ATHENS // Greece was lurching towards a political denouement last night as party leaders from the left and the right were wrapped in negotiations over a national unity government to push through the international rescue package for the country's out-of-control debt.
The Socialist prime minister, George Papandreou, was said to be ready to resign but only after a unity coalition with the opposition conservative New Democrats had been agreed.
The parties appeared to be at odds over the lifespan of the new coalition and the timing of new elections. The New Democracy leader, Antonis Samaras, demanded the immediate resignation of Mr Papandreou.
The political crisis in Athens is seen elsewhere as a threat to the tortuously negotiated deal reached in Brussels at the end of last month to bail out Greece, counter the risk of contagion to several other European countries and safeguard Europe's banks.
But in Athens, many observers and analysts were sceptical the package was really in danger in the aftermath of the government winning a vote of confidence in parliament on Thursday night.
"The worst-case situation is that the current negotiations break down and Papandreou and his government continue to rule. It seems to me that they are committed to implementing the conditions of the bail out," said Dimitrios Sotiropoulos, a political scientist at the University of Athens
He noted Mr Papandreou had made clear he was now above all interested in his legacy and that this centred on making sure Greece stayed in the single currency euro zone: "That means go ahead [and]get the next tranche of the bail out allocated to Greece, implement the austerity measures and so forth."
European leaders yesterday kept up the pressure on Greece. Ahead of a meeting of European Union finance ministers in Brussels today, the Belgian prime minister, Yves Leterme, told Belgian television: "We are still at the same point. The Greeks must prove that they will really fulfil the conditions."
Greece's finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, has said Greece needs the next instalment of bail-out funds by December 15. But European leaders have said the money will not be forthcoming until Athens has approved the whole rescue package.
In Athens, the tension was palpable among observers of the goings-on in parliament.
"You cannot imagine what is going on here. It's a madhouse. We have no idea what is going to happen," one political editor at the ERT television channel said early in the evening.
Other Athenians were more depressed than excited about the political drama. "I stay in all day watching it on TV. I feel very tense about the whole situation," said one cultural studies student.
Mr Sotiropoulos, of the University of Athens, sounded more confident about the future of his country. He rejected the possibility of debilitating social unrest in the likely case the political parties agreed on the rescue package with its attending austerity measures. Greece was nothing like the countries of the Arab Spring, he said.
"In the Arab Spring countries you have extreme poverty, incredible gaps in income, large religious movements and also an ambivalent role of the military and the security forces. I must stress the point that this is a western democracy."
He also estimated the anger among the population, which has led to a series of riots in recent months, was already on the wane.
"Now the population has gradually grown to understand that unfortunately the only alternative is go back to the other currency, the Drachma," he said.
Abandoning the euro and leaving the EU was inconceivable for Greece, a country that places itself at the heart of Europe, he added.
That theme was taken up by Vassilis Karamitsanis, a lawyer in his 30s who does business all over Europe. "If we leave the EU, I will leave Greece. The other countries must be willing to give us asylum in that case."
Mr Sotiropoulos said he could not imagine the rest of Europe abandoning Greece. "If you start losing segments of the common market, why did you build it in the first place?"
He was mildly critical of the way that European leaders had handled the crisis so far and said Greece could do without some of the populism that had been directed at it.
"This is not an African country on the road to development and this has not been understood. This is why, both among foreign leaders and foreign observers, you have a mixture of welcome suggestions of what to do and unwelcome stereotypes."
foreign.desk@thenational.ae
Scoreline
Bournemouth 2
Wilson 70', Ibe 74'
Arsenal 1
Bellerin 52'
Winners
Ballon d’Or (Men’s)
Ousmane Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain / France)
Ballon d’Or Féminin (Women’s)
Aitana Bonmatí (Barcelona / Spain)
Kopa Trophy (Best player under 21 – Men’s)
Lamine Yamal (Barcelona / Spain)
Best Young Women’s Player
Vicky López (Barcelona / Spain)
Yashin Trophy (Best Goalkeeper – Men’s)
Gianluigi Donnarumma (Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City / Italy)
Best Women’s Goalkeeper
Hannah Hampton (England / Aston Villa and Chelsea)
Men’s Coach of the Year
Luis Enrique (Paris Saint-Germain)
Women’s Coach of the Year
Sarina Wiegman (England)
Key figures in the life of the fort
Sheikh Dhiyab bin Isa (ruled 1761-1793) Built Qasr Al Hosn as a watchtower to guard over the only freshwater well on Abu Dhabi island.
Sheikh Shakhbut bin Dhiyab (ruled 1793-1816) Expanded the tower into a small fort and transferred his ruling place of residence from Liwa Oasis to the fort on the island.
Sheikh Tahnoon bin Shakhbut (ruled 1818-1833) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further as Abu Dhabi grew from a small village of palm huts to a town of more than 5,000 inhabitants.
Sheikh Khalifa bin Shakhbut (ruled 1833-1845) Repaired and fortified the fort.
Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon (ruled 1845-1855) Turned Qasr Al Hosn into a strong two-storied structure.
Sheikh Zayed bin Khalifa (ruled 1855-1909) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further to reflect the emirate's increasing prominence.
Sheikh Shakhbut bin Sultan (ruled 1928-1966) Renovated and enlarged Qasr Al Hosn, adding a decorative arch and two new villas.
Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (ruled 1966-2004) Moved the royal residence to Al Manhal palace and kept his diwan at Qasr Al Hosn.
Sources: Jayanti Maitra, www.adach.ae
If you go...
Etihad Airways flies from Abu Dhabi to Kuala Lumpur, from about Dh3,600. Air Asia currently flies from Kuala Lumpur to Terengganu, with Berjaya Hotels & Resorts planning to launch direct chartered flights to Redang Island in the near future. Rooms at The Taaras Beach and Spa Resort start from 680RM (Dh597).
UAE%20v%20West%20Indies
%3Cp%3EFirst%20ODI%20-%20Sunday%2C%20June%204%20%0D%3Cbr%3ESecond%20ODI%20-%20Tuesday%2C%20June%206%20%0D%3Cbr%3EThird%20ODI%20-%20Friday%2C%20June%209%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EMatches%20at%20Sharjah%20Cricket%20Stadium.%20All%20games%20start%20at%204.30pm%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EUAE%20squad%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EMuhammad%20Waseem%20(captain)%2C%20Aayan%20Khan%2C%20Adithya%20Shetty%2C%20Ali%20Naseer%2C%20Ansh%20Tandon%2C%20Aryansh%20Sharma%2C%20Asif%20Khan%2C%20Basil%20Hameed%2C%20Ethan%20D%E2%80%99Souza%2C%20Fahad%20Nawaz%2C%20Jonathan%20Figy%2C%20Junaid%20Siddique%2C%20Karthik%20Meiyappan%2C%20Lovepreet%20Singh%2C%20Matiullah%2C%20Mohammed%20Faraazuddin%2C%20Muhammad%20Jawadullah%2C%20Rameez%20Shahzad%2C%20Rohan%20Mustafa%2C%20Sanchit%20Sharma%2C%20Vriitya%20Aravind%2C%20Zahoor%20Khan%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
Groom and Two Brides
Director: Elie Semaan
Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla
Rating: 3/5
Desert Warrior
Starring: Anthony Mackie, Aiysha Hart, Ben Kingsley
Director: Rupert Wyatt
Rating: 3/5
The National in Davos
We are bringing you the inside story from the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting in Davos, a gathering of hundreds of world leaders, top executives and billionaires.