Cop29 talks on key finance goal remain deadlocked as summit approaches


John Dennehy
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Crucial talks on climate finance still “risk falling short”, the Cop29 presidency has said.

Cop29 president-designate Mukhtar Babayev said some progress has been made but countries need to put aside rigid negotiating positions and compromise.

Finance is expected to dominate Cop29 in Azerbaijan from November 11 to 22, with countries still deadlocked on how to deliver more funds to help vulnerable countries adapt to climate change.

Mr Babayev’s comments came on Thursday at the conclusion of technical talks in Baku that ran from September 9 to 12 and sought to lay the groundwork for a breakthrough.

“We are on the right track and have come a long way but we still risk falling short,” said Mr Babayev in a statement. “Determination and leadership is needed from all parties to bridge the gaps that still divide us in this critical final phase.”

Talks were held in Azerbaijan from September 9 to 12 to find common ground on climate finance. Photo: @presidentaz / X
Talks were held in Azerbaijan from September 9 to 12 to find common ground on climate finance. Photo: @presidentaz / X

Cop29 will be staged in Baku, Azerbaijan’s capital, and the pressure is on the gas-rich nation on the Caspian Sea to deliver.

Countries need to agree a new financial target to replace the $100 billion-a-year pledge from developed countries to help developing countries deal with climate change.

The money is sorely needed in vulnerable countries on the frontlines of the crisis that lack the funds to transition from fossil fuels and become more resilient to the impact of climate change, from floods to drought.

The financial target is formally known as the “new collective quantified goal” but, as the recent talks show, countries remain some way from clinching a deal.

Wealthier countries are facing calls to provide more funds to assist developing countries. But parties remain at loggerheads over how much to pay and several have pushed China and Gulf countries to contribute.

Mr Babayev said the recent talks mark the beginning of the end, and now a substantive framework for a draft negotiation text on the finance goal would be developed.

This framework would serve as the basis for the presidency’s final period of intensive political and technical engagements ahead of what is hoped will be a deal at Cop29 that is “fair and ambitious” that “takes into account the needs and priorities of developing country parties”.

“This is our top negotiating priority for Cop29 in Baku, with these meetings offering a critical opportunity to make progress in realising this ambition,” said Mr Babayev.

Preparations are in full swing at Baku Stadium, the Cop29 venue. Photos posted to social media show Ilham Aliyev, Azerbaijan's president, visiting the site. Organisers previously said they were expecting up to 50,000 attendees.

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Reform is a right-wing, populist party led by Nigel Farage, a former MEP who won a seat in the House of Commons last year at his eighth attempt and a prominent figure in the campaign for the UK to leave the European Union.

It was founded in 2018 and originally called the Brexit Party.

Many of its members previously belonged to UKIP or the mainstream Conservatives.

After Brexit took place, the party focused on the reformation of British democracy.

Former Tory deputy chairman Lee Anderson became its first MP after defecting in March 2024.

The party gained support from Elon Musk, and had hoped the tech billionaire would make a £100m donation. However, Mr Musk changed his mind and called for Mr Farage to step down as leader in a row involving the US tycoon's support for far-right figurehead Tommy Robinson who is in prison for contempt of court.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

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The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: September 13, 2024, 10:46 AM