As Generation Z graduate from college and start their first jobs, they face record-high inflation. Getty Images
As Generation Z graduate from college and start their first jobs, they face record-high inflation. Getty Images
As Generation Z graduate from college and start their first jobs, they face record-high inflation. Getty Images
As Generation Z graduate from college and start their first jobs, they face record-high inflation. Getty Images

Gen Z faces record-high inflation in the US as they come of age


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Entering adulthood is hard, and inflation is making it even more difficult.

The biggest jump in prices in four decades is greeting Generation Z as they are graduating from college, moving out on their own and starting their first jobs. Add in property prices that have put home ownership out of reach, plus stocks suddenly cratering after two years of gains, and it is a brutal welcome to the real world.

“Inflation is challenging for younger generations because they have to bear all the costs of inflation, but don’t necessarily own the assets that will help their balance sheet keep pace with inflation,” says Jeff McDermott, a certified financial planner at Create Wealth Financial Planning.

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For those who have not experienced market cycles in the past, this sudden change in the stock market and economy is especially confusing. To demystify the world of rate increases and economic gauges, here are a few common questions answered:

What is inflation?

Technically defined as a decline in a currency’s purchasing power, inflation manifests as an increase in the price of goods and services. It is not always terrible and can even promote growth, as long as it is maintained at a relatively low level. The US Federal Reserve aims to keep inflation at a rate of about 2 per cent.

However, the most common measure of inflation in the US — the consumer price index — surged 8.3 per cent in April, compared with the same period a year ago, among the highest readings since the early 1980s.

That means it now takes consumers more money to buy the same amount of goods, plus their cash savings are worth less than they were a year ago.

What is causing it?

It is complicated. The Covid-19 pandemic caused factories and plants to shut down or produce fewer goods, and disruptions to the supply chain made it more difficult to deliver those goods to consumers.

Meanwhile, Covid-19 stimulus cheques and increased savings from months of lockdowns made consumers more willing to spend, particularly as the pandemic eases in many places. That combination — of lower supply and higher demand — is pushing up prices.

The war in Ukraine and resulting sanctions on Russia made the situation even worse by sending prices surging for oil and key food exports such as wheat and corn, which is making it more expensive for regular people to fill up their cars, heat their homes and buy groceries.

How do we fix inflation?

Enter the US Federal Reserve. One of its main jobs is to keep prices stable, which it can do by raising or lowering interest rates. Most recently, the Fed increased the benchmark rate by a half percentage point, the biggest increase since 2000.

Although inflation declined slightly in April from the prior month, it is still extremely elevated and the Fed will almost certainly raise interest rates several more times this year. This is prompting fears of an economic slowdown, which is sometimes an unintended consequence of higher rates.

Why is Gen Z suffering the most?

Younger people usually have less savings and make a lower salary than their older peers, making it even more difficult for them when everyday necessities such as fuel and groceries suddenly cost more.

Plus, many are struggling under debt from college, with 34 per cent of adults aged 18 to 29 holding student loans, according to the US Education Data Initiative. And wages have not kept up with inflation, increasing by only 4.7 per cent in the first quarter from a year earlier.

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Gen Zers are also finding that a larger portion of their hard-earned pay cheques is going towards housing costs. Rents have surged almost twice as fast so far in 2022 than in the previous year, particularly in major metropolitan areas such as New York City, where they jumped by 38 per cent in April to a median monthly cost of $3,420 for a one-bedroom apartment, according to rental platform Zumper.

The recent stock market crash is only making matters worse. Longer term, financial advisers say investing in stocks, especially through tax-efficient strategies such as 401(k)s, is a smart move. But it is difficult to watch hard-earned investments shrink, even more so if they are earmarked for a down payment on a house or a wedding.

And timing is everything: for those who put money in the S&P 500 index at its coronavirus pandemic depths in March 2020, they have made a total return on their investment of about 80 per cent. But those who invested at the beginning of this year are facing a decline of about 20 per cent.

It is a similar story in the housing market. Those who owned homes before the pandemic have ridden a nationwide boom in house prices, building equity along the way.

But that same trend has left home ownership out of reach for many younger people. In February, a gauge of home prices in the 20 largest US cities rose 20.2 per cent from a year earlier.

At the same time, mortgage rates are now at the highest since 2009, pushing up monthly payments.

What can you do to protect your wallet?

The main thing advisers stress: don’t panic. Although this year’s drop in stocks has been startling and rising prices are straining budgets across the country, the pain could be temporary.

Historically, at least, equities rise over time. That means it is actually a good idea to invest in broad-based indexes such as the S&P 500 now, when stocks are cheaper, says Jonathan Huss, certified financial planner at Hussmen Financial. He also recommends re-examining your budget and cutting back on items such as subscription services.

Another tactic is to embrace sharing, according to Eric Walters, founder of Summit Hill Wealth Management.

“It is a good time to get a roommate and share the cost of a hotel room with friends for travel,” he says.

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Finally, it can be helpful to know which items are most affected by inflation. For instance, prices for fuel and plane tickets are increasing while the movie tickets and the cost of admission to sports events are not.

“Make sure to budget your fun spending, and don’t get caught spending too much for things that don’t really bring you any joy and aren’t necessities,” says Joseph Brady, founder of Rock Financial Planning.

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Ain Dubai in numbers

126: The length in metres of the legs supporting the structure

1 football pitch: The length of each permanent spoke is longer than a professional soccer pitch

16 A380 Airbuses: The equivalent weight of the wheel rim.

9,000 tonnes: The amount of steel used to construct the project.

5 tonnes: The weight of each permanent spoke that is holding the wheel rim in place

192: The amount of cable wires used to create the wheel. They measure a distance of 2,4000km in total, the equivalent of the distance between Dubai and Cairo.

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Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: May 26, 2022, 6:00 AM