From left: former British Conservative Party MPs Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry and Sarah Wollaston in London after announcing their defection. Simon Dawson / Reuters
From left: former British Conservative Party MPs Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry and Sarah Wollaston in London after announcing their defection. Simon Dawson / Reuters
From left: former British Conservative Party MPs Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry and Sarah Wollaston in London after announcing their defection. Simon Dawson / Reuters
From left: former British Conservative Party MPs Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry and Sarah Wollaston in London after announcing their defection. Simon Dawson / Reuters

Is Brexit-addled Britain ready for politics of a different hue?


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The break-up of the British political establishment, straining under the pressures of Brexit, gathered pace last week.

Whatever the fate of the political figures leaping into the unknown, a far-reaching impact on the nation's political structure is inevitable.

The traditional claim for rebellion within British political parties is that the mould of power can be broken.

Yet the ruthless efficiency underpinning the two-party system is a wonder to behold. It has persisted for centuries. A voting system, known as first past the post, favours the duopoly and has ensured the survival of the system since the introduction of universal suffrage more than a century ago. Moreover, the political terrain has been defined by charismatic leaders at the helm of the two main parties.

But the system is now at its lowest ebb, without the serendipity of good leadership on either side. Murmurs that the iron-cast mould can be broken are becoming ever more credible. If so, the knock-on effect will transform global politics even more drastically than has been surmised this week – and that is even if Jeremy Corbyn, the far-Left Labour leader, is denied a spell in 10 Downing Street.

The last spirited attempt to tear up the two-party hegemony was in the 1980s, when the Social Democrats and Liberals banded together and formed a progressive third party. Having quit the Labour party in 1981, the Gang of Four – Roy Jenkins, David Owen, Bill Rodgers and Shirley Williams – demanded "a new start in British politics" and formed an alliance with the Liberal party, led by David Steel. The latter went so far as to announce at the Liberal party conference that MPs should "go back to your constituencies and prepare for government".

However, in the wake of the Falklands War, which restored the Conservative party's grip on power, the SDP-Liberal Alliance fell far short of its goals in the 1983 general election and soon fell into disarray.

The faces from the Labour backbenches emerging to launch the Independent Group earlier this week won't have surprised close observers. Nor will those of Conservative MPs who defected a day later. Both sides had already been part of a joint delegation at talks at the cabinet office just weeks earlier. Rumours of more defections continue to swirl around Westminster and mass ministerial resignations are expected soon.

MPs of the newly formed Independent Group. Henry Nicholls / Reuters
MPs of the newly formed Independent Group. Henry Nicholls / Reuters

Prime Minister Theresa May thus stands on a rapidly fraying tightrope as she tries to hash out a new compromise with Brussels ahead of another deadline for a key vote on Wednesday.

Brexit caused the split but in raising the likelihood of a general election, the impact of the defections could stretch further.

A far more likely outcome would be a rainbow alliance of liberals, defectors and Scottish nationalists, plus Labour

The decision not to launch a party but a platform of newly fledged independents is a clever form of new politics. It owes some inspiration to Emmanuel Macron, who defined a new path for the French when traditional power brokers fell away in 2016.

The British situation poses different challenges from republican France. The format of Brexit at the end of March is still up for debate. A parliamentary system cannot be swept away as easily as a presidential system.

For both those reasons, the Independent Group founders are, in effect, adopting a “lily pad option” for MPs looking to move away from the existing system but not ready for a fully formed alternative. The concept is similar to frogs hopping across a pond on floating vegetation.

The 11 MPs who rebelled against their parties pose for pictures at the launch of their group in February. Reuters
The 11 MPs who rebelled against their parties pose for pictures at the launch of their group in February. Reuters

The doubters thrown up three main questions for the defectors. Firstly, that this is simply a last throw of the dice by diehard supporters in favour of remaining in the EU. Secondly, the new movement is clearly not doing enough to define a new narrative, as Mr Macron did to reset the terms of the debate, in its own favour. And thirdly, as the eminent political scientist John Curtice has argued, the party needs a leader to seize the momentum as it bursts on the political scene.

One recently retired senior Whitehall official recently remarked that Britain had enjoyed a remarkably settled political landscape since the Falklands. A shift from the axis that included weather-makers Margaret Thatcher, Tony Blair and David Cameron upends those assumptions.

Is the world ready for British politics of a different hue? Possibly not. Westminster has been an active diplomatic, military and developmental player under strong, single-party governments until this decade.

The current government argues that there is scope for Britain to have a more active global presence. It has established new military ties in the Gulf and boldly stuck to its guns in sending the new aircraft carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth to the contested South China Sea, despite protests from Beijing.

Yet its incompetence in delivering Brexit presents an opportunity for Mr Corbyn to win. His pro-Caracas, pro-Tehran political sympathies would shred much of Britain's current foreign policy, including the special relationship with the US.

A far more likely outcome would be a rainbow alliance of liberals, defectors and Scottish nationalists, plus Labour. Britain would then almost certainly reorientate to an internationalist stance closer to that currently on display in Germany. Recent politics in Berlin over arms export controls show foreign policy cannot be permanently ring-fenced from changing domestic sentiments if mainstream parties lose direction.

Long-held assumptions and interests are coming into question. Brexit is just one of the factors challenging the status quo but it certainly won't be the last.

Director: Laxman Utekar

Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna

Rating: 1/5

Two-step truce

The UN-brokered ceasefire deal for Hodeidah will be implemented in two stages, with the first to be completed before the New Year begins, according to the Arab Coalition supporting the Yemeni government.

By midnight on December 31, the Houthi rebels will have to withdraw from the ports of Hodeidah, Ras Issa and Al Saqef, coalition officials told The National. 

The second stage will be the complete withdrawal of all pro-government forces and rebels from Hodeidah city, to be completed by midnight on January 7.

The process is to be overseen by a Redeployment Co-ordination Committee (RCC) comprising UN monitors and representatives of the government and the rebels.

The agreement also calls the deployment of UN-supervised neutral forces in the city and the establishment of humanitarian corridors to ensure distribution of aid across the country.

It Was Just an Accident

Director: Jafar Panahi

Stars: Vahid Mobasseri, Mariam Afshari, Ebrahim Azizi, Hadis Pakbaten, Majid Panahi, Mohamad Ali Elyasmehr

Rating: 4/5

Related
QUALIFYING RESULTS

1. Max Verstappen, Netherlands, Red Bull Racing Honda, 1 minute, 35.246 seconds.
2. Valtteri Bottas, Finland, Mercedes, 1:35.271.
3. Lewis Hamilton, Great Britain, Mercedes, 1:35.332.
4. Lando Norris, Great Britain, McLaren Renault, 1:35.497.
5. Alexander Albon, Thailand, Red Bull Racing Honda, 1:35.571.
6. Carlos Sainz Jr, Spain, McLaren Renault, 1:35.815.
7. Daniil Kvyat, Russia, Scuderia Toro Rosso Honda, 1:35.963.
8. Lance Stroll, Canada, Racing Point BWT Mercedes, 1:36.046.
9. Charles Leclerc, Monaco, Ferrari, 1:36.065.
10. Pierre Gasly, France, Scuderia Toro Rosso Honda, 1:36.242.

Eliminated after second session

11. Esteban Ocon, France, Renault, 1:36.359.
12. Daniel Ricciardo, Australia, Renault, 1:36.406.
13. Sebastian Vettel, Germany, Ferrari, 1:36.631.
14. Antonio Giovinazzi, Italy, Alfa Romeo Racing Ferrari, 1:38.248.

Eliminated after first session

15. Antonio Giovinazzi, Italy, Alfa Romeo Racing Ferrari, 1:37.075.
16. Kimi Raikkonen, Finland, Alfa Romeo Racing Ferrari, 1:37.555.
17. Kevin Magnussen, Denmark, Haas Ferrari, 1:37.863.
18. George Russell, Great Britain, Williams Mercedes, 1:38.045.
19. Pietro Fittipaldi, Brazil, Haas Ferrari, 1:38.173.
20. Nicholas Latifi, Canada, Williams Mercedes, 1:38.443.

Miguel Cotto world titles:

WBO Light Welterweight champion - 2004-06
WBA Welterweight champion – 2006-08
WBO Welterweight champion – Feb 2009-Nov 2009
WBA Light Middleweight champion – 2010-12
WBC Middleweight champion – 2014-15
WBO Light Middleweight champion – Aug 2017-Dec 2017

THE BIO

Mr Al Qassimi is 37 and lives in Dubai
He is a keen drummer and loves gardening
His favourite way to unwind is spending time with his two children and cooking

if you go

The flights

Air Astana flies direct from Dubai to Almaty from Dh2,440 per person return, and to Astana (via Almaty) from Dh2,930 return, both including taxes. 

The hotels

Rooms at the Ritz-Carlton Almaty cost from Dh1,944 per night including taxes; and in Astana the new Ritz-Carlton Astana (www.marriott) costs from Dh1,325; alternatively, the new St Regis Astana costs from Dh1,458 per night including taxes. 

When to visit

March-May and September-November

Visas

Citizens of many countries, including the UAE do not need a visa to enter Kazakhstan for up to 30 days. Contact the nearest Kazakhstan embassy or consulate.

Results:

5pm: Abu Dhabi Fillies Classic (PA) Prestige Dh 110,000 1.400m | Winner: AF Mouthirah, Tadhg O’Shea (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer)

5.30pm: Abu Dhabi Colts Classic (PA) Prestige Dh 110,000 1,400m | Winner: AF Saab, Antonio Fresu, Ernst Oertel

6pm: Maiden (PA) Dh 80,000 1,600m | Winner: Majd Al Gharbia, Saif Al Balushi, Ridha ben Attia

6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Championship (PA) Listed Dh 180,000 1,600m | Winner: RB Money To Burn, Pat Cosgrave, Eric Lemartinel

7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup (PA) Handicap Dh 70,000 2,200m | Winner: AF Kafu, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel

7.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh 100,000 2,400m | Winner: Brass Ring, Fabrice Veron, Ismail Mohammed

Engine: 3.5-litre V6

Transmission: eight-speed automatic

Power: 290hp

Torque: 340Nm

Price: Dh155,800

On sale: now

If you go

The flights
Return flights from Dubai to Santiago, via Sao Paolo cost from Dh5,295 with Emirates


The trip
A five-day trip (not including two days of flight travel) was split between Santiago and in Puerto Varas, with more time spent in the later where excursions were organised by TurisTour.
 

When to go
The summer months, from December to February are best though there is beauty in each season