Red Bull's Max Verstappen has his fourth Formula One title within reach after a stunning drive to victory from 17th on the grid in Brazil on Sunday dealt a shattering blow to Lando Norris' hopes.
Norris, who started the wet and chaotic Sao Paulo race on pole position and 44 points behind Verstappen, finished sixth for McLaren.
The title gap blew out to 62 points with three rounds remaining and 86 points still to be won.
What does Verstappen's win mean for Abu Dhabi?
The 2024 season concludes on December 8 with the Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix at Yas Marina Circuit.
Race fans still hold hope that the race will go down to the wire, though Verstappen's victory at Interlagos has made the window for Norris much smaller.
If results go his way, Verstappen could hit the championship jackpot in the next race down the floodlit Las Vegas Strip on November 24.
To clinch a fourth successive drivers' title, Verstappen simply needs to finish ahead of Norris at the next race in Las Vegas.
Outside of outright victory, Verstappen will automatically take the title if Norris doesn’t outscore him by at least three points in Vegas – while even if Verstappen fails to score, Norris would still need to finish at least 8th or 9th with a fastest lap point.
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Max Verstappen celebrates on the podium after the Brazilian Grand Prix at Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace on November 3, 2024. Getty Images -
Red Bull driver Max Verstappen celebrates his victory that extened his lead in the drivers' championship to 86 points over Lando Norris with three races left this season. -
Red Bull's Max Verstappen celebrates after winning the Brazilian Grand Prix. Reuters -
Race winner Max Verstappen celebrates with his Red Bull team in Sao Paulo. Getty Images -
Alpine driver Esteban Ocon celebrates his second place at the podium. AFP -
Alpine's Pierre Gasly celebrates on the podium after finishing third. Reuters -
Alpine driver Esteban Ocon on his way to a second-place finish. EPA -
Red Bull's Max Verstappen in front of Zhou Guanyu of Sauber. Getty Images -
Mercedes driver George Russell leads Lando Norris of McLaren going into Turn 1 at start of race. Getty Images -
Ferrari's Carlos Sainz after crashing at Interlagos. AFP -
Aston Martin's Lance Stroll climbs out of his car after spinning off the track during the formation lap. Getty Images
What does Norris need to do?
Norris will aim to take his challenge all the way to the final two rounds in the Middle East, Qatar and Abu Dhabi.
The Briton's best hope would be to take the chequered flag in Vegas and see his Red Bull rival fails to finish.
If the opposite were to happen, it would effectively signal the end of Norris' title bid.
Verstappen has only failed to finish once in the last 69 races, a brake failure prematurely ending his race at this year's Australian GP.
Norris last failed to finish a race in June at the Austrian GP when a collision with his Red Bull rival when fighting over the race lead rendered the car undrivable.
Victories in the three remaining races now has to be Norris' main aim, and hope that Verstappen fails to cross the line in a couple as well.
Is anyone else in contention?
Charles Leclerc and Oscar Piastri are no longer in the running for the drivers’ title post-Sao Paulo.
Leclerc is currently 86 points adrift of Verstappen in third, with 86 points left available. In the unlikely event that Leclerc won every race, took all the bonus points and won the Sprint in Qatar, and Verstappen failed to score again, the duo would tie at the end of the season, but Verstappen would win based on victory count.
As for Piastri, he is now 131 points behind Verstappen after a disappointing race in Brazil, so can no longer take the title.
A more realistic target for Ferrari driver Leclerc – an impressive winner in the USA and third in Mexico – would be tracking down Norris for second. The Monegasque driver sits 24 points behind Norris.
Conclusion
Verstappen's win in Brazil means it is highly unlikely, though not impossible, we will get a championship decider in Abu Dhabi.
Yas Marina Circuit was the setting of the most dramatic finish in F1 history in 2021.
Lewis Hamilton and Verstappen arrived in the UAE locked on 369.5 points apiece ahead of the Abu Dhabi GP, an epic winner-takes-all title decider that had fans gripped.
Up until a late safety car stoppage, Mercedes' Hamilton looked set to claim his eighth world title with ease, but that all changed on Lap 53 when Nicholas Latifi crashed at corner 14 which brought out a very late safety car on lap 53.
Verstappen pitted onto new soft tyres whilst Hamilton stayed out on the hards, assuming that it would be enough to cross the line in the lead to seal his eighth world title. Instead, the FIA had other ideas and even though lapped cars stayed in position to begin with, five of the seven were allowed to eventually pass Hamilton, which put Verstappen right behind him.
With one lap to go, the safety car then came into the pits. On his much newer tyres, Verstappen cruised past Hamilton to take the first of his three world drivers' championship titles.
