The Iraqi government has announced plans to increase the cost of fuel by up to 30 per cent, with the higher prices to come into effect from the start of May.
At its weekly meeting, the cabinet decided to raise the price of premium petrol (95 octane) from 650 Iraqi dinars per litre ($0.50) to 850 Iraqi dinars ($0.65).
Super petrol (98 octane) will be increased from 1,000 Iraqi dinars to 1,250 Iraqi dinars. Regular petrol (low octane) will remain at 450 Iraqi dinars.
The decision has caused frustration among Iraqis feeling the effects of the country's fragile economy and rising costs of living.
"It's a new disaster," said Suleiman Hussein, a politics and economics researcher in Baghdad. "When you increase the petrol price, don't forget to raise the salaries of employees.
Social media influencer Mustafa Emad warned the decision would have a knock-on effect. "With increased petrol prices, the prices of everything – food, medicine and other things – will be increased as well, because it will affect transport," he said.
The government needs instead to focus on fighting against corruption and improving public services, he added. "I warn against staying silent about such decisions. They retaliate against the Iraqi citizens, burdening and shackling them," he said.
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani, who has been in office since October 2022, has launched series of projects to rebuild infrastructure and attract foreign investors.
He also promised to fight against endemic corruption and to introduce reforms.
The government also plans to increase taxes and to introduce levies to new sectors, including ride-hailing companies and social media influencers, the general director of the General Commission of Taxes, Ali Waad Allawi, said in a statement this month.
Iraq, Opec’s second-biggest producer after Saudi Arabia, offers fuel subsidies that contribute to the budget deficit. The country’s debilitated refining sector has forced the government to import petroleum products to meet the local demand.
According to Global Petrol Prices, Iraq has been ranked 14 in the list of the world's cheapest petrol prices this month, while Iran has the cheapest price of $0.029 per litre.
In the past, the government has hiked prices to cut the government subsidy bill, freeing up investment for building more refineries, but each move to reduce fuel subsidies causes public backlash.
The government justified the latest decision as part of plans to encourage public transport to reduce traffic congestion and promote the use of gas as an alternative and cheaper fuel for vehicles.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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