Belchatow Power Station, Europe's largest coal-fired power plant, in Poland. Government subsidies for coal tripled to $9 billion from 2021, the International Energy Agency said. Reuters
Belchatow Power Station, Europe's largest coal-fired power plant, in Poland. Government subsidies for coal tripled to $9 billion from 2021, the International Energy Agency said. Reuters
Belchatow Power Station, Europe's largest coal-fired power plant, in Poland. Government subsidies for coal tripled to $9 billion from 2021, the International Energy Agency said. Reuters
Belchatow Power Station, Europe's largest coal-fired power plant, in Poland. Government subsidies for coal tripled to $9 billion from 2021, the International Energy Agency said. Reuters

Global fossil fuel consumption in 2022 hit record $1tn in blow to energy transition goals


Alvin R Cabral
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Fossil fuel consumption subsidies worldwide soared in 2022 to surpass the $1 trillion mark for the first time, dealing a blow to efforts to phase out these "inefficient" sources of energy, the International Energy Agency has said.

The record subsidies last year — totalling nearly $1.1 trillion — were almost double that of 2021 levels and almost five times compared to 2020, preliminary data from the Paris-based IEA showed.

The previous high was at $752 billion, which was set in 2012.

The record level came amid the global energy crisis triggered by Russia’s military offensive in Ukraine that started a year ago and was also a result of a turmoil in energy markets that sent fuel prices in international markets well above what was actually paid by many consumers, it said.

Electricity subsidies had the highest share with $399 billion, which is double its level in 2021, while natural gas surged 145 per cent to $346 billion, the report said.

Oil subsidies grew nearly 84 per cent annually to $343 billion from $187 billion last year, while coal tripled to $9 billion from 2021.

The agency also stressed that this is in "sharp contrast" to the goals set by the Cop26 climate summit in late 2021, which called on countries to “phase-out … inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, while providing targeted support to the poorest and most vulnerable”.

"Our analysis shows that many of these government measures were not well targeted," the IEA said.

"And while they may have partially protected customers from skyrocketing costs, they artificially maintained fossil fuels' competitiveness versus low-emissions alternatives."

Periods of high and volatile fossil fuel prices are driving the unsustainability of the world's present energy system and underscore the benefits of energy transitions, the IEA said.

But these episodes come with significant economic and social cost, and high fossil fuel prices are "no substitute for consistent climate policies", it said.

"Phasing out fossil fuel subsidies is a fundamental ingredient of successful clean energy transitions."

Energy transition requires a “practical”, realistic and collaborative approach to ensure that it is just and addresses the triple challenges of climate progress, energy security and economic prosperity, Dr Sultan Al Jaber, the UAE's Climate Change Special Envoy, said in September.

Global carbon emissions hit record highs in 2022, with no sign of the falls needed to curb climate change, a study from the Global Carbon Project had shown.

Carbon pollution from burning fossil fuels rose 1 per cent from 2021 levels and is now slightly above the record levels seen in 2019, it said.

Scientists have said that there is now a 50 per cent chance that global temperature rises will hit the crucial climate target of 1.5°C in less than a decade, the study said.

Oil demand, meanwhile, is projected to grow by 2.3 million bpd in 2023, Opec said this week — higher than a previous estimate of 2.2 million bpd.

The IEA argued that during an energy crisis, government commitments to phasing out subsidies are overshadowed by the priority to protect consumers.

The resulting actions may reduce hardship, but they also weaken incentives for consumers to save or to switch to alternative sources of energy, and use up public funds that could be spent in other areas, including on clean energy transitions.

Phasing out fossil fuel subsidies is a fundamental ingredient of successful clean energy transitions."
International Energy Agency

"High fossil fuel prices hit the poor hardest but subsidies are rarely well-targeted, and as a result tend to benefit the better off," it said.

"Effective targeting to protect vulnerable groups requires investments in better data collection and in setting up effective cash transfer mechanisms."

While the IEA acknowledged that governments indeed took a variety of measures to protect consumers from the worst effects of the energy crisis, the efforts to limit the effect of price volatility were much more widespread.

"Most interventions in advanced economies did not meet our definition of fossil fuel consumption subsidies, because average end-user prices remained above market-based values," it said.

"Many utilities and other energy companies, as well as energy-intensive industries, received additional support to manage higher fuel-related costs, especially for gas and electricity."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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