Workers on a production line at Nissan's car plant in Sunderland Britain. UK car manufacturing fell 29.3% to 920,928 vehicles last year compared with 2019. Reuters
Workers on a production line at Nissan's car plant in Sunderland Britain. UK car manufacturing fell 29.3% to 920,928 vehicles last year compared with 2019. Reuters
Workers on a production line at Nissan's car plant in Sunderland Britain. UK car manufacturing fell 29.3% to 920,928 vehicles last year compared with 2019. Reuters
Workers on a production line at Nissan's car plant in Sunderland Britain. UK car manufacturing fell 29.3% to 920,928 vehicles last year compared with 2019. Reuters

UK car production slumped by almost a third in 2020 amid Covid disruption


Alice Haine
  • English
  • Arabic

UK car production slumped by almost a third in 2020 – the weakest annual output since 1984 – as Covid-19 slammed the brakes on the sector, new data showed on Thursday.

UK car manufacturing, which mostly serves foreign markets, fell 29.3 per cent from 2019 to 920,928 vehicles, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers & Traders. Output in December was also down 2.3 per cent to 71,403 units after some companies were affected by delays at British ports.

"These figures, the worst in a generation, reflect the devastating impact of the pandemic on UK automotive production, with Covid lockdowns depressing demand, shuttering plants and threatening lives and livelihoods," said SMMT chief executive Mike Hawes.

"The industry faces 2021 with more optimism, however, with a vaccine being rolled out and clarity on how we trade with Europe, which remains by far our biggest market."

The Covid-19 crisis cost the car industry heavily last year, with new car registrations falling to 1.63 million last year, a decline of 29 per cent on 2019, with the bulk of the sales lost during the first lockdown last spring.

While lockdowns and social distancing measures restricted factory output, Brexit uncertainty was also a factor as it depressed market demand in key export destinations.

Although Britain's automotive sector, which sells more than 80 per cent of its vehicles abroad, was a big winner from the EU trade agreement because it allows for tariff-free trade, it was still affected by delays caused by paperwork and border controls.

Honda halted manufacturing at its UK plant in December after the Japanese carmaker was hit by delivery delays on spare parts through Britain's ports when companies began stockpiling ahead of the Brexit deadline.

Despite the difficulties, the EU remained the biggest export destination for the UK last year, taking a 53.5 per cent share even though volumes fell 30.8 per cent to 400,460 units.

“The immediate challenge is to adapt to the new conditions, to overcome the additional customs burdens,” said Mr Hawes.

Last week, Japanese carmaker Nissan committed to its future in Britain, home to the group's largest European factory, citing the country's Brexit trade deal with the EU.

Shipments to the US, Japan and Australia fell last year, by 33.7 per cent, 21.6 per cent and 21.8 per cent, respectively. Meanwhile, exports to China, South Korea and Taiwan, rose 2.3 per cent, 3.6 per cent and 16.7 per cent, respectively.

One bright spot for British car manufacturing was the UK’s increase in production of battery electric, plug-hybrid and hybrid vehicles. Combined production of these models rose to 18.8 per cent of all cars made in the UK, up from 14.8 per cent a year earlier.

Looking ahead, UK car production is expected to partly recover this year to one million units, according to independent forecasters.

This year’s performance will depend on the impact of the virus, the speed with which showrooms can reopen and how quickly manufacturers can adapt to “much more complicated” EU trading arrangements, said Mr Hawes.

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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

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FFP EXPLAINED

What is Financial Fair Play?
Introduced in 2011 by Uefa, European football’s governing body, it demands that clubs live within their means. Chiefly, spend within their income and not make substantial losses.

What the rules dictate? 
The second phase of its implementation limits losses to €30 million (Dh136m) over three seasons. Extra expenditure is permitted for investment in sustainable areas (youth academies, stadium development, etc). Money provided by owners is not viewed as income. Revenue from “related parties” to those owners is assessed by Uefa's “financial control body” to be sure it is a fair value, or in line with market prices.

What are the penalties? 
There are a number of punishments, including fines, a loss of prize money or having to reduce squad size for European competition – as happened to PSG in 2014. There is even the threat of a competition ban, which could in theory lead to PSG’s suspension from the Uefa Champions League.

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if you go

The flights

Air France offer flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi to Cayenne, connecting in Paris from Dh7,300.

The tour

Cox & Kings (coxandkings.com) has a 14-night Hidden Guianas tour of Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana. It includes accommodation, domestic flights, transfers, a local tour manager and guided sightseeing. Contact for price.

UAE tour of Zimbabwe

All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – UAE won by 36 runs
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
Sunday, Oct 5 – First T20I
Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The White Lotus: Season three

Creator: Mike White

Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell

Rating: 4.5/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets