Minister of Economy Abdulla bin Touq speaks at the Confederation of Indian Industry Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: Ministry of Economy
Minister of Economy Abdulla bin Touq speaks at the Confederation of Indian Industry Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: Ministry of Economy
Minister of Economy Abdulla bin Touq speaks at the Confederation of Indian Industry Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: Ministry of Economy
Minister of Economy Abdulla bin Touq speaks at the Confederation of Indian Industry Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: Ministry of Economy

Fragmentation one of the biggest risks faced by global economy, says UAE minister


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Geographical and economic fragmentation is the greatest danger the global economy faces today and is prompting the drafting of new policies to boost economic integration, Abdulla bin Touq, the UAE's Minister of Economy, said on Tuesday.

Addressing the Confederation of Indian Industry Partnership Summit 2023 in New Delhi, Mr bin Touq said economic fragmentation was expected to cost the world dearly because “the greater the fragmentation of trade, the greater the economic costs”.

“I would like to reiterate that the UAE, as an active member of the global financial and trading ecosystem, supports global efforts aimed at promoting economic integration. We believe that it is absolutely necessary to address the economic challenges of our times and build a more sustainable and prosperous future for all,” he said.

He emphasised the role the UAE and India could play in enhancing economic integration.

“The UAE, as an active member of the global financial and trading ecosystem, supports global efforts aimed at promoting economic integration,” Mr bin Touq said.

The growing economic ties between the UAE and India support both countries’ efforts towards greater partnership, he said.

“India is one of the most vibrant economies in the world today and has a wealth of resources, expertise and innovative ideas. Similarly, the UAE’s strengths include its global status as a leading trade, investment and business hub, and a gateway to the Middle Eastern and African markets,” he said.

The UAE signed its first comprehensive economic partnership agreement with India in February last year, and it came into effect on May 1.

Benefits include enhanced market access, lower or eliminated tariff rules, simpler customs procedures, clear and transparent rules, and rules-based competition.

Trade between the UAE and India has increased by 10 per cent in the first year after the countries signed the treaty.

Non-oil trade rose to about $50 billion since the treaty was signed a year ago, putting it on track to achieve its goal of $100 billion by 2030, Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi, Minister of State for Foreign Trade, said last month.

The UAE is India's third-biggest trading partner while India is the Emirates’ second-largest trading partner.

India hopes its exports will hit $1 trillion in the near to medium term, Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal has said in the past.

“The trade deal has cancelled or reduced customs duties by 90 per cent on goods and commodities traded between both countries … They cover nearly 95 per cent of the value of commodities that each country imports from the other, which will accelerate the growth of non-oil trade to amount to $100 billion per annum over the next five years”, Mr bin Touq said.

Apart from India, the UAE has signed similar treaties with, Israel, Indonesia and Turkey. The Emirates is working towards signing 26 comprehensive economic partnership agreements, Mr bin Touq said earlier this month.

Minister of Economy Abdullah bin Touq participated in the CII Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: UAE Ministry of Economy
Minister of Economy Abdullah bin Touq participated in the CII Partnership Summit in New Delhi. Photo: UAE Ministry of Economy

Speaking at CII, the minister also said the UAE welcomed the strong presence of Indian companies in the country and “strives to provide them with all enablers for growth and expansion in our markets”.

The UAE government has adopted an array of measures that have enhanced the resilience of its economy in the face of global economic challenges such as volatile commodity prices, inflation, uncertainty with regard to monetary policies, as well as supply chain disruptions.

These include the granting of 100 per cent foreign ownership, the issuance of legislation to protect intellectual property and the launch of a strategy to attract talent and skills in all sectors to enhance the country's position as a permanent centre for creativity and innovation.

The forward-looking policies have enabled the UAE’s real gross domestic product to grow by 7.6 per cent in 2022, Mr bin Touq said.

Last year, foreign direct investment inflows to the country amounted to $171.6 billion. There was also unprecedented growth in the country’s non-oil foreign trade as it crossed the Dh2.2 trillion mark for the first time, with an annual growth of 17 per cent.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Founders: Omer Gurel, chief executive and co-founder and Edebali Sener, co-founder and chief technology officer

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Sector: ConsumerTech and FinTech

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Updated: March 14, 2023, 9:56 AM