Islamic State group militants stand with a captured Iraqi Army Humvee at a checkpoint outside Beiji refinery. In all, ISIL is thought to control up to 11 oil refineries across Syria and Iraq (AP Photo)
Islamic State group militants stand with a captured Iraqi Army Humvee at a checkpoint outside Beiji refinery. In all, ISIL is thought to control up to 11 oil refineries across Syria and Iraq (AP Photo)
Islamic State group militants stand with a captured Iraqi Army Humvee at a checkpoint outside Beiji refinery. In all, ISIL is thought to control up to 11 oil refineries across Syria and Iraq (AP Photo)
Islamic State group militants stand with a captured Iraqi Army Humvee at a checkpoint outside Beiji refinery. In all, ISIL is thought to control up to 11 oil refineries across Syria and Iraq (AP Photo

ISIL’s finances are big business


  • English
  • Arabic

When ISIL swept into Iraq’s second city over the summer, it found a stash of money that immediately made it the world’s richest terrorist organisation. Smashing into Mosul’s central bank, ISIL militants made off with an estimated US$500 million in cash and gold bullion.

But this haul is only part of its wealth. As a new study conducted jointly by the BBC and King’s College London outlines, the terrorist group has become rich and entrenched itself in Syria and Iraq in significant part by copying the money sources of a state.

Terrorist groups usually resource themselves through a combination of donations, protection money and kidnapping. The latter is especially popular because the governments of rich countries are usually willing, somehow, to provide money in return for their citizens, even if they publicly deny it. Both Boko Haram in Nigeria and Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, in Yemen, have kidnapped for ransom.

But as the study shows, ISIL has taken this a step further by creating revenue streams that mirror those of actual states. It taxes businesses and people in the areas under its control. It both facilitates and profits from trade.

Most astonishingly, it also trades in oil. The group now has as many as 11 oilfields under its control, and by force and bribery has managed to transport that liquid gold through the Kurdish regions and into Turkey to sell. ISIL’s leaders are also canny businessmen – their oil is heavily discounted, making it easy for people to turn a blind eye to its provenance.

All of which makes it both harder – and easier – to cut off terrorist financing. Easier because the more ISIL mimics the structure of a state, the more vulnerable its infrastructure and logistical chain. Its trade will be affected by clamping down on convoys crossing borders and securing smuggling routes. But it is difficult too to cut off the money flow because ISIL has so many different streams of financing, it can turn to another if one looks like it’s running dry.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”