Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi said the UAE is a 'nerve-centre' of international commerce. Victor Besa / The National
Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi said the UAE is a 'nerve-centre' of international commerce. Victor Besa / The National
Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi said the UAE is a 'nerve-centre' of international commerce. Victor Besa / The National
Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi said the UAE is a 'nerve-centre' of international commerce. Victor Besa / The National

Doubling re-exports to 'significantly' boost UAE GDP, minister says


Alvin R Cabral
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The UAE's plan to double its re-exports is expected to significantly boost the industry's contribution to the country's gross domestic product, the Minister of State for Foreign Trade has said.

Achieving this would mean that every dollar of merchandise the Emirates re-exports would result in 12 cents being added to the national GDP, which would be 3.5 times its current impact, Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi said in a LinkedIn post on Wednesday.

This would enhance the national logistics infrastructure, promote activity within free zones, boost the inflows of foreign direct investment, strengthen global supply chains and support the creation of new jobs, he said.

"The UAE is a nerve-centre of international commerce," Dr Al Zeyoudi said.

"From our record non-oil foreign trade volumes in 2022 to our ongoing Cepa [Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement] programme, we have become a vital trade facilitator and trusted trade partner."

The UAE Cabinet on March 28 approved the national agenda for re-export development 2030, which includes 24 initiatives and programmes aimed at doubling re-exports from the UAE over the next seven years.

The UAE is tapping into the significant potential of re-exports by "developing specialised areas in co-operation with local governments, establishing the International Trade Links Centre, launching supportive programmes and increasing foreign investments in the service sector", Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Prime Minister and Ruler of Dubai, said at the time.

Re-exports are a critical part of international trade, accounting for about a quarter of total exports, according to the Journal of Risk and Financial Management issued by the Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, a publisher of scientific journals.

The UAE’s non-oil foreign trade reached a record Dh2.23 trillion ($607.1 billion) last year, as the Arab world’s second-largest economy intensified efforts to reduce its dependence on hydrocarbons and boost global economic partnerships.

The country's re-exports reached 27.5 per cent of total non-oil trade, or Dh615 billion, last year, with the top commodities for re-export including smartphones, diamonds, automotive parts and jewellery and gemstones.

Overall, the Emirates accounted for 2.4 per cent of the world's goods exports last year, according to the World Trade Organisation's Global Trade Outlook and Statistics report released last week.

The country's goods trade with the rest of the world hit $1.02 trillion in 2022, with exports and imports increasing due to higher crude oil prices, the WTO said.

The value of its exports reached $599 billion last year, marking annual growth of 41 per cent, while imports reached $425 billion, accounting for 1.7 per cent of global merchandise imports.

The UAE has also forged Cepas to further boost the role of trade into its economy, and intends to sign 26 agreements this year, Minister of Economy Abdulla bin Touq said last month.

The benefits of Cepas include enhanced market access, lower or eliminated tariff rules, simpler customs procedures, clear and transparent rules and rule-based competition.

The nation has already signed Cepas with India, Israel, Indonesia and Turkey, and is close to finalising agreements with Cambodia and Kenya.

It also announced the start of Cepa negotiations with Vietnam last week and is also in negotiations with Georgia, the Philippines, South Korea and Ukraine for similar deals.

"We are ready to meet the challenge — and leverage the power of trade to deliver long-term growth locally, regionally and globally," Dr Al Zeyoudi said.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: April 12, 2023, 1:34 PM