Egypt's President Abdel Fattah El Sisi shakes hands with Parliament Speaker Hanafi El Gebali during the former's inauguration for a third presidential term. AFP
Egypt's President Abdel Fattah El Sisi shakes hands with Parliament Speaker Hanafi El Gebali during the former's inauguration for a third presidential term. AFP
Egypt's President Abdel Fattah El Sisi shakes hands with Parliament Speaker Hanafi El Gebali during the former's inauguration for a third presidential term. AFP
Egypt's President Abdel Fattah El Sisi shakes hands with Parliament Speaker Hanafi El Gebali during the former's inauguration for a third presidential term. AFP

Egypt rife with speculation over cabinet reshuffle after El Sisi's swearing-in ceremony


Hamza Hendawi
  • English
  • Arabic

Speculation about a possible cabinet reshuffle swirled in Egypt on Wednesday, a day after President Abdel Fattah El Sisi was sworn in for a third and final six-year term.

It was business as usual, however, at the weekly meeting of Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly's cabinet.

A statement issued later made no mention of the cabinet presenting its resignation to the President, as is customary at the start of a new presidential term.

Sources, however, said the 38-member cabinet was expected to do so within days and that the new one is likely to have as many as 10 new ministers.

Sameer Farag, a television pundit who is close to authorities, told a popular television talk show on Tuesday night that a cabinet reshuffle would soon be announced and that there would also be changes among the governors of the country’s 27 provinces.

Mr Madbouly has been Prime Minister since 2018.

During his time in office, Egypt has been plunged into its worst economic crisis in living memory, with the local currency losing about 70 per cent of its value, inflation reaching record levels and a shortage of foreign currency hitting local manufacturers hard.

Shoppers at a local market in Egypt. EPA
Shoppers at a local market in Egypt. EPA

Like Mr El Sisi, the Prime Minister has doggedly insisted that the crisis was due to the downturn caused by the coronavirus pandemic and later the Russia-Ukraine war.

The economy was further shaken by the war in neighbouring Gaza.

The conflict in Sudan, Egypt’s neighbour to the south, has also affected the economy, with nearly 500,000 Sudanese talking refuge in the country over the past 11 months.

However, critics have maintained that the crisis was mostly caused by a series of multibillion-dollar infrastructure projects they deemed either unnecessary or less important than the overhaul of vital sectors such as health and education.

Best illustrating this was Mr El Sisi’s swearing-ceremony on Tuesday at the New Administrative Capital in the desert east of Cairo. The $58 billion, ultra-modern city has been Mr El Sisi’s pet project and is one of at least a dozen new cities being built across Egypt.

Critics also complain of excessive government borrowing that has tripled the foreign debt to a record $165 billion over the decade Mr El Sisi has been in office.

Construction is ongoing at the site of the Central Business District (CBD) in Egypt's New Administrative Capital, 45 kilometres east of Cairo. EPA
Construction is ongoing at the site of the Central Business District (CBD) in Egypt's New Administrative Capital, 45 kilometres east of Cairo. EPA

But in a change in economic fortunes, Egypt received more than $50 billion in loans and investment deals in the first quarter of 2024, enough to ease the foreign currency shortage and jump-start the economy.

The bailout and investment came from several sources, including the UAE, the EU and the World Bank. It has prompted financial services companies to raise Egypt's credit ratings after repeated downgrades that undermined the nation’s credit.

More good news on the economy emerged on Wednesday when the central bank said that Egypt's net foreign reserves had risen by more than $5 billion to $40.361 billion in March compared to the previous month.

The benefits of the infusion of funds have yet to be felt by the millions of Egyptians in the poor and middle classes who have been crushed by skyrocketing food prices and more expensive utilities.

Mr El Sisi won a December election with more than 89 per cent of the vote. He ran against three obscure politicians who refrained from directly criticising the incumbent during their lacklustre campaigns.

Ahmed Tantawy, an outspoken former lawmaker who could have posed a serious challenge to Mr El Sisi, failed to meet candidacy requirements, something he and his supporters blamed on a campaign of intimidation orchestrated by the authorities.

Mr Tantawy was charged in November with illegally circulating election materials and received a suspended one-year sentence in February. He has also been banned from running for office for five years.

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Updated: April 03, 2024, 9:28 PM