UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng arrived back in London on Friday to abandon major tax cuts presented in his “mini-budget” last month in an effort to shore up markets under pressure from a sell-off of government bonds.
Treasury officials said Mr Kwarteng had abandoned the rest of his plans to attend the International Monetary Fund's annual meeting, instead consulting his party about how to unravel the £43 billion ($48.15bn) package of unfunded, permanent giveaways.
Markets rallied in anticipation of a possible about-turn. The FTSE 100 was up in Friday trading and government borrowing costs were down.
A British Airways passenger plane thought to be carrying the chancellor from Washington DC landed at Heathrow Airport at around 11am local time on Friday.
On Thursday, before his departure, Mr Kwarteng told reporters in Washington that he was focused on his growth plan, which he hoped to flesh out on October 31.
“Our position hasn't changed. I will come up with the medium-term fiscal plan on the 31st of October, as I said earlier in the week, and there will be more detail then,” he said.
Earlier on Thursday, British Prime Minister Liz Truss asked officials to reverse more of her government's controversial mini-budget and Mr Kwarteng told reporters in Washington that he was flying back to London early.
Speculation about a U-turn intensified after it was announced that Ms Truss would deliver a press conference at Downing Street on Friday.
Scrapping elements of the plan means the UK is now expected to proceed with a rise in corporation tax next April.
Campaigning to be prime minister, Ms Truss vowed to sweep away the “orthodoxy” of economic policy.
Senior UK officials in Washington couldn’t recall the last time a chancellor had left early from the IMF meeting but with Mr Kwarteng’s budget unravelling, he had no choice.
“After completing a successful series of meetings at the IMF, the chancellor is returning to London today to continue work at pace on the medium-term fiscal plan,” a Treasury representative said.
Two days earlier, Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England governor, announced that the central bank would end a £65bn emergency bond-buying facility on Friday, a cliff-edge for the markets and the government.
Traders responded by dumping the pound and pushing up the yield on UK government debt. Sterling jumped 2.4 per cent against the dollar, the biggest increase in two years.
Government borrowing costs, which influence the mortgage costs of seven million UK homeowners, fell from highs about 5 per cent as Mr Kwarteng was prepared for his undignified and hasty exit from the gathering in Washington.
“It looks like Bailey’s pressure on the politicians may have worked,” said Tim Graf, head of macro strategy in Europe, the Middle East and Africa at State Street. “There is very little chance of purchases being extended.”
At the IMF meeting in the US capital, global financial officials directed blame for the market turmoil squarely at the chancellor and Ms Truss.
The fund's managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, praised the central bank's bond-buying backstop, saying the “action was appropriate” and had addressed “a risk to financial stability”.
She also emphasised the need for “policy coherence and communicating clearly”.
Ms Truss is under a lot of pressure within her Conservative Party after polls showed her support has collapsed as investors have at the potential impact on the public finances.
Leading Conservatives have pondered whether she should be removed from the job only a month after becoming Britain's fourth prime minister in only six years since the Brexit referendum.
The pound, which has fallen sharply since she emerged as the front-runner to enter Downing Street in August, leapt by 2 per cent against the US dollar shortly on Thursday. It was little changed from that level in overnight trading.
Mr Kwarteng and Ms Truss eliminated the top rate of income tax, something they had said would help spur Britain's sluggish economic growth rate. The IMF has said it would worsen inequality.
Tories turn on Truss
Mel Stride, MP for Central Devon, told BBC's Breakfast programme that a “fundamental reset” was needed in the wake of the market turmoil over the mini budget.
“I’m hoping that it is to engage in conversations with the PM and others and to row back on those unfunded tax cuts announced in September,” he said.
Former home secretary Priti Patel also suggested the new administration could be forced into a reversal.
“Market forces will probably dictate some of these changes now,” Ms Patel told Sky News.
Damian Green, a former deputy prime minister, expressed doubt over Ms Truss’s plan for the economy and the said tax cuts could be postponed as a way to reduce debt.
Ms Truss said she would not decrease public spending.
Mr Green told BBC Radio 4’s PM programme that the scrapping of some parts of the mini budget was openly being discussed by some Tory MPs.
Speaking on ITV’s Peston, former Brexit minister David Davis called the mini budget a “maxi-shambles” and said tax cuts would need to be deferred to shore up support from Tory MPs.
Former Conservative minister Ken Clarke said Ms Truss should “start the mini budget again” rather than sack the chancellor as he would be then seen as a scapegoat.
He told TalkTV Ms Truss should “learn the lesson: just don’t plunge into things like this any more”, and said it would be better to take such big decisions on the economy in a more calculated manner.
Kevin Hollinrake, who supported Mr Sunak’s bid for No 10, said the Truss government should look back on the turmoil over the past few weeks and say: “I think we've got some of this wrong and these tax cuts need to be introduced over time.”
The editor of the influential ConservativeHome website, Paul Goodman, suggested there had been rumours about replacing Ms Truss with a joint ticket involving her former leadership rivals Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt.
On Thursday, newly elected foreign affairs committee chairwoman Alicia Kearns told LBC that she wanted Ms Truss to succeed but also called for a change of course on the mini budget.
“The markets are not woke; the markets are not left,” Ms Kearns said. “The fact they are not lefty, anti-government, the fact they have been spooked, is something that should be taken incredibly seriously.”
Liz Truss: from Lib Dem to PM
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
Yemen's Bahais and the charges they often face
The Baha'i faith was made known in Yemen in the 19th century, first introduced by an Iranian man named Ali Muhammad Al Shirazi, considered the Herald of the Baha'i faith in 1844.
The Baha'i faith has had a growing number of followers in recent years despite persecution in Yemen and Iran.
Today, some 2,000 Baha'is reside in Yemen, according to Insaf.
"The 24 defendants represented by the House of Justice, which has intelligence outfits from the uS and the UK working to carry out an espionage scheme in Yemen under the guise of religion.. aimed to impant and found the Bahai sect on Yemeni soil by bringing foreign Bahais from abroad and homing them in Yemen," the charge sheet said.
Baha'Ullah, the founder of the Bahai faith, was exiled by the Ottoman Empire in 1868 from Iran to what is now Israel. Now, the Bahai faith's highest governing body, known as the Universal House of Justice, is based in the Israeli city of Haifa, which the Bahais turn towards during prayer.
The Houthis cite this as collective "evidence" of Bahai "links" to Israel - which the Houthis consider their enemy.
Teachers' pay - what you need to know
Pay varies significantly depending on the school, its rating and the curriculum. Here's a rough guide as of January 2021:
- top end schools tend to pay Dh16,000-17,000 a month - plus a monthly housing allowance of up to Dh6,000. These tend to be British curriculum schools rated 'outstanding' or 'very good', followed by American schools
- average salary across curriculums and skill levels is about Dh10,000, recruiters say
- it is becoming more common for schools to provide accommodation, sometimes in an apartment block with other teachers, rather than hand teachers a cash housing allowance
- some strong performing schools have cut back on salaries since the pandemic began, sometimes offering Dh16,000 including the housing allowance, which reflects the slump in rental costs, and sheer demand for jobs
- maths and science teachers are most in demand and some schools will pay up to Dh3,000 more than other teachers in recognition of their technical skills
- at the other end of the market, teachers in some Indian schools, where fees are lower and competition among applicants is intense, can be paid as low as Dh3,000 per month
- in Indian schools, it has also become common for teachers to share residential accommodation, living in a block with colleagues
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OTHER IPL BOWLING RECORDS
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Best average: 16.36 – Andrew Tye
Best economy rate: 6.53 – Sunil Narine
Best strike-rate: 12.83 – Andrew Tye
Best strike-rate in an innings: 1.50 – Suresh Raina (for Chennai Super Kings against Rajasthan Royals in 2011)
Most runs conceded in an innings: 70 – Basil Thampi (for Sunrisers Hyderabad against Royal Challengers Bangalore in 2018)
Most hat-tricks: 3 – Amit Mishra
Most dot-balls: 1,128 – Harbhajan Singh
Most maiden overs bowled: 14 – Praveen Kumar
Most four-wicket hauls: 6 – Sunil Narine
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The biog
Nickname: Mama Nadia to children, staff and parents
Education: Bachelors degree in English Literature with Social work from UAE University
As a child: Kept sweets on the window sill for workers, set aside money to pay for education of needy families
Holidays: Spends most of her days off at Senses often with her family who describe the centre as part of their life too
Our legal columnist
Name: Yousef Al Bahar
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
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In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
The five pillars of Islam
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Know your Camel lingo
The bairaq is a competition for the best herd of 50 camels, named for the banner its winner takes home
Namoos - a word of congratulations reserved for falconry competitions, camel races and camel pageants. It best translates as 'the pride of victory' - and for competitors, it is priceless
Asayel camels - sleek, short-haired hound-like racers
Majahim - chocolate-brown camels that can grow to weigh two tonnes. They were only valued for milk until camel pageantry took off in the 1990s
Millions Street - the thoroughfare where camels are led and where white 4x4s throng throughout the festival
Company profile
Date started: 2015
Founder: John Tsioris and Ioanna Angelidaki
Based: Dubai
Sector: Online grocery delivery
Staff: 200
Funding: Undisclosed, but investors include the Jabbar Internet Group and Venture Friends
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5