HSBC has been weathering the world's economy and sailing on trade winds both fair and stormy for more than 150 years and, as such, knows a good deal about adapting to current conditions and staying nimble.
Tuesday's restructuring announcement is being seen by analysts as the latest episode in the bank's long evolution, which stretches back to 1865 when it first opened its doors in Hong Kong. Since that time, HSBC has always seen itself as a “local bank serving international needs” and indeed, for decades adopted the slogan “the world's local bank” to describe itself.
But by 2018, surging internet connectivity, coupled with the rapid development of digital banking, meant branch closures for all the major banks, as the whole concept of a bricks-and-mortar local bank began to dissolve.
As such, HSBC adapted and found a new slogan: “Together We Thrive”, which in the UK gained some notoriety as a perceived subtle stand against Brexit. Nonetheless, the “Together We Thrive” narrative was deemed a success, as it connected the bank with its 41 million personal, wealth and corporate customers in 60 countries.
However, in recent years, one of HSBC's major shareholders, the Chinese insurance company Ping An, has been pushing the bank to hive off its Asian business, a campaign which culminated in vote at the HSBC annual general meeting in 2023.
While Ping An and Hong Kong-based shareholders lost the vote to spin-off the profitable Asian business, it did resonate at board level. The much-anticipated restructuring announced on Tuesday would seem to be HSBC's adaptation to it – thriving, but as two separate geographical units: one covering the west (UK, Europe and the Americas) and one covering the east (Asia and the Middle East).
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, told The National that this new structure may be partly designed to lay the separation issue “to rest for good” and “show that HSBC is positioned to maximise the growth potential of Asia, the Middle East and emerging markets”.
The restructuring does reflect the “differing pockets of opportunities” HSBC has identified, said Richard Hunter, head of markets with Interactive Investor, while keeping the bank together.
“Geographical and business diversification have long been a mainstay for the UK banks – HSBC and Barclays being the most pertinent examples – which allows for regions and business lines to pick up the slack as economic fortunes and trends vary across the globe,” Mr Hunter told The National.
'Next on the chopping block?'
The changes at HSBC are the most significant at the lender for more than a decade and new chief executive, Georges Elhedery, is adamant the new structure “will result in a simpler, more dynamic, and agile organisation as we focus on executing against our strategic priorities”.
For Michael Makdad, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, HSBC's global operations were “too complex and too sprawling geographically”.
“This reorganisation to simplify the business, and separate Hong Kong and the UK into their own businesses, should be positive. It may also help answer the concerns of shareholders in Asia, who argued a few years ago that such a separation could improve returns,” he added.
However, some analysts felt the reorganisation was all very well, but failed to see how it could turn HSBC's fortunes around as the world's central banks move to lower interest rates. In addition, others were speculating the restructuring, far from laying the separation issue to rest, could be a prelude to more formal spin-offs and separate stock market listings.
“The announcement today is just moving around different parts of the group, with no change to the big picture,” said Benjamin Toms, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “The real question that the market is waiting to hear about, given that the bank is searching to cut costs to offset top-line pressure, is which parts of that group could be next on the chopping block, and how much will this restructuring cost the bank?”
Those restructuring costs could also pave the way for significant job cuts, a path taken by HSBC's rival Citigroup earlier this year.
Citi has plans to slash 20,000 jobs, or more than 10 per cent of its workforce and its chief executive, Jane Fraser, told investors the restructuring should save $1 billion a year. But former Bank of England economist, Stuart Cole, thinks the task facing HSBC is even greater, as "its lines of business were even more geographically diverse".
"My hunch is that this will be a long process and HSBC will end up undergoing a bigger restructuring than it is currently envisaging: the world is continuing to fragment, both politically and economically, and I think the journey HSBC is now on will require more difficult decisions to be made going forward," he told The National. More details of HSBC's restructuring are expected to emerge when the lender reports its third quarter numbers at the end of October.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Ziina users can donate to relief efforts in Beirut
Ziina users will be able to use the app to help relief efforts in Beirut, which has been left reeling after an August blast caused an estimated $15 billion in damage and left thousands homeless. Ziina has partnered with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees to raise money for the Lebanese capital, co-founder Faisal Toukan says. “As of October 1, the UNHCR has the first certified badge on Ziina and is automatically part of user's top friends' list during this campaign. Users can now donate any amount to the Beirut relief with two clicks. The money raised will go towards rebuilding houses for the families that were impacted by the explosion.”
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