Abu Dhabi, UAEFriday 30 October 2020

Dubai's economy to grow 3.2% next year

Pickup forecast on the back of stronger performances in tourism, financial services and real estate, among other sectors

Residential yields for investors across prime properties in Dubai remained the fourth-highest globally at 4.6 per cent, exceeded only by Los Angeles, Moscow and Cape Town. Alamy
Residential yields for investors across prime properties in Dubai remained the fourth-highest globally at 4.6 per cent, exceeded only by Los Angeles, Moscow and Cape Town. Alamy

Dubai's economy is set to rebound strongly next year, expanding 3.2 per cent on the back of a series of economic stimulus measures introduced last year.

The emirate's openness and its support for innovative projects and entrepreneurship have made the city an ideal destination for investment, the emirate's Crown Prince Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed said.

"Projected short-to-medium term economic activity in Dubai indicates a real GDP growth of 2.1 per cent this year, 3.2 per cent in 2020 and 3.0 per cent in 2021," Sheikh Hamdan said in a statement issued by the Dubai government.

Dubai's economic growth slowed to 1.7 per cent last year, but picked up to grow 2.2 per cent in the second half following the introduction of stimulus measures by both the federal and the emirate's government.

The federal government issued long-term residency visas to attract innovators and entrepreneurs, whereas the Dubai government cut municipality fees applied to certain commercial entities to 2.5 per cent from 5 per cent, as well as waiving aviation sector-related fees.

"Major policy initiatives were introduced and contributed to bolstering domestic demand, reducing the cost of doing business, boosting SME liquidity and supporting the tourism and real estate sectors," said Sami Al Qamzi, director general of Dubai Economy. He said the measures led to foreign direct investment increasing by 41 per cent to Dh38.5bn last year.


UAE vice president and ruler of Dubai, Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashid, also introduced a 50-year charter earlier this year which included a number of measures to boost investment, including the fostering of a "Dubai Silk Road" to re-establish the city as a trade hub, the creation of a geoeconomic map highlighting investment opportunities and a virtual commercial city offering business licences to global investors without them needing to reside in the city.

A graph accompanying the statement forecasts strong growth in a number of key sectors next year as the economy picks up. Tourism growth is predicted to more than double to 6.6 per cent, up from 3.3 per cent as the Expo 2020 event gets under way, while growth in financial services is expected to pick up to 2.7 per cent, from just 1 per cent this year. A revival in the fortunes of the emirate's real estate sector is also predicted, with growth increasing to 3.6 per cent, up from 2.2 per cent this year. Growth in the manufacturing sector is set to triple — to 3.1 per cent, up from 1 per cent this year.

The improvement in Dubai's economy is expected to be achieved "despite the considerable headwinds that the world economy is facing due to rising trade policy tensions and geopolitical risks including uncertainty about Brexit", the statement said, pointing to the International Monetary Fund's recent downward revision to its global growth forecast.

In October, the IMF revised its growth forecast for 2019 downward for the fifth time to 3 per cent. It also lowered its global growth forecast for 2020 to 3.4 per cent, which was 0.2 per cent lower than its previous forecast.

Updated: December 10, 2019 09:26 PM

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