The increasingly intense efforts to ease Egypt's political crisis reveal an important change in the dynamics of the region. International mediation efforts may or may not produce a functional and enduring political settlement. But the growing role of regional players is already apparent.
UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed and his Qatari counterpart Khalid Al Attiyah have been in Cairo this week to broker a settlement. That pairing is significant because while the UAE welcomed and supported the new leadership after Mohammed Morsi was toppled, Qatar had been open-handed in backing Mr Morsi and the Brotherhood.
The visiting ministers both know that Egypt's 82.5 million people urgently need an end to the political standoff, and a change of focus: in all but the very short term it is economics, more than politics, that offers the key to stability. The UAE, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have together already pledged some $12 billion (Dh44bn) in financial support to the new Egyptian government (including a $3bn deposit by the UAE last week). And Qatar, farsightedly, has put political considerations aside and delivered to Egypt the first of five promised tanker-loads of liquefied natural gas - a significant symbolic gesture, considering that the pledge had initially been made during Mr Morsi's reign but hadn't been delivered.
What is striking about this week's talks is that the US has had a reduced role. State Department official William Burns has been present in Cairo with the two foreign ministers, and two senior US senators were en route to Cairo yesterday. But Washington has a dwindling number of friends on either side of Egypt's political divide - except for the army, which still draws up to $1.5bn per year in aid from the US.
From the White House to Cairo's poorest areas, everyone needs a stable Egypt, freed from the distractions of a protracted power struggle and so able to concentrate on economic reforms.
Tourism must be revived, infrastructure improved, agriculture made more efficient and subsidies rationalised, investment stimulated and industrial development facilitated. That, not political bickering, is Egypt's real challenge.
Egypt's GDP in 2011 was $230bn; two years of crisis has doubtless trimmed that figure, and foreign aid cannot pay the bills indefinitely. Strong and well-intentioned regional involvement is a very good sign, but it is not a panacea. Egypt needs to get past this crisis and begin to address its underlying economic problems.
The specs
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The biog
Name: Atheja Ali Busaibah
Date of birth: 15 November, 1951
Favourite books: Ihsan Abdel Quddous books, such as “The Sun will Never Set”
Hobbies: Reading and writing poetry
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops
Install an air filter in your home.
Close your windows and turn on the AC.
Shower or bath after being outside.
Wear a face mask.
Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.
If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.
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The Greatest Royal Rumble card as it stands
50-man Royal Rumble - names entered so far include Braun Strowman, Daniel Bryan, Kurt Angle, Big Show, Kane, Chris Jericho, The New Day and Elias
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Casket match The Undertaker v Chris Jericho
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Meydan race card
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Russia's Muslim Heartlands
Dominic Rubin, Oxford
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BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE
Starring: Winona Ryder, Michael Keaton, Jenny Ortega
Director: Tim Burton
Rating: 3/5
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The Buckingham Murders
Starring: Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ash Tandon, Prabhleen Sandhu
Director: Hansal Mehta
Rating: 4 / 5
THREE POSSIBLE REPLACEMENTS
Khalfan Mubarak
The Al Jazira playmaker has for some time been tipped for stardom within UAE football, with Quique Sanchez Flores, his former manager at Al Ahli, once labelling him a “genius”. He was only 17. Now 23, Mubarak has developed into a crafty supplier of chances, evidenced by his seven assists in six league matches this season. Still to display his class at international level, though.
Rayan Yaslam
The Al Ain attacking midfielder has become a regular starter for his club in the past 15 months. Yaslam, 23, is a tidy and intelligent player, technically proficient with an eye for opening up defences. Developed while alongside Abdulrahman in the Al Ain first-team and has progressed well since manager Zoran Mamic’s arrival. However, made his UAE debut only last December.
Ismail Matar
The Al Wahda forward is revered by teammates and a key contributor to the squad. At 35, his best days are behind him, but Matar is incredibly experienced and an example to his colleagues. His ability to cope with tournament football is a concern, though, despite Matar beginning the season well. Not a like-for-like replacement, although the system could be adjusted to suit.
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