Saab's chief executive Micael Johansson is bullish about demand for its military products. Antonie Robertson / The National
Saab's chief executive Micael Johansson is bullish about demand for its military products. Antonie Robertson / The National
Saab's chief executive Micael Johansson is bullish about demand for its military products. Antonie Robertson / The National
Saab's chief executive Micael Johansson is bullish about demand for its military products. Antonie Robertson / The National

Idex Abu Dhabi 2025: Saab chief sees demand surge as Europe to increase defence spending


Fareed Rahman
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Political tension in Europe, stoked by the Russia-Ukraine war and Washington's push for European countries to spend more on protecting themselves, will boost growth for defence companies, the chief executive of Swedish conglomerate Saab has told The National.

“One thing that is absolutely dominating the discussion now is that Europe must step up and take more defence responsibility, which means that it will spend more on defence as part of GDP. That, of course, opens up opportunities for us,” Micael Johansson, who is also president of the Stockholm-based group, said on the sidelines of the International Defence Exhibition and Conference (Idex) in Abu Dhabi.

US President Donald Trump, critical of the low defence spending of Nato nations during his first presidential term, has begun his second stint in the White House with the same demand. He has urged Nato members to increase their defence spending to 5 per cent of gross domestic product, from the current target of 2 per cent.

Earlier this month, US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth toured Europe and said America would no longer tolerate an imbalance in its relationship with Europe over defence. He added that military spending of 5 per cent of economic output is a goal European nations must achieve to meet their own security requirements, and not depend on the US.

Saab, which manufactures Gripen fighter aircraft, air traffic control systems and radars among other products, had invested in boosting its production capacity even before the Russia's invasion of Ukraine, nearly three years ago. Those investments are expected to support the company in meeting the rising demand as European nations boost defence spending, Mr Johansson said.

“On our weapons side, we started this investment quite early, and now we've invested even more, of course, to quadruple output on our munitions side, which is something that will come into play more and more this year and next year,” he said.

European defence stocks including Germany’s Rheinmetall, Saab and UK’s BAE Systems surged last week in anticipation of companies winning more defence contracts.

Saab's shares, which closed 2.85 per cent higher on Wednesday, gained 1.67 per cent during early trade on Thursday.

Sweden is Saab’s biggest market, followed by the rest of Europe, with sales worth 26.1 billion Swedish kronor ($2.44 billion) and 15.8 billion kronor, respectively, by the end of last year. It also sells weapons to other markets including North America, Latin America, Asia and Africa.

Saab chief executive Micael Johansson says Sweden is the company's biggest market, followed by the rest of Europe. Antonie Robertson / The National
Saab chief executive Micael Johansson says Sweden is the company's biggest market, followed by the rest of Europe. Antonie Robertson / The National

The company recorded sales worth 63.7 billion kronor last year, up 23.5 per cent from the previous year. It expects 12 per cent to 16 per cent organic growth in sales this year.

A number of defence products offered by the company are expected to be in demand as geopolitical tensions continue to remain high in the region, Mr Johansson said.

“We have advanced weapon systems with support weapons and the tank weapons and also missile capability. Those two areas are the ones that are growing the most, but also training in simulation. So many defence forces need sort of increased training, because they're increasing the forces as such, and they need to be more prepared.”

More than 1,500 international and domestic companies are taking part in the International Defence Exhibition and Conference in Abu Dhabi. Antonie Robertson / The National
More than 1,500 international and domestic companies are taking part in the International Defence Exhibition and Conference in Abu Dhabi. Antonie Robertson / The National

In 2024, global defence spending reached $2.46 trillion, up from $2.24 trillion in the previous year, driven by Europe and the Middle East and North Africa amid continued security challenges, a recent report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies found.

Defence requirements have gone up in Europe amid Russia-Ukraine war. Europe and its allies, including the US, have been supporting Ukraine with billions in weapons and funding.

The UK's BAE Systems is also bullish about demand rising for its products.

“We have demand and we think that continues,” Brian Gathright, vice president of business development, platforms and services at BAE Systems, said.

“Certainly, the Ukraine conflict has kind of revalidated some of the importance of the role of armour in land combat, the importance of artillery and so we're seeing strength across our offerings in that space.”

The company is displaying its Amphibious Combat Vehicle at Idex, which has operational capabilities on water as well as on land, with demand continuing to rise. Currently, it is being manufactured for use by the US marine corps and BAE expects demand for the vehicle in GCC as well as other countries.

“Globally, the United States is our largest customer. We have significant home market customers and we have a host of international customers, with the orders we received in Czech Republic and Slovakia. The UK is a major customer for us, across all of our business,” Mr Gathright said.

Another European defence company MBDA said the context today is favourable to sell more weapons in Europe.

“We have increased defence spending in Europe, and MBDA is a major missile supplier of our domestic market,” Patrice Hajjar, MBDA’s Middle East vice president, Sales and Business Development Directorate, said.

The company's main markets comprise France, the UK, Germany, Italy and Spain, with plans to expand in the Middle East, Mr Hajjar added.

Squad

Ali Kasheif, Salim Rashid, Khalifa Al Hammadi, Khalfan Mubarak, Ali Mabkhout, Omar Abdulrahman, Mohammed Al Attas, Abdullah Ramadan, Zayed Al Ameri (Al Jazira), Mohammed Al Shamsi, Hamdan Al Kamali, Mohammed Barghash, Khalil Al Hammadi (Al Wahda), Khalid Essa, Mohammed Shaker, Ahmed Barman, Bandar Al Ahbabi (Al Ain), Al Hassan Saleh, Majid Suroor (Sharjah) Walid Abbas, Ahmed Khalil (Shabab Al Ahli), Tariq Ahmed, Jasim Yaqoub (Al Nasr), Ali Saleh, Ali Salmeen (Al Wasl), Hassan Al Muharami (Baniyas) 

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
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  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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The low down

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How to turn your property into a holiday home
  1. Ensure decoration and styling – and portal photography – quality is high to achieve maximum rates.
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Fuel consumption: 10.7L/100km

Price: Dh179,999-plus

On sale: now 

Changing visa rules

For decades the UAE has granted two and three year visas to foreign workers, tied to their current employer. Now that's changing.

Last year, the UAE cabinet also approved providing 10-year visas to foreigners with investments in the UAE of at least Dh10 million, if non-real estate assets account for at least 60 per cent of the total. Investors can bring their spouses and children into the country.

It also approved five-year residency to owners of UAE real estate worth at least 5 million dirhams.

The government also said that leading academics, medical doctors, scientists, engineers and star students would be eligible for similar long-term visas, without the need for financial investments in the country.

The first batch - 20 finalists for the Mohammed bin Rashid Medal for Scientific Distinction.- were awarded in January and more are expected to follow.

If you go

The flights
There are various ways of getting to the southern Serengeti in Tanzania from the UAE. The exact route and airstrip depends on your overall trip itinerary and which camp you’re staying at. 
Flydubai flies direct from Dubai to Kilimanjaro International Airport from Dh1,350 return, including taxes; this can be followed by a short flight from Kilimanjaro to the Serengeti with Coastal Aviation from about US$700 (Dh2,500) return, including taxes. Kenya Airways, Emirates and Etihad offer flights via Nairobi or Dar es Salaam.   

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Second Test, at Kandy
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Third Test, at Colombo
From Nov 23-27

Brief scores:

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Australia 158-4 (17 ov)

Maxwell 46, Lynn 37; Kuldeep 2-24

India 169-7 (17 ov)

Dhawan 76, Karthik 30; Zampa 2-22

Result: Australia won by 4 runs by D/L method

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Updated: February 21, 2025, 3:00 AM