What's the mood in the City right now? It is one of watching and waiting and hoping. And, in several cases, running for the hills.
The investment community hates uncertainty. Some, not many, thrive on it. They’re the hedge funds and traders who love volatility. The rest, the bulk, hunker down, not prepared to commit to anything until they have a better idea of what the future looks like.
As a result, the moment Russia attacked Ukraine, most deals were put on hold. Planning and preparations are taking place as if there will soon be a return to normal, but there are few clinching negotiations and irreversible signings.
They’re running algorithms and trading programmes based on different commodity prices and scenarios, but it’s very much a waiting game. The truth is that, overall, the Square Mile, starved of credible inside information, is gazing at the 24-hour TV bulletins like everybody else.
It's a rare point, for markets and their super-smart actors who like to stay ahead. For once, while a war unfolds and without any real indication of how bad it might get and how it could end, they’re stuck.
Meanwhile, those with Russian interests are frantically going through their files and shredding what they can. They are contacting PRs and preparing statements trying to put distance between themselves and Vladimir Putin and his regime.
But as they look in the mirror and steel themselves for an aggressive call from the media or from politicians looking to expose them or from the authorities now hell-bent on applying sanctions and freezing assets, they can seek reassurance that they were not the only guilty party.
Sure, some elements in the City went out of their way to work for oligarchs and cronies of the Russian president. The fact is, though, they were encouraged to — and not in the first place by a Tory party anxiously canvassing for donations as is widely portrayed, but by a Labour government keen to give Britain a boost after the 2008 financial crisis.
That’s when the concept of the “golden visa” was introduced, when British residency was granted in exchange for seven-figure investments. The scheme worked like this: investments of £2m or £5m or £10m could be made, in gilts or government bonds or British businesses, in return for permission to apply for permanent residence in five, three or two years respectively. After that, they had the opportunity to gain British citizenship.
Many of those taking up the “tier 1 investor visa” to give its official title were Russian. Why? Russians were attracted by the open, efficient, legal courts systems and the private schools, and London’s lifestyle, the high-end dining and shops. English is the universal language and the UK is between Moscow and the US. And London is a leading global financial and commercial centre. These were all heavily appreciated by the Russians. Also, thanks to the way Russia was administered from Moscow, favouring a privileged inner circle and ignoring corruption, there were more of them, having exploited routes to riches that were simply unavailable in many other countries.
In truth, as well, the British government and numerous advisory firms went out of their way to make them feel at home.
An entire industry grew up around assisting the Russians, not only with the albeit limited official paperwork, but in aiding them with their choice of residences, decor, schools, limousines and hiring their domestic staffs. Nothing was too much trouble. Glossy magazine articles and TV programmes were devoted to the new designer “bling” wearers who had descended on London.
Among the more snobbish elements of society, the Russians were treated with a certain amusement for their “bad taste” and novelty value. Rarely did they inspire actual animosity. Professional service and concierges, wealth advisors, private banks, fashion boutiques and department stores, restaurants, luxury car dealers, high-end estate agents and property developers – they were all extremely glad of the converted roubles.
Among the more snobbish elements of society, the Russians were treated with a certain amusement for their “bad taste” and novelty value. Rarely did they inspire actual animosity.
No questions were asked, as the Russians used PO Box addresses in secretive offshore tax havens as cover, hiding behind nominee names. Blind eyes were turned to their incredible wealth and its origins – that often they had been able to go from living hum-drum existences in relatively ordinary jobs somewhere in Russia to netting fortunes in barely any time at all.
Between 2008 and 2015, some 700 Russian millionaires and billionaires took advantage of the scheme. In 2015, in response to concerns that some were arriving with illegally obtained funds, the system was tightened to require audits of their cash and business interests. Even so, another 202 went on to obtain the golden ticket, while only seven applicants were rejected. More than 250 of their family members were also allowed to settle.
Since the invasion of Ukraine, the UK Home Secretary Priti Patel has been quick to scrap the fast-track system. This has not been enough for Labour, however. Chris Bryant, the former Labour minister, said the government should review “each and every” visa issued under the scheme. “If they think corrupt elites are threatening our national security, they cannot just sweep this under the carpet,” he said.
Yvette Cooper, the shadow home secretary, said: “For years, the Conservatives failed to stamp out the influence of Russian money in the UK.”
Both Mr Bryant and Ms Cooper fail to acknowledge it was Labour that created “Londongrad”, that their own side is responsible for opening the floodgates in the first place.
All this, against a backdrop of the Alexander Litvinenko poisoning (2006), the annexation of Crimea and the beginning of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine (2014) and the Salisbury attempted assassination of a former spy and subsequent death of a local resident via the spraying of Novichok nerve agent (2018).
City folks did their bit alright and they should be examining their consciences. But they were by no means alone. Plenty of politicians and officials also have soul searching to do.
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Titanium Escrow profile
Started: December 2016
Founder: Ibrahim Kamalmaz
Based: UAE
Sector: Finance / legal
Size: 3 employees, pre-revenue
Stage: Early stage
Investors: Founder's friends and Family
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Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
The specs
Engine: 3-litre twin-turbo V6
Power: 400hp
Torque: 475Nm
Transmission: 9-speed automatic
Price: From Dh215,900
On sale: Now
The British in India: Three Centuries of Ambition and Experience
by David Gilmour
Allen Lane
NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
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If you go
Flight connections to Ulaanbaatar are available through a variety of hubs, including Seoul and Beijing, with airlines including Mongolian Airlines and Korean Air. While some nationalities, such as Americans, don’t need a tourist visa for Mongolia, others, including UAE citizens, can obtain a visa on arrival, while others including UK citizens, need to obtain a visa in advance. Contact the Mongolian Embassy in the UAE for more information.
Nomadic Road offers expedition-style trips to Mongolia in January and August, and other destinations during most other months. Its nine-day August 2020 Mongolia trip will cost from $5,250 per person based on two sharing, including airport transfers, two nights’ hotel accommodation in Ulaanbaatar, vehicle rental, fuel, third party vehicle liability insurance, the services of a guide and support team, accommodation, food and entrance fees; nomadicroad.com
A fully guided three-day, two-night itinerary at Three Camel Lodge costs from $2,420 per person based on two sharing, including airport transfers, accommodation, meals and excursions including the Yol Valley and Flaming Cliffs. A return internal flight from Ulaanbaatar to Dalanzadgad costs $300 per person and the flight takes 90 minutes each way; threecamellodge.com
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Moral education lessons for young people is needed in a rapidly changing world, the head of the programme said.
Alanood Al Kaabi, head of programmes at the Education Affairs Office of the Crown Price Court - Abu Dhabi, said: "The Crown Price Court is fully behind this initiative and have already seen the curriculum succeed in empowering young people and providing them with the necessary tools to succeed in building the future of the nation at all levels.
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Who has lived at The Bishops Avenue?
- George Sainsbury of the supermarket dynasty, sugar magnate William Park Lyle and actress Dame Gracie Fields were residents in the 1930s when the street was only known as ‘Millionaires’ Row’.
- Then came the international super rich, including the last king of Greece, Constantine II, the Sultan of Brunei and Indian steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal who was at one point ranked the third richest person in the world.
- Turkish tycoon Halis Torprak sold his mansion for £50m in 2008 after spending just two days there. The House of Saud sold 10 properties on the road in 2013 for almost £80m.
- Other residents have included Iraqi businessman Nemir Kirdar, singer Ariana Grande, holiday camp impresario Sir Billy Butlin, businessman Asil Nadir, Paul McCartney’s former wife Heather Mills.
Hunting park to luxury living
- Land was originally the Bishop of London's hunting park, hence the name
- The road was laid out in the mid 19th Century, meandering through woodland and farmland
- Its earliest houses at the turn of the 20th Century were substantial detached properties with extensive grounds
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A State of Passion
Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi
Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah
Rating: 4/5
Wonka
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Packages which the US Secret Service said contained possible explosive devices were sent to:
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The specs
Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
Torque: 450Nm at 6,100rpm
Transmission: 7-speed PDK auto or 6-speed manual
Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
On sale: Available to order now