British Airways owner IAG slumped to a €7.4 billion ($8.9bn) pre-tax loss in 2020 after the Covid-19 pandemic paralysed air travel across the globe with the company offering no profit outlook for 2021.
The huge operating loss, which included €3bn in early flight retirements, restructuring charges and fuel and currency hedges, followed a €2.6bn profit in 2019.
Passenger revenues slumped 76 per cent to €5.5bn, with IAG chief executive Luis Gallego calling for digital health passes to reopen routes.
Mr Gallego said the results, representing IAG’s first annual loss in almost a decade, "reflect the serious impact that Covid-19 has had on our business".
“The group continues to reduce its cost base and increase the proportion of variable costs to better match market demand," he said.
"We know there is pent-up demand for travel and people want to fly. Vaccinations are progressing well and global infections are going in the right direction. We're calling for international common testing standards and the introduction of digital health passes to reopen our skies safely."
IAG, whose portfolio includes Spanish carrier Iberia and Ireland's Aer Lingus, is undergoing a painful cost-cutting drive that includes cutting thousands of jobs.
The company said it has already axed the "majority" of 10,000 jobs – a quarter of the carrier's workforce – at British Airways, as well as 500 positions at Aer Lingus.
The global aviation industry came to a standstill at the start of pandemic last year with airlines forced to suspend flights, cut jobs and seek government aid.
“The past 12 months has been perhaps the most difficult and testing period in the history of aviation,” said Adam Vettese, analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro.
“British Airways parent IAG’s results are a testament to that, with revenue plunging, passenger numbers a fraction of what they were and debt spiralling.”
IAG liquidity stood at €10.3bn, including a €2.7bn capital increase and a €2bn loan commitment agreed in December, while non-fuel costs sank 37.1 per cent last year.
“We have taken effective action to preserve cash, boost liquidity and reduce our cost base. Despite this crisis, our liquidity remains strong," Mr Gallego said.
Earlier this week, BA boosted its cash reserves by delaying £450 million ($627m) in pension payments in a bid to conserve funds.
IAG said BA would draw down a £2bn government-backed loan agreement with a syndicate of banks by the end of this month. The five-year plan unveiled in December would be partially guaranteed by government agency UK Export Finance.
British carriers received some respite earlier this week when Prime Minister Boris Johnson said international travel could reopen in mid-May.
Due to uncertainty over the pandemic, IAG did not provide any profit guidance for 2021, highlighting the challenges facing Mr Gallego and aviation industry chiefs who are pinning their hopes on a rapid vaccination drive.
“The aviation industry stands with governments in putting public health at the top of the agenda. Getting people travelling again will require a clear roadmap for unwinding current restrictions when the time is right,” Mr Gallego said.
The outlook for 2021 has deteriorated since December after several governments, including the UK's, imposed stricter travel restrictions to curb new variants of the Covid-19 virus.
Airlines' cash burn is expected to increase to $75bn-$95bn this year, the International Air Transport Association said, up from the $48bn projected in December.
The industry, which was expected to break even by the fourth quarter of 2021, is now on track to continue burning through its cash reserves until the end of the year, Iata said.
With the pace of vaccinations picking up in many countries, Mr Vettese said there is talk of a tentative reopening of the skies for those who have had a Covid-19 shot.
“However, even if flights return by summer, as is hoped, IAG and the wider airline industry will be wearing the scars of this pandemic for years to come," he said.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
What is a robo-adviser?
Robo-advisers use an online sign-up process to gauge an investor’s risk tolerance by feeding information such as their age, income, saving goals and investment history into an algorithm, which then assigns them an investment portfolio, ranging from more conservative to higher risk ones.
These portfolios are made up of exchange traded funds (ETFs) with exposure to indices such as US and global equities, fixed-income products like bonds, though exposure to real estate, commodity ETFs or gold is also possible.
Investing in ETFs allows robo-advisers to offer fees far lower than traditional investments, such as actively managed mutual funds bought through a bank or broker. Investors can buy ETFs directly via a brokerage, but with robo-advisers they benefit from investment portfolios matched to their risk tolerance as well as being user friendly.
Many robo-advisers charge what are called wrap fees, meaning there are no additional fees such as subscription or withdrawal fees, success fees or fees for rebalancing.
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This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
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The National Archives, Abu Dhabi
Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.
Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en
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