The governments of some of the world's biggest economies are taking the knife to public spending in a new wave of austerity measures designed to reduce their crippling levels of debt.
The British are the latest to signal a new age of austerity in their fiscal policy, in an emergency budget announced yesterday that included severe cuts in public-sector spending and increases in consumer taxes.
But they are following a path already trodden by Japan, Greece and Ireland, all of which have had to cut public spending and reduce levels of public indebtedness. Even Germany, the healthiest economy in Europe, has announced plans for an "austerity package" to reduce government borrowings.
But policymakers face a dilemma in their efforts to reduce debt: as governments in Europe and Japan account for a larger chunk of economic activity via pubic spending, will the cuts now being widely implemented lead to a slowdown in economic growth and stall the recovery?
It has become a bone of contention between the US and European governments, with Barack Obama, the US president, warning earlier this month that the world should "learn from the consequential mistakes of the past, when stimulus was withdrawn too quickly and resulted in renewed economic hardship and recession".
The authorities in debt-laden Europe feel they have no choice.
"The years of debt and spending make this unavoidable," was how George Osborne, the British chancellor of the exchequer, unveiled what he called the "tough but fair" budget.
Are such measures likely to be adopted by regional economies? Perhaps not yet, say economists.
"You should not expect similar measures taken here," said John Sfakianakis, the chief economist of Banque Saudi Fransi. "If anything, it is the opposite as all GCC economies have expansionary budgets this year and will most likely maintain their expenditure if oil prices average at US$70 [a barrel]."
The British measures will cut the budgets of most government departments, with the exception of the national health service and overseas aid, by 25 per cent over the next five years. An increase in value-added tax from 17.5 per cent to 20 per cent will also help get the public books back in balance, while public-sector pay will be frozen for those earning above £20,000 (Dh108,840) a year for the next two years.
The aim is to reduce the UK's deficit from its current level of £149 billion, or 10 per cent of GDP, to about 1.1 per cent, or £20bn, by 2014 to 2015. British debt levels are the second-worst in Europe after the Republic of Ireland's, where draconian financial cutbacks were imposed earlier this year.
The destabilising effect of the new austerity measures was seen dramatically in Greece with violent outbreaks of civil unrest that left at least four people dead, while Italy and Spain have also been hit by demonstrations of public anger at new financial stringency.
In export-driven Germany, Europe's most successful economy and the fourth biggest in the world, the government has already imposed ?30bn (Dh135.34bn) of public cuts and is considering a further ?50bn. Even financially conservative Germans are feeling the keen edge of the new age of austerity.
Japan too, after almost two decades of economic inertia, is having to come to terms with its debt mountain. Gross state debt has soared to 200 per cent of GDP and the Tokyo government is looking to limit the issuance of new bonds in an effort to balance the national budget by 2020.
* with reporting by Tom Arnold
fkane@thenational.ae
Meydan race card
6.30pm: Baniyas (PA) Group 2 Dh125,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
7.05pm: Maiden (TB) Dh165,000 (D) 1,200m
7.40pm: Maiden (TB) Dh165,000 (D) 1,400m
8.15pm: Handicap (TB) Dh170,000 (D) 1,900m
8.50pm: Rated Conditions (TB) Dh240,000 (D) 1,600m
9.25pm: Handicap (TB) Dh175,000 (D)1,200m
10pm: Handicap (TB) Dh165,000 (D) 1,400m
Company%C2%A0profile
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Bangladesh tour of Pakistan
January 24 – First T20, Lahore
January 25 – Second T20, Lahore
January 27 – Third T20, Lahore
February 7-11 – First Test, Rawalpindi
April 3 – One-off ODI, Karachi
April 5-9 – Second Test, Karachi
The National Archives, Abu Dhabi
Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.
Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en
The specs: Volvo XC40
Price: base / as tested: Dh185,000
Engine: 2.0-litre, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder
Gearbox: Eight-speed automatic
Power: 250hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 350Nm @ 1,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 10.4L / 100km
Frida%20
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RESULTS
5pm: Maiden | Dh80,000 | 1,600m
Winner: AF Al Moreeb, Tadhg O’Shea (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer)
5.30pm: Handicap | Dh80,000 | 1,600m
Winner: AF Makerah, Adrie de Vries, Ernst Oertel
6pm: Handicap | Dh80,000 | 2,200m
Winner: Hazeme, Richard Mullen, Jean de Roualle
6.30pm: Handicap | Dh85,000 | 2,200m
Winner: AF Yatroq, Brett Doyle, Ernst Oertel
7pm: Shadwell Farm for Private Owners Handicap | Dh70,000 | 2,200m
Winner: Nawwaf KB, Patrick Cosgrave, Helal Al Alawi
7.30pm: Handicap (TB) | Dh100,000 | 1,600m
Winner: Treasured Times, Bernardo Pinheiro, Rashed Bouresly
COMPANY PROFILE
● Company: Bidzi
● Started: 2024
● Founders: Akshay Dosaj and Asif Rashid
● Based: Dubai, UAE
● Industry: M&A
● Funding size: Bootstrapped
● No of employees: Nine
Quick pearls of wisdom
Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”
Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.”
PRESIDENTS CUP
Draw for Presidents Cup fourball matches on Thursday (Internationals first mention). All times UAE:
02.32am (Thursday): Marc Leishman/Joaquin Niemann v Tiger Woods/Justin Thomas
02.47am (Thursday): Adam Hadwin/Im Sung-jae v Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay
03.02am (Thursday): Adam Scott/An Byeong-hun v Bryson DeChambeau/Tony Finau
03.17am (Thursday): Hideki Matsuyama/CT Pan v Webb Simpson/Patrick Reed
03.32am (Thursday): Abraham Ancer/Louis Oosthuizen v Dustin Johnson/Gary Woodland
WITHIN%20SAND
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UK’s AI plan
- AI ambassadors such as MIT economist Simon Johnson, Monzo cofounder Tom Blomfield and Google DeepMind’s Raia Hadsell
- £10bn AI growth zone in South Wales to create 5,000 jobs
- £100m of government support for startups building AI hardware products
- £250m to train new AI models
Mina Cup winners
Under 12 – Minerva Academy
Under 14 – Unam Pumas
Under 16 – Fursan Hispania
Under 18 – Madenat
How green is the expo nursery?
Some 400,000 shrubs and 13,000 trees in the on-site nursery
An additional 450,000 shrubs and 4,000 trees to be delivered in the months leading up to the expo
Ghaf, date palm, acacia arabica, acacia tortilis, vitex or sage, techoma and the salvadora are just some heat tolerant native plants in the nursery
Approximately 340 species of shrubs and trees selected for diverse landscape
The nursery team works exclusively with organic fertilisers and pesticides
All shrubs and trees supplied by Dubai Municipality
Most sourced from farms, nurseries across the country
Plants and trees are re-potted when they arrive at nursery to give them room to grow
Some mature trees are in open areas or planted within the expo site
Green waste is recycled as compost
Treated sewage effluent supplied by Dubai Municipality is used to meet the majority of the nursery’s irrigation needs
Construction workforce peaked at 40,000 workers
About 65,000 people have signed up to volunteer
Main themes of expo is ‘Connecting Minds, Creating the Future’ and three subthemes of opportunity, mobility and sustainability.
Expo 2020 Dubai to open in October 2020 and run for six months