People take cover by the side of a road in Tel Aviv after Iran fired a salvo of ballistic missiles on October 1. Reuters
People take cover by the side of a road in Tel Aviv after Iran fired a salvo of ballistic missiles on October 1. Reuters
People take cover by the side of a road in Tel Aviv after Iran fired a salvo of ballistic missiles on October 1. Reuters
People take cover by the side of a road in Tel Aviv after Iran fired a salvo of ballistic missiles on October 1. Reuters

S&P downgrades Israel rating on heightened security risk


Alvin R Cabral
  • English
  • Arabic

Live updates: Follow the latest from Israel-Gaza

S&P Global Ratings downgraded Israel's credit rating amid the escalation of hostilities with its Middle East neighbours, the third such action from a major ratings agency in a span of less than two months, while also warning of a delayed economic recovery.

The country's long-term sovereign credit rating was lowered to “A” from “A+", with a negative outlook due to “heightened security risk”, New York-based S&P said on Tuesday.

The “A” rating is considered upper-medium investment grade and is five levels above junk status on S&P's ratings scale. An investment-grade rating makes it easier for a country to access capital markets and raise funding when it seeks to borrow.

S&P also expects the recovery in Israel's economy to be held back by the conflict, with real growth forecasts now also downgraded to 0 per cent for 2024 and 2.2 per cent for 2025, down from previous estimates of 0.5 per cent and 5 per cent, respectively, S&P said.

With S&P's move, the so-called big three ratings agencies have now all downgraded Israel's credit rating: Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investors Service made similar decisions in August and last week, respectively.

On Tuesday, Moody's downgraded the insurance financial strength rating (IFSR) to Baa1 from A3 on Clal Credit Insurance, one of the two largest credit insurers in the Israeli market and a subsidiary of Clal Insurance Company. The outlook was changed to negative from stable.

“We believe that, longer term, Israel's economy will be more durably weakened by the military conflict than expected earlier, leading to some pressure on Clal's profitability, asset quality and capital adequacy,” it said.

The agency also downgraded to Baa2 from Baa1 the long-term senior secured ratings of Israel Electric Corporation, which is almost completely owned by the Israeli government.

Along with its war in Gaza, which has been going on for nearly a year, Israel has launched a ground invasion against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon and has threatened to retaliate to Iran's Tuesday missile attack.

“We see an increasing likelihood that Israel's conflict with Hezbollah, given the recent escalation of fighting, becomes more protracted and intensifies, posing security risks for Israel,” analysts at S&P wrote in their report.

“We now consider that military activity in Gaza and an upsurge in fighting across Israel's northern border – including a ground incursion into Lebanon – could persist into 2025, with risks of retaliation against Israel. The latter in particular has been highlighted by a missile attack on Israel by Iran at the beginning of October.”

Israel's economy grew less than expected in the second quarter of this year. The country’s gross domestic product expanded by 1.2 per cent in the April-June period, the Central Bureau of Statistics said last month.

The conflicts Israel have been involved in reflect the risks to its growth, public finances and balance of payments, including direct security threats in case of retaliatory rocket attacks, the S&P analysts said.

“The negative outlook also reflects the risk of a more direct war with Iran, although this is not in our current base case,” they added.

  • Israel's missile-defence systems intercept rockets above the city of Ashkelon. Reuters
    Israel's missile-defence systems intercept rockets above the city of Ashkelon. Reuters
  • Palestinians investigate a missile shell in Tubas, in the West Bank. Reuters
    Palestinians investigate a missile shell in Tubas, in the West Bank. Reuters
  • Israelis wait to reboard their bus after missiles launched from Iran were intercepted in the skies over Rosh Haayin. AP
    Israelis wait to reboard their bus after missiles launched from Iran were intercepted in the skies over Rosh Haayin. AP
  • A resident shows the Tzofar incoming rocket alert app on their phone in Tel Aviv. Getty Images
    A resident shows the Tzofar incoming rocket alert app on their phone in Tel Aviv. Getty Images
  • A man takes cover behind a car in Tel Aviv. AFP
    A man takes cover behind a car in Tel Aviv. AFP
  • Missiles are intercepted near the city of Baqa Al Gharbiya in northern Israel. AFP
    Missiles are intercepted near the city of Baqa Al Gharbiya in northern Israel. AFP
  • People take cover under a bridge in Tel Aviv. AFP
    People take cover under a bridge in Tel Aviv. AFP
  • People take shelter during the air raid alert in central Israel. Reuters
    People take shelter during the air raid alert in central Israel. Reuters
  • Missiles are intercepted over Tel Aviv. AFP
    Missiles are intercepted over Tel Aviv. AFP
  • A rocket flies in the sky above Ashkelon. Reuters
    A rocket flies in the sky above Ashkelon. Reuters
  • People take cover behind a car in Tel Aviv. AFP
    People take cover behind a car in Tel Aviv. AFP
  • Missiles are intercepted above Tel Aviv. AFP
    Missiles are intercepted above Tel Aviv. AFP

S&P said its sees two near-term implications of the recent conflict escalation for Israel: increased risk from retaliatory rocket fire from Hezbollah, other Iran proxies in the region or Iran itself, and a broader economic impact of the recent escalation.

“Under these assumptions, we expect Israel's real GDP to stagnate in 2024. We anticipate that higher security threats will dampen consumer and investor confidence, while tourism, construction and agricultural sectors will remain affected.”

A wider ground operation in Lebanon requiring a call-up of reservists could also constrain economic recovery in the short term, they added.

S&P also projects that an increase in defence-related expenditure may result in a government deficit of 9 per cent of GDP for 2024, before slowing down to 6 per cent of GDP next year.

However, despite the risks, S&P's ratings on Israel remain supported by “several key strengths”, including the country's balance of payments and its “highly adaptable and diversified economy”, which has historically strong growth rates and rebounded quickly from crises.

Israel has “high per capita income levels, and we note that the economy's concentration on exports of high-tech services also provides for higher ability for some employees to work remotely, mitigating the impact of security disruptions on the domestic economy”, S&P said.

The biog:

From: Wimbledon, London, UK

Education: Medical doctor

Hobbies: Travelling, meeting new people and cultures 

Favourite animals: All of them 

If you go

The flights
Emirates and Etihad fly direct to Nairobi, with fares starting from Dh1,695. The resort can be reached from Nairobi via a 35-minute flight from Wilson Airport or Jomo Kenyatta International Airport, or by road, which takes at least three hours.

The rooms
Rooms at Fairmont Mount Kenya range from Dh1,870 per night for a deluxe room to Dh11,000 per night for the William Holden Cottage.

LOVE%20AGAIN
%3Cp%3EDirector%3A%20Jim%20Strouse%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EStars%3A%20Priyanka%20Chopra%20Jonas%2C%20Sam%20Heughan%2C%20Celine%20Dion%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ERating%3A%202%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Marathon results

Men:

 1. Titus Ekiru(KEN) 2:06:13 

2. Alphonce Simbu(TAN) 2:07:50 

3. Reuben Kipyego(KEN) 2:08:25 

4. Abel Kirui(KEN) 2:08:46 

5. Felix Kemutai(KEN) 2:10:48  

Women:

1. Judith Korir(KEN) 2:22:30 

2. Eunice Chumba(BHR) 2:26:01 

3. Immaculate Chemutai(UGA) 2:28:30 

4. Abebech Bekele(ETH) 2:29:43 

5. Aleksandra Morozova(RUS) 2:33:01  

Desert Warrior

Starring: Anthony Mackie, Aiysha Hart, Ben Kingsley

Director: Rupert Wyatt

Rating: 3/5

The%20BaaS%20ecosystem
%3Cp%3EThe%20BaaS%20value%20chain%20consists%20of%20four%20key%20players%3A%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsumers%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20End-users%20of%20the%20financial%20product%20delivered%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDistributors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Also%20known%20as%20embedders%2C%20these%20are%20the%20firms%20that%20embed%20baking%20services%20directly%20into%20their%20existing%20customer%20journeys%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEnablers%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Usually%20Big%20Tech%20or%20FinTech%20companies%20that%20help%20embed%20financial%20services%20into%20third-party%20platforms%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EProviders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Financial%20institutions%20holding%20a%20banking%20licence%20and%20offering%20regulated%20products%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The specs: 2019 Mercedes-Benz C200 Coupe


Price, base: Dh201,153
Engine: 2.0-litre turbocharged four-cylinder
Transmission: Nine-speed automatic
Power: 204hp @ 5,800rpm
Torque: 300Nm @ 1,600rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 6.7L / 100km

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

SPEC%20SHEET%3A%20APPLE%20M3%20MACBOOK%20AIR%20(13%22)
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EProcessor%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Apple%20M3%2C%208-core%20CPU%2C%20up%20to%2010-core%20CPU%2C%2016-core%20Neural%20Engine%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDisplay%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2013.6-inch%20Liquid%20Retina%2C%202560%20x%201664%2C%20224ppi%2C%20500%20nits%2C%20True%20Tone%2C%20wide%20colour%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EMemory%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%208%2F16%2F24GB%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStorage%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20256%2F512GB%20%2F%201%2F2TB%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EI%2FO%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Thunderbolt%203%2FUSB-4%20(2)%2C%203.5mm%20audio%2C%20Touch%20ID%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EConnectivity%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Wi-Fi%206E%2C%20Bluetooth%205.3%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EBattery%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2052.6Wh%20lithium-polymer%2C%20up%20to%2018%20hours%2C%20MagSafe%20charging%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECamera%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%201080p%20FaceTime%20HD%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EVideo%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Support%20for%20Apple%20ProRes%2C%20HDR%20with%20Dolby%20Vision%2C%20HDR10%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EAudio%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204-speaker%20system%2C%20wide%20stereo%2C%20support%20for%20Dolby%20Atmos%2C%20Spatial%20Audio%20and%20dynamic%20head%20tracking%20(with%20AirPods)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EColours%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Midnight%2C%20silver%2C%20space%20grey%2C%20starlight%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EIn%20the%20box%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20MacBook%20Air%2C%2030W%2F35W%20dual-port%2F70w%20power%20adapter%2C%20USB-C-to-MagSafe%20cable%2C%202%20Apple%20stickers%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20From%20Dh4%2C599%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
A%20QUIET%20PLACE
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Indoor Cricket World Cup - Sept 16-20, Insportz, Dubai

What is Reform?

Reform is a right-wing, populist party led by Nigel Farage, a former MEP who won a seat in the House of Commons last year at his eighth attempt and a prominent figure in the campaign for the UK to leave the European Union.

It was founded in 2018 and originally called the Brexit Party.

Many of its members previously belonged to UKIP or the mainstream Conservatives.

After Brexit took place, the party focused on the reformation of British democracy.

Former Tory deputy chairman Lee Anderson became its first MP after defecting in March 2024.

The party gained support from Elon Musk, and had hoped the tech billionaire would make a £100m donation. However, Mr Musk changed his mind and called for Mr Farage to step down as leader in a row involving the US tycoon's support for far-right figurehead Tommy Robinson who is in prison for contempt of court.

Meghan%20podcast
%3Cp%3EMeghan%20Markle%2C%20the%20wife%20of%20Prince%20Harry%2C%20launched%20her%20long-awaited%20podcast%20Tuesday%2C%20with%20tennis%20megastar%20Serena%20Williams%20as%20the%20first%20guest.%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EThe%20Duchess%20of%20Sussex%20said%20the%2012-part%20series%2C%20called%20%22Archetypes%2C%22%20--%20a%20play%20on%20the%20name%20of%20the%20couple's%20oldest%20child%2C%20Archie%20--%20would%20explore%20the%20female%20experience.%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ELast%20year%20the%20couple%20told%20Oprah%20Winfrey%20that%20life%20inside%20%22The%20Firm%22%20had%20been%20miserable%2C%20and%20that%20they%20had%20experienced%20racism.%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%22I%20don't%20ever%20remember%20personally%20feeling%20the%20negative%20connotation%20behind%20the%20word%20ambitious%2C%20until%20I%20started%20dating%20my%20now-husband%2C%22%20she%20told%20the%20tennis%20champion.%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The specs
  • Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
  • Power: 640hp
  • Torque: 760nm
  • On sale: 2026
  • Price: Not announced yet
INFO
Cricket World Cup League Two

Teams

Oman, UAE, Namibia

Al Amerat, Muscat

 

Results

Oman beat UAE by five wickets

UAE beat Namibia by eight runs

Namibia beat Oman by 52 runs

UAE beat Namibia by eight wickets

 

Fixtures

Saturday January 11 - UAE v Oman

Sunday January 12 – Oman v Namibia

How to apply for a drone permit
  • Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
  • Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
  • Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
  • Submit their request
What are the regulations?
  • Fly it within visual line of sight
  • Never over populated areas
  • Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
  • Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
  • Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
  • Should have a live feed of the drone flight
  • Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
%20Ramez%20Gab%20Min%20El%20Akher
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECreator%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Ramez%20Galal%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Ramez%20Galal%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStreaming%20on%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EMBC%20Shahid%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Profile of VoucherSkout

Date of launch: November 2016

Founder: David Tobias

Based: Jumeirah Lake Towers

Sector: Technology

Size: 18 employees

Stage: Embarking on a Series A round to raise $5 million in the first quarter of 2019 with a 20 per cent stake

Investors: Seed round was self-funded with “millions of dollars” 

VERSTAPPEN'S FIRSTS

Youngest F1 driver (17 years 3 days Japan 2014)
Youngest driver to start an F1 race (17 years 166 days – Australia 2015)
Youngest F1 driver to score points (17 years 180 days - Malaysia 2015)
Youngest driver to lead an F1 race (18 years 228 days – Spain 2016)
Youngest driver to set an F1 fastest lap (19 years 44 days – Brazil 2016)
Youngest on F1 podium finish (18 years 228 days – Spain 2016)
Youngest F1 winner (18 years 228 days – Spain 2016)
Youngest multiple F1 race winner (Mexico 2017/18)
Youngest F1 driver to win the same race (Mexico 2017/18)

FA Cup fifth round draw

Sheffield Wednesday v Manchester City
Reading/Cardiff City v Sheffield United
Chelsea v Shrewsbury Town/Liverpool
West Bromwich Albion v Newcastle United/Oxford United
Leicester City v Coventry City/Birmingham City
Northampton Town/Derby County v Manchester United
Southampton/Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City
Portsmouth v Arsenal 

Updated: October 02, 2024, 6:25 AM