Donald Trump and John Kelly in 2017. Reuters
Donald Trump and John Kelly in 2017. Reuters
Donald Trump and John Kelly in 2017. Reuters
Donald Trump and John Kelly in 2017. Reuters

Is Donald Trump a fascist? His former chief of staff and Kamala Harris believe the warnings are true


Ellie Sennett
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Latest updates: Follow our full coverage on the US election

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is a fascist seeking unconstrained power, his Democratic rival Vice President Kamala Harris has said as she seeks to regain momentum in the November 5 race for the White House.

The assessment came after John Kelly, a retired general and Mr Trump's former White House chief of staff, said his old boss fits “the general definition of a fascist” and said positive things about Adolf Hitler.

If elected for a second term, Mr Trump would be “a president who admires dictators and is a fascist", Ms Harris said at a town hall on CNN late on Wednesday, hours after telling journalists the Republican candidate wants “unchecked power”.

“The question in 13 days will be, what do the American people want?” she said.

Many polls show Mr Trump is level or ahead of Ms Harris, whose campaign has swapped its initial message of “joy” for bleaker warnings about the former president.

Experts define fascism as a mass political movement emphasising extreme nationalism, militarism and the supremacy of the nation over the individual.

“This model of government stands in contrast to liberal democracies that support individual rights, competitive elections and political dissent,” the Council on Foreign Relations says.

One of Mr Kelly's claims, made in interviews with The New York Times, is that Mr Trump said Hitler “did some good things, too”. The former president also reportedly wished he had “German generals.”

“Surely you can’t mean Hitler’s generals,” Mr Kelly told Mr Trump, who supposedly responded: “Yeah, Hitler’s generals.”

North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, a Trump supporter, told CNN that if Mr Kelly “had concerns, he could have said it when he was working for him five years ago … he waited until 12 days before the election".

“Eighty years ago, coming out of the Second World War, Harry Truman was saying the same thing about his opponent, so it's not a new thing in America that we have this kind of rhetoric.”

Mercedes Schlapp, a former Trump administration official, said she does not believe Mr Kelly's comments.

David Neiwert, an expert on the American far-right, said: “The road to fascism is lined with people telling you to stop overreacting.”

Mr Neiwert, an award-winning journalist who has written several books over three decades covering the far-right, describes the phenomenon more plainly as “right-wing populism gone metastatic”.

The distinction between left and right-wing populism, he tells The National, is that right-wing populism promotes a worldview that “the ordinary person is being caught between the elites on top and a parasitic underclass beneath", while “left-wing populism doesn't talk about a parasitic underclass".

The tone of Mr Trump's three presidential campaigns has always had authoritarian, nationalist and anti-immigrant underpinnings. He was inaugurated in 2017 after referring to many Mexican immigrants as “rapists” and said he would build a wall between Mexico and the US. He immediately declared a ban on immigration from several Muslim-majority countries.

His rhetoric in 2024 is even more anti-immigrant, with increasingly racist narratives including the spread of debunked conspiracy theories about Haitian immigrants eating pet cats and dogs.

The Republican has also said he might use the military to crack down on political threats from “the enemy within."

The minds behind the Trump campaign

Mr Trump's pick for Vice President is telling: Ohio Senator JD Vance has explicit ties to the far-right's more anti-democratic intellectuals.

Mr Vance's persona was first shaped by his 2016 memoir Hillbilly Elegy, which was embraced by the mainstream media as a sort of Rosetta Stone that explained white, working-class grievances.

Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance addresses supporters at the Pima County Fairgrounds, in Tucson, Arizona, on October 22. Arizona Daily Star via AP
Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance addresses supporters at the Pima County Fairgrounds, in Tucson, Arizona, on October 22. Arizona Daily Star via AP

He was raised in the rust-belt town of Middletown, Ohio, but the Yale law school graduate's political ties are largely defined by billionaires with authoritarian leanings, including tech chief executives Peter Thiel and Elon Musk.

Mr Thiel, the cofounder of PayPal, was the primary funder of Mr Vance’s 2022 Senate campaign and is a close friend of the Republican vice presidential candidate.

Max Chafkin, a Bloomberg reporter and the author of The Contrarian: Peter Thiel and Silicon Valley’s Pursuit of Power, describes Mr Thiel's ideology as incoherent.

But Chafkin says: “They’re closer to authoritarianism. It’s super-nationalistic, it’s a longing for a sort of more powerful chief executive, or, you know, a dictator, in other words.”

Peter Thiel speaks at the Bitcoin 2022 Conference in Miami Beach. AFP
Peter Thiel speaks at the Bitcoin 2022 Conference in Miami Beach. AFP

Mr Thiel is “not just very far right. He actually is actively anti-democratic,” said Mr Neiwert. “And it's not just Vance, it's Elon Musk. It's that whole Silicon Valley segment … this is a segment of the billionaire world that is openly hostile to democracy, is clearly doing their best to tear it down.”

The far-right influences on Mr Vance go beyond tech billionaires. He has named Curtis Yarvin, a prominent blogger who has called on Americans to “get over their dictator phobia", as a guide.

He quoted Mr Yarvin in a 2021 interview where he supported Mr Trump, if elected, executing a plan in line with the far-right Project 2025 and “fire every single mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state, replace them with our people".

Mr Yarvin has a long history of promoting inflammatory stances, including writing favourably of slavery. But in his Substack blog, he denies the notion that fascism is on the ballot this year.

“Nothing of the sort is happening or could possibly happen – for better or for worse,” he wrote this week. “Republicans and Democrats increasingly agree that they are voting on fascism – for or against. While I kind of love it in a way, it is the most ridiculous (and ahistorical) thing in the world. It is a complete, total fantasy.”

Mr Yarvin has said that “the process of a legal regime change must involve electing a monarchy".

Mr Vance has also said conservative Catholic Patrick Deneen is a major influence. In his 2023 book Regime Change, he argued for a “peaceful” revolution to replace liberalism with a “post-liberal order” that promotes conservative and religious values over individual rights.

Americans brace for November 6

How this worldview might materialise in a Trump-Vance administration is difficult to predict: US democratic functions are defined by a checks-and-balance system between the executive, legislative and judicial branches.

One thing is clear: Americans are bracing for the threat of political violence this year. Mr Trump has repeatedly vowed that he cannot lose the election unless there is “massive fraud", setting the stage for his supporters' distrust of election results.

A Scripps News/Ipsos poll found that 62 per cent of Americans – including 70 per cent of Democrats and 59 per cent of Republicans – say violence related to the election this year is somewhat or very likely.

And a 2023 survey from PRRI found that nearly a quarter of Americans agreed that “because things have got so far off track, true American patriots may have to resort to violence in order to save our country", up from 15 per cent in 2021.

According to PRRI, this is the first time support for political violence has peaked above 20 per cent. Further stoking these fears for many Americans is the fact that Mr Trump has survived two assassination attempts this year.

The “main guardrail,” says Mr Neiwert, is law enforcement. “I do think that there are a lot of law-enforcement officers who take this stuff seriously and are properly preparing,” he says.

But there are also corners of US law enforcement that are explicitly sympathetic to Mr Trump and his election denialism.

Last month, a sheriff in the Republican-leaning state of Ohio faced criticism after he encouraged his followers on social media to “write down” the addresses of their neighbours with Harris-Walz signs in their yards.

Mr Neiwert ultimately warns: “I don't think Americans can be prepared for what America is going to look like if Trump wins.”

Whether Mr Trump or Ms Harris clinch the White House, Mr Neiwert says he is “very worried” based on the amount of violent threats and weapons procurement he has seen in his 30 years of covering the radical right.

“I tried warning people in the fall of 2020 that these guys were going to get violent in Washington, DC, and even in one of my reports, I described how they were talking about invading capital … I've definitely not been proven wrong,” he adds.

Our legal consultants

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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'Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World’s Sole Superpower'
Michael Beckley, Cornell Press

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Updated: October 24, 2024, 10:13 PM