Donald Trump sits with his defence team in a Manhattan court in April 2023. AP
Donald Trump sits with his defence team in a Manhattan court in April 2023. AP
Donald Trump sits with his defence team in a Manhattan court in April 2023. AP
Donald Trump sits with his defence team in a Manhattan court in April 2023. AP

Trump faces year of unprecedented legal challenges in 2024


Patrick deHahn
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People across the US will see history in the making when “unprecedented” court trials take place against former president Donald Trump as he makes another run at the White House.

In 2023, Mr Trump became the first sitting or former president to be indicted – racking up 91 felony counts in four criminal cases – which will make 2024 a busy year in courtrooms across several states.

“Donald Trump took unprecedented actions and that has led to unprecedented reactions,” Chris Geidner, editor and journalist at Law Dork, told The National.

Federal prosecutors allege that Mr Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election result, which he lost to Joe Biden, and that he also had a role in the deadly January 6 insurrection at the US Capitol in 2021.

“The case is unlike anything in the country's history,” Lindsay Chervinsky, senior fellow at the Centre for Presidential History at Southern Methodist University in Texas, told The National.

“The closest parallel is United States v Nixon, in that it is related to the president and the president's powers.

"But Nixon was not a criminal case and did not charge the former president with attempting to overthrow an election.”

Mr Trump is expected to face federal charges of conspiracy and obstruction at a Washington trial scheduled for March, pending any delays from pretrial challenges – some of which are taking place in the last days of 2023.

More cases, more cases

Federal prosecutors have also charged Mr Trump in Florida with holding government documents after his presidency ended and refusing to co-operate with authorities in returning them.

The trial has been set for May but could be postponed.

“In a normal world, we would be having this conversation about how the Florida federal case is the most important thing for voters to have resolution of, because it's about whether a president ignored federal laws surrounding protection of classified information,” Geidner said.

“And yet Trump has found a way to make that the less important case that we're looking at right now.”

In Georgia, the Republican presidential candidate is accused of leading a racketeering operation to subvert the 2020 election results in the state.

A trial date has not been set, while District Attorney Fani Willis has emphasised the need for a speedy resolution.

And in New York, Mr Trump has a March trial for charges in a hush-money scheme, in which he allegedly falsified business records to quieten sex scandals that came to light during his 2016 presidential campaign.

He is also involved in a state civil fraud case and a defamation challenge from writer E Jean Carroll in New York.

“The line-up represents overwhelming legal liability for anyone, let alone a presidential candidate,” Dr Chervinsky said.

  • Mr Trump prays with a pastor and others at Versailles restaurant in Miami after his arraignment on felony charges. AP
    Mr Trump prays with a pastor and others at Versailles restaurant in Miami after his arraignment on felony charges. AP
  • A man protests outside a Miami, Florida, federal courthouse on June 13 as former president Donald Trump is arraigned on dozens of charges related to his handling of classified information. AFP
    A man protests outside a Miami, Florida, federal courthouse on June 13 as former president Donald Trump is arraigned on dozens of charges related to his handling of classified information. AFP
  • Trump supporters outside the courthouse in Miami. AP
    Trump supporters outside the courthouse in Miami. AP
  • Mr Trump's personal aide Walt Nauta was also charged in the classified documents case in Miami. AFP
    Mr Trump's personal aide Walt Nauta was also charged in the classified documents case in Miami. AFP
  • Mr Trump during his Miami arraignment. AP
    Mr Trump during his Miami arraignment. AP
  • People protest against Mr Trump during his arraignment in Miami. AFP
    People protest against Mr Trump during his arraignment in Miami. AFP
  • A courtroom sketch of Mr Trump during the Miami arraignment. Reuters
    A courtroom sketch of Mr Trump during the Miami arraignment. Reuters
  • Mr Trump arrives for his arraignment at Manhattan Criminal Court on April 4 in New York. AFP
    Mr Trump arrives for his arraignment at Manhattan Criminal Court on April 4 in New York. AFP
  • In the case in New York, Mr Trump has pleaded not guilty to dozens of felony charges stemming from hush-money payments made during his 2016 presidential election campaign. AP
    In the case in New York, Mr Trump has pleaded not guilty to dozens of felony charges stemming from hush-money payments made during his 2016 presidential election campaign. AP
  • In a separate civil case, Mr Trump was found liable on May 9 for the sexual abuse of former magazine columnist E Jean Carroll. AFP
    In a separate civil case, Mr Trump was found liable on May 9 for the sexual abuse of former magazine columnist E Jean Carroll. AFP
  • A protester dressed as the former president outside the Manhattan Criminal Courthouse. Reuters
    A protester dressed as the former president outside the Manhattan Criminal Courthouse. Reuters
  • Trump opponents gather as he is arraigned in New York on April 4. Getty / AFP
    Trump opponents gather as he is arraigned in New York on April 4. Getty / AFP
  • Pro-Trump protesters storm the US Capitol on January 6, 2021, in Washington. AP
    Pro-Trump protesters storm the US Capitol on January 6, 2021, in Washington. AP

Colorado has also opened a new legal front, with the state's Supreme Court ruling in December that Mr Trump is not eligible to run for the White House and ordering he be removed from the primary ballot.

The court based its decision on Section 3 in the 14th Amendment, which bars anyone who engages in insurrection against the US from running for office.

Unique legal challenges and threats abound

Mr Trump has pleaded not guilty in all of the cases he is facing and has said that he has presidential immunity, presenting new difficulties for the US judicial system.

“This is something that doesn't happen and everyone is figuring out how to react to that,” Geidner said.

The Department of Justice appointed Jack Smith as special counsel to independently manage the many federal cases against Mr Trump.

Judges and legal teams are trying charges with little “existing jurisprudence”, Dr Chervinsky said, with a “lack of precedent, both politically and in terms of guiding legal decisions”.

Mr Smith and Georgia prosecutors have a short time frame as they lead the only cases with possible verdicts that could prevent Mr Trump from running in the November election.

The importance of challenging him in court is significant for US democracy and national security reasons, the experts told The National.

“This is a rare moment where our infrastructure in America is actually being used to hold a leader accountable for actions in office,” Geidner said of the country's democratic institutions.

He said the Senate in 2021 lost a chance to hold Mr Trump accountable by not convicting him after the House of Representatives impeached him over January 6, thus leaving the justice system to legally try him now in Washington and Florida.

“It is notable that our various prosecutorial and investigatory bodies took time and did full investigations before deciding if whether to bring charges, and if so what charges to bring,” Geidner said.

“And they did so. And now, I think the proper next step is to resolve those charges before we get to the election.”

Mr Trump has added to the mounting pressure by assailing the prosecutions as a political “witch hunt”.

He has publicly criticised Mr Smith and floated the idea of pardoning hundreds of his supporters convicted over January 6, enacting “Project 2025“ and possibly ending investigations into him if he is re-elected.

If he is not convicted, Dr Chervinsky painted a more dire picture for the US if Mr Trump is not convicted.

“History suggests the best indicator of a future coup is a failed coup attempt,” she said.

“If would-be dictators are not held accountable, they gain confidence, refine their tactics, and try again.

"Legal accountability is the only way to defend against coups and ensure the survival of democratic institutions.”

Pharaoh's curse

British aristocrat Lord Carnarvon, who funded the expedition to find the Tutankhamun tomb, died in a Cairo hotel four months after the crypt was opened.
He had been in poor health for many years after a car crash, and a mosquito bite made worse by a shaving cut led to blood poisoning and pneumonia.
Reports at the time said Lord Carnarvon suffered from “pain as the inflammation affected the nasal passages and eyes”.
Decades later, scientists contended he had died of aspergillosis after inhaling spores of the fungus aspergillus in the tomb, which can lie dormant for months. The fact several others who entered were also found dead withiin a short time led to the myth of the curse.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Dust and sand storms compared

Sand storm

  • Particle size: Larger, heavier sand grains
  • Visibility: Often dramatic with thick "walls" of sand
  • Duration: Short-lived, typically localised
  • Travel distance: Limited 
  • Source: Open desert areas with strong winds

Dust storm

  • Particle size: Much finer, lightweight particles
  • Visibility: Hazy skies but less intense
  • Duration: Can linger for days
  • Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
  • Source: Can be carried from distant regions

First Person
Richard Flanagan
Chatto & Windus 

Updated: December 29, 2023, 6:00 PM