Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt announces tax and spending measures. AFP
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt announces tax and spending measures. AFP
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt announces tax and spending measures. AFP
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt announces tax and spending measures. AFP

British chancellor warns of 'eye-watering' difficulties ahead for economy


Thomas Harding
  • English
  • Arabic

Britain’s new chancellor has warned the country that it will face financial challenges of “eye-watering” difficulty in the days ahead, as he sought to bring stability to the economy.

During an extraordinary day in British politics, Jeremy Hunt attempted to bring stability to the Conservative Party and the economy by introducing tight fiscal measures following a run on the pound and the government debt markets.

The announcements marked a near complete reversal of the policy from Prime Minister Liz Truss, who had authorised an unfunded tax giveaway in her first weeks in office.

Ms Truss had seen her authority openly under question for much of the day and she sat ashen-faced, looking somewhat shell-shocked while Mr Hunt gave his statement.

Her new chancellor said the government needed to “do more, more quickly to reassure the markets” and it had to make decisions of “eye-watering difficulty” if necessary.

“I want to be completely frank about the scale of the economic challenges we face,” he added

His earlier public announcement, brought forward from his Commons statement to reassure the markets, had the wished-for impact, with the pound retaining its gains and the interest on gilts dipping below 4 per cent, a strong indicator for government borrowing costs.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Prime Minister Liz Truss listen to shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves's accusations of Conservative economic incompetence. PA
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Prime Minister Liz Truss listen to shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves's accusations of Conservative economic incompetence. PA

Mr Hunt also announced a new economic advisory council that will include Rupert Harrison, chief of staff to former chancellor George Osborne

As well as reversing the 1p cut to basic income tax, restoring it to 20 per cent, Mr Hunt curtailed the generous energy cap to six months rather than two years.

About 30 minutes into his appearance, to gasps and a few jeers, Ms Truss got up and left. She was not in the chamber to hear the possibility of yet another government U-turn after the new chancellor suggested there could indeed be a windfall tax on energy companies — something she has fought vehemently against.

“I'm not against the principle of taxing profits that are genuine windfalls. Nothing is off the table,” he told MPs.

His opposite number, Rachel Reeves, who welcomed her fourth chancellor of the year, tore into the Conservative economic record that has been eviscerated by Ms Truss’s administration.

“There is lasting damage which these policy U-turns won’t change,” she said. “They set fire to everything, now they insist it is all fine.

“The truth is, an arsonist is still an arsonist, even if he then runs back into the building with a bucket of water.”

It was “ordinary working people” who were paying a “Tory mortgage premium” for years to come, she added.

To glum faces on the benches opposite, she declared the Conservatives were “running out of credibility … and now running out of chancellors”.

Mr Hunt also sought to push back against suggestions that a period of severe austerity was on the cards.

“I was a Cabinet minister in 2010 when we had very difficult decisions to take in the wake of the financial crisis and my department’s budget was cut by 24 per cent and I don’t believe we are talking about anything of that scale,” he said.

“And I think it’s likely that cash spending will continue to go up but, that said, I want to be completely frank with people — we are going to have very difficult decisions both on tax and spending in the next couple of weeks.

“We will try and take those decisions as compassionately as possible, so it’s going to be tough going forward but I don’t expect it to be on a scale that she suggests.”

The Conservatives have suffered a collapse of popular support amid fears of what is to come. The latest poll gave Labour a 36 per cent advantage over the Conservatives, the largest lead for any party since 1997.

More significant for Ms Truss was the revelation that half of those who voted Conservative in 2019 would prefer Mr Starmer as prime minister.

If that poor polling continues, Ms Truss’s tenure will rapidly prove untenable.

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World Cricket League Division 2

In Windhoek, Namibia - Top two teams qualify for the World Cup Qualifier in Zimbabwe, which starts on March 4.

UAE fixtures

Thursday February 8, v Kenya; Friday February 9, v Canada; Sunday February 11, v Nepal; Monday February 12, v Oman; Wednesday February 14, v Namibia; Thursday February 15, final

Honeymoonish
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Arabian Gulf League fixtures:

Friday:

  • Emirates v Hatta, 5.15pm
  • Al Wahda v Al Dhafra, 5.25pm
  • Al Ain v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 8.15pm

Saturday:

  • Dibba v Ajman, 5.15pm
  • Sharjah v Al Wasl, 5.20pm
  • Al Jazira v Al Nasr, 8.15pm
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THREE
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: October 17, 2022, 8:08 PM