PARIS // Thousands of Turks from across Europe marched through the French capital on Saturday to denounce a bill that would make it a crime to deny that the killing of Armenians by Ottoman Turks nearly a century ago was genocide.
Turks young and old, waving their country's red flag or wrapped in it, marched to the Senate, where the bill will be debated today after passage in December in the lower house.
They carried banners reading "No to Sarkozy Shame Law", "History for Historians, Politics for Politicians" and other slogans denouncing an alleged bid by the French president Nicolas Sarkozy to "fish for votes" among French Armenians before the two-round presidential elections in April and May.
An estimated 500,000 Armenians live in France.
The measure would make it a crime to deny that the mass killings of Armenians in 1915 by Ottoman Turks constituted genocide. It sets a punishment of up to one year in prison and a fine of €45,000 (Dh216,000) for those who deny or "outrageously minimise" the killings - putting such action on par with denial of the Holocaust.
France formally recognised the 1915 killings as genocide in 2001, but provided no penalty for anyone refuting that.
Even though the killings happened nearly 100 years ago, the issue remains an emotional one for Armenians who lost loved ones and for Turks who see a challenge to their national honour.
An irate Turkey briefly recalled its ambassador to France and suspended military, economic and political ties.
"Politicians who haven't read an article on this say there was a genocide," said Beyhan Yildirim, 35, a demonstrator from Berlin. He was among those bussed into Paris from Germany and elsewhere for the march. Scores of buses lined the streets of southern Paris where the march began.
Armenians plan a demonstration near the Senate today before the debate and vote.
It was unclear whether the measure would pass as easily as it did in the National Assembly, the lower but more powerful house.
The Senate is controlled by the rival Socialists who had earlier backed the bill. However, the Senate Commission on Laws voted against its passage last week, saying the measure risks violating constitutional protections including freedom of speech. The question is whether the Socialists will heed the recommendations, if only because the issue is becoming an electoral hot potato.
Compromising freedom of expression in France, considered the cradle of human rights, has been a key argument of the Turkish government against the measure.
It is unclear whether legislators in the National Assembly had an inkling that their vote giving the green light to the bill would trigger a diplomatic dispute. There appeared to be fewer than 100 present for the December 22 vote - out of 577.
Fadime Ertugrul-Tastan, the deputy mayor of the Normandy town of Herouville, was among those demonstrating on Saturday, wearing the blue, white and red sash of French officials.
She said her family hailed from Kars, near the Armenian border, and her grandparents were killed by Armenians.
"I am here to honour their memory," she said, adding, "There was no genocide because we were in a period of war."
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Secret Nation: The Hidden Armenians of Turkey
Avedis Hadjian, (IB Tauris)
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
How has net migration to UK changed?
The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.
It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.
The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.
The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.