Sterling was in freefall on Friday, slipping below the $1.10 mark. Bloomberg
Sterling was in freefall on Friday, slipping below the $1.10 mark. Bloomberg
Sterling was in freefall on Friday, slipping below the $1.10 mark. Bloomberg
Sterling was in freefall on Friday, slipping below the $1.10 mark. Bloomberg

UK pound breaches $1.10 for the first time since 1985


Simon Rushton
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The UK pound slid to a 37-year nadir against the US dollar as it dropped below the $1.10 threshold amid concerns that a £45 billion ($49.46bn) tax-cutting package from the government would worsen the UK's economic outlook.

The currency and stocks hit six-month lows after Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng laid out a series of tax cuts aimed at boosting growth in Britain.

The finance minister called his mini-budget a “growth plan” for the UK economy but its initial impact was to send investors running.

Sterling fell by as much as 3.2 per cent to $1.0897, having started the day above $1.12, and other currencies also gained ground. A simultaneous sharp sell-off in government debts suggests that tackling inflation will be a hard task for UK authorities and that the currency market sees no easy way out for the Bank of England.

“The British pound is getting absolutely smashed today after the UK’s new economic reform announcements,” Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Ava Trade, told The National.

“Investors are losing confidence in the UK’s ability to control its finance, as the government continues to kick the can down the road.

“The UK’s government is avoiding reducing the country’s liabilities but under the current circumstances, it has very little option to do anything else.”

Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng unveils his mini-budget plan in the House of Commons in London on Friday. AFP/PRU
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng unveils his mini-budget plan in the House of Commons in London on Friday. AFP/PRU

At 4pm UK time, the euro was up 1.8 per cent against the pound and sterling was down 2.7 per cent on the yen.

The FTSE 100 share index dropped 1.8 per cent, hitting its lowest level since March, while the domestically focused FTSE 250 index dropped 2.3 per cent.

The slides come after the Bank of England launched another 0.5 percentage point interest rate rise to 2.25 per cent on Thursday and warned the UK could already be in a recession.

The new UK spending package was estimated to cost £45bn by the financial year 2026/27, the Institute for Fiscal Studies said

Income tax cuts, a drop in property taxes, tax-free shopping for overseas visitors and the scrapping of a planned corporation tax rise are all aimed at giving households and businesses a boost.

'A significant, unfunded fiscal stimulus package'

Kwasi Kwarteng said his budget was a 'very good day for the UK' but refused to comment on sterling’s slide. EPA
Kwasi Kwarteng said his budget was a 'very good day for the UK' but refused to comment on sterling’s slide. EPA

The pound initially edged a little higher shortly after Mr Kwarteng's speech, before tumbling. It has shed 17 per cent against the US currency so far this year.

“Arguably, a significant, unfunded fiscal stimulus package like this would have made economic sense after the deflationary global financial crisis, when borrowing costs were low and private sector balance sheets were deleveraging,” said Trevor Greetham, head of multi-asset at Royal London.

“Now, with spare capacity non-existent, inflation at a 40-year high and the Bank of England trying to cool things down, we are likely to see a policy tug-of-war reminiscent of the stop-go 1970s. Investors should be prepared for a bumpy ride."

The FTSE 100 dropped 1.3 per cent, reaching its weakest level since July 15, but shares in UK homebuilders jumped after Mr Kwarteng announced changes to property stamp duty.

Paul Johnson, the IFS director, said Mr Kwarteng's "gamble with fiscal sustainability" was the "biggest tax-cutting event since 1972".

Amid soaring interest rates, he warned that the Bank of England will surely further hike interest rates in response to the package.

Mr Johnson said: "Early signs are that the markets - who will have to lend the money required to plug the gap in the government's fiscal plans - aren't impressed. This is worrying."

Mr Johnson also warned that it was "inconceivable" that further public spending was not being announced, unless the Government will allow a "further deterioration" in public services.

"Presumably this Government would borrow for that also. Mr Kwarteng is not just gambling on a new strategy, he is betting the house," Mr Johnson said.

Mr Johnson warned that the package of tax cuts announced 50 years ago by then-chancellor Anthony Barber under a dash for growth "ended in disaster".

Mr Kwarteng committed to get debt falling as a percentage of GDP over the medium term, but the Treasury estimates the package would have to drive up GDP by 1 per cent on current forecasts every year for five years to cover the cost of the new tax cuts.

The bond market, with yields on the two-year gilt — the most-sensitive tool to any near-term shift in interest rate or borrowing expectations — registered its biggest one-day change since November 2009.

Mr Kwarteng said the release of his budget meant a "very good day for the UK" but he refused to comment on sterling’s slide.

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When: July 7-29

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Based: Jordan

Sector: FinTech

Total transactions: over $800,000 since January, 2018

Investors in Jaib's mother company Alpha Apps: Aramex and 500 Startups

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Updated: September 25, 2022, 8:26 AM