Afghan presidential candidate Ashraf Ghani, left, and rival Abdullah Abdullah at a news conference in Kabul on Saturday. Jim Bourg / Reuters
Afghan presidential candidate Ashraf Ghani, left, and rival Abdullah Abdullah at a news conference in Kabul on Saturday. Jim Bourg / Reuters
Afghan presidential candidate Ashraf Ghani, left, and rival Abdullah Abdullah at a news conference in Kabul on Saturday. Jim Bourg / Reuters
Afghan presidential candidate Ashraf Ghani, left, and rival Abdullah Abdullah at a news conference in Kabul on Saturday. Jim Bourg / Reuters

Ethnic tensions and warlordism haunt Afghans amid election dispute


  • English
  • Arabic

KABUL // After opting not to vote in the first round of Afghanistan's presidential election, Sami Wahidi changed his mind for the run-off. With only two candidates left in the race and so much at stake, he felt he had to participate.
"Our nation understood that even if our votes do not decide our future, they still have an impact and can count for a small percentage in the process," he said.
Mr Wahidi, 32, backed Ashraf Ghani, a former World Bank technocrat and ethnic Pashtun who is now the front-runner to replace incumbent Hamid Karzai, if preliminary results announced last week are to be trusted.
Mr Ghani's rival, Abdullah Abdullah, has claimed that the extraordinarily high official turnout figure recorded for the June 14 run-off vote was proof of rampant fraud. He initially appeared close to announcing his own parallel government and some of his supporters protested in the streets of Kabul. But on Saturday Mr Abdullah agreed to respect the outcome of a full election audit, entering into an uneasy stand-off with Mr Ghani that has the country on edge.
Yet, during this entire period ordinary civilians and analysts have told The National that the controversy is not just about which individual will hold power. It is also about lingering ethnic tensions, the bloodshed of the past and a culture of warlordism long encouraged by the US.
While only two members of Mr Wahidi's family voted in the first round of the election on April 5, this number increased to 11 in the run-off, all of whom supported Mr Ghani.
They were not motivated by policy issues, but more by a desire to protect their ethnic community's traditional position in Afghanistan.
An engineer from the eastern province of Nangarhar, when Mr Wahidi spoke of "our nation" he was referring to Pashtuns - the country's largest ethnic group.
Throughout most of Afghanistan's history, its rulers have been Pashtun. Like many in his community, Mr Wahidi fears that the balance of power will be upset if the Pashtuns do not hold on to the presidency.
"The nation is worried and it is against warlords, corruption and the use of force," Mr Wahidi said. "By using their votes people said no to them."
Although Mr Abdullah is of mixed parentage and has vice presidential candidates from different ethnic backgrounds, he is commonly associated with the Tajik community due to his political history.
After fighting against Soviet forces in the 1980s, he served in the Northern Alliance movement that fought the Taliban regime and whose members have dominated the political landscape since the 2001 US-led invasion.
A foreign minister in the early years of Mr Karzai's rule, Mr Abdullah went on to become an outspoken critic of the president and ran against him in the 2009 election. He has accused Mr Karzai and Afghanistan's Independent Election Commission of helping fix the vote in favour of Mr Ghani.
Many of his supporters believe the election dispute is proof that Tajiks are experiencing discrimination.
The powerful governor of the northern Balkh province, Atta Mohammed Noor, has already announced that he regards Mr Abdullah as Afghanistan's legitimate president. There are concerns that Mr Atta's comments could be a taste of what is to come.
The uncertainty regarding the election has meant "everyone is worried", said Ajmal, a 28-year old university student from the district of Paghman, just outside Kabul city.
"The roads they have blocked are not just for the use of Ashraf Ghani's supporters or Abdullah's," he said. "They are for the use of poor men who are trying go work or for people taking the sick to hospitals."
While tensions are high, Ajmal doubted a civil war would break out while US troops remain in the country.
And, with the final election results not yet announced, a way out of the crisis might still be possible.
Mr Abdullah and Mr Ghani are reported to have agreed that a parliamentary system of government should be created. A new position called 'chief executive' will be awarded to the losing team after the final result is announced. The position will later evolve into the post of prime minister.
Waheed Mozhdah, a Kabul-based political analyst and member of a political movement that opposed holding the elections, said the recent problems show Afghanistan is not yet ready for Western-style democracy.
Most Pashtuns wanted a presidential system of government while Tajiks favoured a parliamentary system, he said after the runoff was held. It was also unlikely that the losing side would accept defeat, Mr Mozhdah added.
"The result is that a weak government will be formed and it will only have control in part of the country," he said.
foreign.desk@thenational.ae

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Traits of Chinese zodiac animals

Tiger:independent, successful, volatile
Rat:witty, creative, charming
Ox:diligent, perseverent, conservative
Rabbit:gracious, considerate, sensitive
Dragon:prosperous, brave, rash
Snake:calm, thoughtful, stubborn
Horse:faithful, energetic, carefree
Sheep:easy-going, peacemaker, curious
Monkey:family-orientated, clever, playful
Rooster:honest, confident, pompous
Dog:loyal, kind, perfectionist
Boar:loving, tolerant, indulgent   

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

SCHEDULE

Saturday, April 20: 11am to 7pm - Abu Dhabi World Jiu-Jitsu Festival and Para jiu-jitsu.

Sunday, April 21: 11am to 6pm - Abu Dhabi World Youth (female) Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Monday, April 22: 11am to 6pm - Abu Dhabi World Youth (male) Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Tuesday, April 23: 11am-6pm Abu Dhabi World Masters Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Wednesday, April 24: 11am-6pm Abu Dhabi World Professional Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Thursday, April 25: 11am-5pm Abu Dhabi World Professional Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Friday, April 26: 3pm to 6pm Finals of the Abu Dhabi World Professional Jiu-Jitsu Championship.

Saturday, April 27: 4pm and 8pm awards ceremony.

German plea
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the German parliament that. Russia had erected a new wall across Europe. 

"It's not a Berlin Wall -- it is a Wall in central Europe between freedom and bondage and this Wall is growing bigger with every bomb" dropped on Ukraine, Zelenskyy told MPs.

Mr Zelenskyy was applauded by MPs in the Bundestag as he addressed Chancellor Olaf Scholz directly.

"Dear Mr Scholz, tear down this Wall," he said, evoking US President Ronald Reagan's 1987 appeal to Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev at Berlin's Brandenburg Gate.

GIANT REVIEW

Starring: Amir El-Masry, Pierce Brosnan

Director: Athale

Rating: 4/5

Hamilton profile

Age 32

Country United Kingdom

Grands Prix entered 198

Pole positions 67

Wins 57

Podiums 110

Points 2,423

World Championships 3

States of Passion by Nihad Sirees,
Pushkin Press

Nayanthara: Beyond The Fairy Tale

Starring: Nayanthara, Vignesh Shivan, Radhika Sarathkumar, Nagarjuna Akkineni

Director: Amith Krishnan

Rating: 3.5/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Scoreline:

Cardiff City 0

Liverpool 2

Wijnaldum 57', Milner 81' (pen)

The design

The protective shell is covered in solar panels to make use of light and produce energy. This will drastically reduce energy loss.

More than 80 per cent of the energy consumed by the French pavilion will be produced by the sun.

The architecture will control light sources to provide a highly insulated and airtight building.

The forecourt is protected from the sun and the plants will refresh the inner spaces.

A micro water treatment plant will recycle used water to supply the irrigation for the plants and to flush the toilets. This will reduce the pavilion’s need for fresh water by 30 per cent.

Energy-saving equipment will be used for all lighting and projections.

Beyond its use for the expo, the pavilion will be easy to dismantle and reuse the material.

Some elements of the metal frame can be prefabricated in a factory.

 From architects to sound technicians and construction companies, a group of experts from 10 companies have created the pavilion.

Work will begin in May; the first stone will be laid in Dubai in the second quarter of 2019. 

Construction of the pavilion will take 17 months from May 2019 to September 2020.

Europe’s rearming plan
  • Suspend strict budget rules to allow member countries to step up defence spending
  • Create new "instrument" providing €150 billion of loans to member countries for defence investment
  • Use the existing EU budget to direct more funds towards defence-related investment
  • Engage the bloc's European Investment Bank to drop limits on lending to defence firms
  • Create a savings and investments union to help companies access capital