Are India in danger of missing T20 World Cup 2022 semi-final spot?

Rohit Sharma's team face Zimbabwe in final group game in Melbourne on Sunday

India's Arshdeep Singh kept his cool in the last over to secure victory over Bangladesh at the T20 World Cup in Adelaide on Wednesday, November 2, 2022. AFP

India's Hardik Pandya celebrates the wicket of Bangladesh's Mosaddek Hossain in Adelaide. AFP

India's Arshdeep Singh, right, congratulates teammate Suryakumar Yadav, left, after taking the wicket of Bangladesh's Afif Hossain. AP

KL Rahul affected a stunning run out of Litton Das to turn the tide in India's favour. Getty

India's KL Rahul, centre, is congratulated by teammates after running out Bangladesh's Litton Das. AP

Bangladesh's Litton Das plays the shot during the ICC men's Twenty20 World Cup 2022 cricket match between India and Bangladesh at Adelaide Oval on November 2, 2022 in Adelaide. (Photo by Surjeet YADAV / AFP) / -- IMAGE RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - STRICTLY NO COMMERCIAL USE --

Bangladesh's Litton Das threatened to take the game away from India. AP

India's Virat Kohli, right and Suryakumar Yadav got the ball rolling in the first innings. AFP

India's Virat Kohli and to Bangladesh's captain Shakib Al Hasan have a word in Adelaide. AFP

India's Virat Kohli celebrates reaching his half century. AFP

Suryakumar Yadav continued his good form. Getty

India's KL Rahul was in good form with the bat. AFP

India's KL Rahul scored a timely fifty. AP

Pakistan's resounding victory over the previously unbeaten South Africa at the T20 World Cup has opened up a number of possibilities heading into the final round of matches on Sunday.

As things stand, India lead the group with six points, while South Africa are second on five points and Pakistan on four after four matches. Bangladesh are also level with Pakistan on four points.

Remaining Group 2 fixtures

Sunday, November 6

South Africa v Netherlands, Adelaide (4am)

Pakistan v Bangladesh, Adelaide (8am)

India v Zimbabwe, Melbourne (12pm)

What do India need to do to qualify for the semi-finals?

The equation is simple for India - defeat Zimbabwe in Melbourne, move up to eight points and guarantee passage to the knockouts. In that scenario, India will top the group and face the second-placed team in the other group in the semi-finals.

What if Zimbabwe defeat India?

That would be disastrous, even if not unimaginable. The African nation pulled off the upset of the tournament when they beat Pakistan by one run in Perth. So they are more than capable of pushing India all the way.

In Sunday's first match, if South Africa defeat Netherlands, they will be through on seven points. Then in the second match of the day, either one of Pakistan and Bangladesh will move up to six points. After that, if India don't register a win, they will be stuck on six points, which will bring the equation down to net run rate. If Pakistan win, they will qualify for the semi-finals due to a superior net run rate compared to Rohit Sharma's team. If Bangladesh win in Adelaide and move up to six points, India will most likely make it to the semis as the Tigers' net run rate is inferior.

Is weather a factor?

The forecast is for clear weather in Adelaide and Melbourne on Sunday. So there is little chance of a washout and shared points.