were unveiled at a special signing ceremony in Beijing, took the form of memorandums of understanding (MOUs) rather than set-in-stone contracts. These included a $38bn agreement between Boeing and China Aviation Supplies Holding Company, a $5bn Goldman Sachs deal with China Investment Corporation and a $10bn MOU between Ford Trading Company and Ford Motor (China).
But in many cases the deals were already "in the works" before Mr Trump's visit, according to David Dollar a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. China did offer to open its markets wider - including those in the services sector - to the US but few details were revealed.
Mr Trump also held talks with Mr Jinping about the multibillion-dollar US trade deficit with China.
China's trade surplus – an economic measure of a positive balance of trade, where a country's exports exceed its imports – expanded by 12.2 per cent in October from the previous year, reaching $26.6bn, according to Chinese customs data.
The total surplus rose to a staggering $223bn in the first 10 months of this year.
Despite the relative lack of hard bargains on the trade front, Mr trump was still able to present his Asia tour as a "win-win situation", according to Mr Koll, who heads the investment firm Wisdom Tree, Japan, in Tokyo. He was able to claim deals that were of direct benefit to US companies and their workers. The "message was to his home base", Mr Koll says.
Coinciding with Mr Trump's tour of Asia, negotiators from the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) meeting in Danang, Vietnam were scrambling to save what had been designed as, until the US president pulled America out of it at the start of this year, a 12-nation trade pact. Japan remains determined to salvage the accord if possible and to lure Washington back in again.
"It is interesting how focused Japan is on working on a multilateral agreement ... but with Japan and not America taking leadership," Mr Koll says. "Japan, together with Australia and New Zealand, is trying to establish a framework for Asian trade and Asian intellectual property. Japan under [the prime minister Shinzo] Abe has the confidence to try and do this without the US."
But Mr Trump is unlikely to buy this idea, Mr Koll adds. "Why would he? Number one, [a TPP minus the US] would not get very far and number two we have to consider the bigger picture of the US-Japan and China triangle.
"What matters and here is that Trump is playing from a position of strength. He is the 'best friend' of Mr Abe but he is also going out of his way to claim that he is best friends with Mr Xi."
The US cannot play it both ways by joining the TPP, which excludes China, he points out.
The biog
Favourite food: Tabbouleh, greek salad and sushi
Favourite TV show: That 70s Show
Favourite animal: Ferrets, they are smart, sensitive, playful and loving
Favourite holiday destination: Seychelles, my resolution for 2020 is to visit as many spiritual retreats and animal shelters across the world as I can
Name of first pet: Eddy, a Persian cat that showed up at our home
Favourite dog breed: I love them all - if I had to pick Yorkshire terrier for small dogs and St Bernard's for big
The specs
Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel
Power: 579hp
Torque: 859Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh825,900
On sale: Now
COMPANY%20PROFILE%20
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Zidane's managerial achievements
La Liga: 2016/17
Spanish Super Cup: 2017
Uefa Champions League: 2015/16, 2016/17, 2017/18
Uefa Super Cup: 2016, 2017
Fifa Club World Cup: 2016, 2017
ASHES SCHEDULE
First Test
November 23-27 (The Gabba, Brisbane)
Second Test
December 2-6 (Adelaide Oval, Adelaide)
Third Test
December 14-18 (Waca Ground, Perth)
Fourth Test
December 26-30 (Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne)
Fifth Test
January 4-8, 2018 (Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney)
Company%20profile
%3Cp%3EDate%20started%3A%20January%202022%3Cbr%3EFounders%3A%20Omar%20Abu%20Innab%2C%20Silvia%20Eldawi%2C%20Walid%20Shihabi%3Cbr%3EBased%3A%20Dubai%3Cbr%3ESector%3A%20PropTech%20%2F%20investment%3Cbr%3EEmployees%3A%2040%3Cbr%3EStage%3A%20Seed%3Cbr%3EInvestors%3A%20Multiple%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
WORLD CUP SEMI-FINALS
England v New Zealand (Saturday, 12pm)
Wales v South Africa (Sunday, 1pm)
The biog
First Job: Abu Dhabi Department of Petroleum in 1974
Current role: Chairperson of Al Maskari Holding since 2008
Career high: Regularly cited on Forbes list of 100 most powerful Arab Businesswomen
Achievement: Helped establish Al Maskari Medical Centre in 1969 in Abu Dhabi’s Western Region
Future plan: Will now concentrate on her charitable work
Guide to intelligent investing
Investing success often hinges on discipline and perspective. As markets fluctuate, remember these guiding principles:
- Stay invested: Time in the market, not timing the market, is critical to long-term gains.
- Rational thinking: Breathe and avoid emotional decision-making; let logic and planning guide your actions.
- Strategic patience: Understand why you’re investing and allow time for your strategies to unfold.
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Florence and the Machine – High as Hope
Three stars
THE SIXTH SENSE
Starring: Bruce Willis, Toni Collette, Hayley Joel Osment
Director: M. Night Shyamalan
Rating: 5/5
Dubai Bling season three
Cast: Loujain Adada, Zeina Khoury, Farhana Bodi, Ebraheem Al Samadi, Mona Kattan, and couples Safa & Fahad Siddiqui and DJ Bliss & Danya Mohammed
Rating: 1/5
The specs
Engine: 3.8-litre twin-turbo flat-six
Power: 650hp at 6,750rpm
Torque: 800Nm from 2,500-4,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed dual-clutch auto
Fuel consumption: 11.12L/100km
Price: From Dh796,600
On sale: now
Herc's Adventures
Developer: Big Ape Productions
Publisher: LucasArts
Console: PlayStation 1 & 5, Sega Saturn
Rating: 4/5
If you go
Where to stay: Courtyard by Marriott Titusville Kennedy Space Centre has unparalleled views of the Indian River. Alligators can be spotted from hotel room balconies, as can several rocket launch sites. The hotel also boasts cool space-themed decor.
When to go: Florida is best experienced during the winter months, from November to May, before the humidity kicks in.
How to get there: Emirates currently flies from Dubai to Orlando five times a week.
Company%C2%A0profile
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
ABU%20DHABI'S%20KEY%20TOURISM%20GOALS%3A%20BY%20THE%20NUMBERS
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
Cryopreservation: A timeline
- Keyhole surgery under general anaesthetic
- Ovarian tissue surgically removed
- Tissue processed in a high-tech facility
- Tissue re-implanted at a time of the patient’s choosing
- Full hormone production regained within 4-6 months
T20 World Cup Qualifier
October 18 – November 2
Opening fixtures
Friday, October 18
ICC Academy: 10am, Scotland v Singapore, 2.10pm, Netherlands v Kenya
Zayed Cricket Stadium: 2.10pm, Hong Kong v Ireland, 7.30pm, Oman v UAE
UAE squad
Ahmed Raza (captain), Rohan Mustafa, Ashfaq Ahmed, Rameez Shahzad, Darius D’Silva, Mohammed Usman, Mohammed Boota, Zawar Farid, Ghulam Shabber, Junaid Siddique, Sultan Ahmed, Imran Haider, Waheed Ahmed, Chirag Suri, Zahoor Khan
Players out: Mohammed Naveed, Shaiman Anwar, Qadeer Ahmed
Players in: Junaid Siddique, Darius D’Silva, Waheed Ahmed
MATCH DETAILS
Chelsea 4
Jorginho (4 pen, 71 pen), Azpilicueta (63), James (74)
Ajax 4
Abraham (2 og), Promes (20). Kepa (35 og), van de Beek (55)
Game Changer
Director: Shankar
Stars: Ram Charan, Kiara Advani, Anjali, S J Suryah, Jayaram
Rating: 2/5
Teaching in coronavirus times
Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
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Empty Words
By Mario Levrero
(Coffee House Press)
Other workplace saving schemes
- The UAE government announced a retirement savings plan for private and free zone sector employees in 2023.
- Dubai’s savings retirement scheme for foreign employees working in the emirate’s government and public sector came into effect in 2022.
- National Bonds unveiled a Golden Pension Scheme in 2022 to help private-sector foreign employees with their financial planning.
- In April 2021, Hayah Insurance unveiled a workplace savings plan to help UAE employees save for their retirement.
- Lunate, an Abu Dhabi-based investment manager, has launched a fund that will allow UAE private companies to offer employees investment returns on end-of-service benefits.
Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
And%20Just%20Like%20That...
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Various%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Sarah%20Jessica%20Parker%2C%20Cynthia%20Nixon%2C%20Kristin%20Davis%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%203%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
RESULTS
5pm Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (Turf) 1,600m
Winner Thabet Al Reef, Bernardo Pinheiro (jockey), Abdallah Al Hammadi (trainer)
5.30pm Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,600m
Winner Blue Diamond, Pat Cosgrave, Abdallah Al Hammadi
6pm Arabian Triple Crown Round-1 Listed (PA) Dh230,000 (T) 1,600m
Winner Hameem, Adrie de Vries, Abdallah Al Hammadi
6.30pm Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (T) 1,400m
Winner Shoja’A Muscat, Szczepan Mazur, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami
7pm Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,200m
Winner Heros De Lagarde, Szczepan Mazur, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami
7.30pm Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 (T) 2,400m
Winner Good Tidings, Antonio Fresu, Musabah Al Muhairi
How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
North Pole stats
Distance covered: 160km
Temperature: -40°C
Weight of equipment: 45kg
Altitude (metres above sea level): 0
Terrain: Ice rock
South Pole stats
Distance covered: 130km
Temperature: -50°C
Weight of equipment: 50kg
Altitude (metres above sea level): 3,300
Terrain: Flat ice
THE SPECS
Engine: 1.5-litre
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Power: 110 horsepower
Torque: 147Nm
Price: From Dh59,700
On sale: now
TECH%20SPECS%3A%20APPLE%20WATCH%20SERIES%208
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Results
Ashraf Ghani 50.64 per cent
Abdullah Abdullah 39.52 per cent
Gulbuddin Hekmatyar 3.85 per cent
Rahmatullah Nabil 1.8 per cent