Global law enforcement agency Interpol must have a "clear vision" in place to navigate a rapidly evolving criminal landscape that knows no borders, a leading police officer has warned.
Stephen Kavanagh, the UK’s candidate for Interpol secretary general, raised the alarm over a new and worrying “data-driven” criminal age offering numerous threats, from deepfake video calls that con people out of money to using fake images of people to blackmail them.
Speaking to The National on Monday while in the UAE, Mr Kavanagh said there must be a global response to such global challenges.
“Whoever is successful will have to lead the world,” he said of the Interpol chief vacancy.
New challenges for century-old agency
The 196-member Interpol was founded in 1923. Even then, domestic police forces were struggling to keep pace with the emergence of new crime gangs involved in robbery, gambling and drug trafficking. Today Interpol is also trying to keep pace with cybercrime.
Mr Kavanagh said law enforcement groups “need to be supported to understand the implications” of the threat from AI and the ability of organised crime groups to meet in the metaverse.
He highlighted how women are blackmailed with fake images of them in sexually abusive situations, saying of the criminals: “They isolate the individuals; blackmail them; take the money and often these individuals can be so isolated from their families they lose contact or, worse, take their own life.”
Another new front opened by criminals was how scammers use deepfake videos generated by AI to infiltrate company meetings, pose as board members and dupe unsuspecting attendees into transferring money. Police are also not always the first port of call as companies sometimes use cybersecurity firms to avoid exposing vulnerabilities.
“That’s where the future of Interpol has to be – in a data-driven age where you could have a victim in one continent, an offender in a second continent and the data for those crimes in another location. No one country can be an island."
Mr Kavanagh, who met Interpol president Ahmed Al Raisi while in the UAE and praised him for his focus on technological crimes, is a veteran officer with several decades of policing under his belt. He spent more than 20 years at London's Metropolitan Police, serving during a period of intense challenges such as the 2005 terrorist attacks, and then about five years at the UK’s Essex police department.
For the past four years, he has served as executive director of police services at Interpol and praised the work undertaken with the UAE such as supporting the Cop28 process last year to tackle environmental crimes.
International effort
Now he believes the future for Interpol will increasingly involve helping member countries “join the dots” in trying to confront global crime gangs. He refers to what is known as Lionfish V, an operation in 2022 co-ordinated by Interpol and the UAE involving scores of countries, in which 20 tonnes of cocaine were seized, more than 1,300 arrests made and $700 million recovered.
“If we keep treating seizures as isolated pieces of work, then we are going to continue to fail. If we recognise that each seizure presents an opportunity to look at those global networks, then we are going to start dismantling them.”
Another was the case of a young child in Peru who was being abused. The case was highlighted by Australia and Canada, where authorities were unable to identify the location of the child. “We were able to bring their data together, combine existing data from across the world and, working with local law enforcement, that child was rescued.”
Mr Kavanagh said money laundering is simply “huge”, stating he was responsible for the establishment of the financial crime and anti-corruption centre at Interpol. He praised Interpol’s efforts at tackling the Black Axe West African crime gang’s activities in Europe and said groups such as the Kinahan Organised Crime Group rely on the “exploitation of borders; they rely on inability of law enforcement to share information quickly”.
“Interpol has been seen historically as potentially a bit of a talking shop [but it] must have an impact around these big and organised crime teams wherever they are. If Interpol is not impacting on them, then what is it there for?”
Terror threat remains
Turning to the region, Mr Kavanagh said terrorism “continues to be a threat and [is] morphing into serious and organised crime so we see drug trafficking [and] human trafficking supporting the purchase of equipment [and] training of individuals”.
Interpol’s secretary general runs the agency on a day-to-day basis, while the president plays a role in supervising the police body’s work. And it faces challenges. Two major ones are how the agency is funded and suggestions its red-notice system could be misused by rogue states.
Interpol is heavily reliant on contributions and Mr Kavanagh said funding for projects sometimes causes countries to fear "there are other strings attached”. He said he would like to make the agency “less reliant” on contributions and work more with foreign ministries to ensure funding was sustainable.
He said it was important to recognise Interpol is not “just about cops and robbers”, but building better standards of law enforcement including helping forces with less resources, about secure communities and sustainable development across the world.
When asked about the criticism that red notices – which show a person is wanted by a member country – could be manipulated, he said he was proud of his work in making the system better.
“Every year, thousands have been arrested for murder, rape, serious assault [and] fraud,” he said, adding that attempts to misuse the system are being clamped down on.
“If Interpol can’t be trusted, if innocent individuals are being arrested, then Interpol is letting global law enforcement down."
Mr Kavanagh is in the running with three candidates from Pakistan, Zambia and Brazil. Interpol's executive committee select a single preferred candidate in June and this goes to a vote at Interpol's general assembly in November.
“Interpol may be 100 years old but it is more relevant than it has ever been," he said.
“Victims across the world are the ones we should be focusing on.”
In numbers: China in Dubai
The number of Chinese people living in Dubai: An estimated 200,000
Number of Chinese people in International City: Almost 50,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2018/19: 120,000
Daily visitors to Dragon Mart in 2010: 20,000
Percentage increase in visitors in eight years: 500 per cent
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Where to donate in the UAE
The Emirates Charity Portal
You can donate to several registered charities through a “donation catalogue”. The use of the donation is quite specific, such as buying a fan for a poor family in Niger for Dh130.
The General Authority of Islamic Affairs & Endowments
The site has an e-donation service accepting debit card, credit card or e-Dirham, an electronic payment tool developed by the Ministry of Finance and First Abu Dhabi Bank.
Al Noor Special Needs Centre
You can donate online or order Smiles n’ Stuff products handcrafted by Al Noor students. The centre publishes a wish list of extras needed, starting at Dh500.
Beit Al Khair Society
Beit Al Khair Society has the motto “From – and to – the UAE,” with donations going towards the neediest in the country. Its website has a list of physical donation sites, but people can also contribute money by SMS, bank transfer and through the hotline 800-22554.
Dar Al Ber Society
Dar Al Ber Society, which has charity projects in 39 countries, accept cash payments, money transfers or SMS donations. Its donation hotline is 800-79.
Dubai Cares
Dubai Cares provides several options for individuals and companies to donate, including online, through banks, at retail outlets, via phone and by purchasing Dubai Cares branded merchandise. It is currently running a campaign called Bookings 2030, which allows people to help change the future of six underprivileged children and young people.
Emirates Airline Foundation
Those who travel on Emirates have undoubtedly seen the little donation envelopes in the seat pockets. But the foundation also accepts donations online and in the form of Skywards Miles. Donated miles are used to sponsor travel for doctors, surgeons, engineers and other professionals volunteering on humanitarian missions around the world.
Emirates Red Crescent
On the Emirates Red Crescent website you can choose between 35 different purposes for your donation, such as providing food for fasters, supporting debtors and contributing to a refugee women fund. It also has a list of bank accounts for each donation type.
Gulf for Good
Gulf for Good raises funds for partner charity projects through challenges, like climbing Kilimanjaro and cycling through Thailand. This year’s projects are in partnership with Street Child Nepal, Larchfield Kids, the Foundation for African Empowerment and SOS Children's Villages. Since 2001, the organisation has raised more than $3.5 million (Dh12.8m) in support of over 50 children’s charities.
Noor Dubai Foundation
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum launched the Noor Dubai Foundation a decade ago with the aim of eliminating all forms of preventable blindness globally. You can donate Dh50 to support mobile eye camps by texting the word “Noor” to 4565 (Etisalat) or 4849 (du).
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
World Sevens Series standing after Dubai
1. South Africa
2. New Zealand
3. England
4. Fiji
5. Australia
6. Samoa
7. Kenya
8. Scotland
9. France
10. Spain
11. Argentina
12. Canada
13. Wales
14. Uganda
15. United States
16. Russia
THE BIO
Favourite author - Paulo Coelho
Favourite holiday destination - Cuba
New York Times or Jordan Times? NYT is a school and JT was my practice field
Role model - My Grandfather
Dream interviewee - Che Guevara
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDeveloper%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20FuturLab%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPublisher%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESquare%20Enix%20Collective%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsole%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENintendo%20Switch%2C%3Cstrong%3E%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPlayStation%204%20%26amp%3B%205%2C%20Xbox%20Series%20X%2FS%20and%20PC%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UAE cricketers abroad
Sid Jhurani is not the first cricketer from the UAE to go to the UK to try his luck.
Rameez Shahzad Played alongside Ben Stokes and Liam Plunkett in Durham while he was studying there. He also played club cricket as an overseas professional, but his time in the UK stunted his UAE career. The batsman went a decade without playing for the national team.
Yodhin Punja The seam bowler was named in the UAE’s extended World Cup squad in 2015 despite being just 15 at the time. He made his senior UAE debut aged 16, and subsequently took up a scholarship at Claremont High School in the south of England.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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MATCH INFO
What: 2006 World Cup quarter-final
When: July 1
Where: Gelsenkirchen Stadium, Gelsenkirchen, Germany
Result:
England 0 Portugal 0
(Portugal win 3-1 on penalties)
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”