As the global economy experiences turbulence, the UK finds itself at a crossroads: whether to be open or closed to the rest of the world.
Liam Byrne, an MP in the governing Labour party, is something of a weathervane in British politics. In 2010, as part of Gordon Brown’s departing Labour government, he left a note that told the incoming Conservative party leadership that there was “no money left” in the treasury. So began the age of austerity. Ever since, the story of British politics has been how to flog whatever bit of revenue out of the economy that the government can find.
Now chairman of the Business and Trade Committee in Parliament, Mr Byrne is leading calls for a national industrial strategy in light of the changed circumstances in the world economy. US President Donald Trump’s protectionist policies have turbocharged this item to the top of the UK’s political agenda, putting Mr Byrne back at the centre of the action – just as he was in the wake of the 2007-2009 Great Recession, the other epoch-defining event in his long career.
There are many friends of the UK, and some putative foes, who remain unclear about London’s thinking when it comes to managing the nation’s business assets. Would the economy be manageable were the government to embrace nationalisation, some ask. But that is a question that Mr Byrne probably finds ridiculous.
The case for an industrial strategy is the situation with British Steel, a household name and the only virgin steel producer in the UK.
Despite the almost-certain defenestration of the Chinese ownership of British Steel, large UK companies are tying up with foreign capital
The company’s output is not only critical to national infrastructure – seeing as it supplies nine in 10 rails for the railways – but also vital in a world undergoing a military build-up. Leaks from the UK’s forthcoming national defence strategy suggest that it will take several more Royal Navy ships with steel hulls to patrol the Arctic’s waters.
British Steel is currently owned by a Chinese steelmaker called Jingye, although only by a thread at this stage. The UK government plans to take over the operation, fearing that its Chinese managers will harbour a scheme to shut it down. Were British Steel’s blast furnaces to be stripped, the UK would have little option but to depend on China and other countries for the construction of sensitive national assets.
The complication for the UK’s industrial strategy champions is that they are pushing for protectionism even as the nation’s open economy is allowing for more and more of its businesses to cede control to overseas enterprises. This is rapidly becoming a bewildering and messy situation. Like the Roman god Janus, the UK government has become an entity that is looking both ways at once.
Britain’s openness to foreign investment has been longstanding, and few restrictions on foreign buyouts exist. Moreover, Mr Byrne’s colleagues in the Labour government are actively seeking foreign investor-backing for national infrastructure projects – a big plank for their claims to lead a growth-focused administration.
Despite the almost-certain defenestration of Jingye’s ownership of British Steel, large UK companies continue to tie up with foreign capital. Just last week, there were two deals with resonance far beyond the country’s borders.
The currency note printer De La Rue has a global reputation for excellence. It has a contract with the Bank of England to print pound sterling notes that circulate throughout the kingdom. It has dozens of other national currencies rolling off its printers, too, including the Egyptian pound and the Qatari rial.
De La Rue has built its reputation from the time it struck an agreement to print notes for Mauritius in 1860. But it is now being sold to the US firm Atlas Holdings in a deal valued at $350 million. If the offer goes through, the historic name will disappear from the London Stock Exchange.
Another important node of the UK’s economic ecosystem looks to be going that way. Wood Group is an engineering firm that has seen the Dubai-based Sidara put a $320 million price tag on its business.
While it has recently hit trouble, Wood Group is a product of the North Sea oil industry boom from decades ago. Its expertise is transferrable to new industries – such as carbon capture and storage – but it could also see a revival of its traditional business, given the rapidly increasing demand for London to restart its permit system for North Sea oil exploration. At the end of this week, government ministers will attempt to parade the country’s competitiveness at an energy security conference in the capital, to be co-hosted with Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency.
Yet it’s worth pointing out that the UK has a 78 per cent regressive tax on its North Sea energy profits. It’s small wonder, then, that suppliers in this industrial chain have hit the doldrums. Not unrelated is the fact that industrial electricity prices in the UK are four times higher than in the US.
Fortunately, foreign capital is helping bridge a gap caused by the country’s current taxes and regulations. Which makes it all the more important that its role be made clear in any industrial policy being formulated – or such a policy will fail.
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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Results
6.30pm: The Madjani Stakes (PA) Group 3 Dh175,000 (Dirt) 1,900m
Winner: Aatebat Al Khalediah, Fernando Jara (jockey), Ali Rashid Al Raihe (trainer).
7.05pm: Maiden (TB) Dh165,000 (D) 1,400m
Winner: Down On Da Bayou, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer.
7.40pm: Maiden (TB) Dh165,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Dubai Avenue, Fernando Jara, Ali Rashid Al Raihe.
8.15pm: Handicap (TB) Dh190,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: My Catch, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson.
8.50pm: Dubai Creek Mile (TB) Listed Dh265,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Secret Ambition, Tadhg O’Shea, Satish Seemar.
9.25pm: Handicap (TB) Dh190,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Golden Goal, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watson.
Student Of The Year 2
Director: Punit Malhotra
Stars: Tiger Shroff, Tara Sutaria, Ananya Pandey, Aditya Seal
1.5 stars
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Cricket World Cup League 2 Fixtures
Saturday March 5, UAE v Oman, ICC Academy (all matches start at 9.30am)
Sunday March 6, Oman v Namibia, ICC Academy
Tuesday March 8, UAE v Namibia, ICC Academy
Wednesday March 9, UAE v Oman, ICC Academy
Friday March 11, Oman v Namibia, Sharjah Cricket Stadium
Saturday March 12, UAE v Namibia, Sharjah Cricket Stadium
UAE squad
Ahmed Raza (captain), Chirag Suri, Muhammad Waseem, CP Rizwan, Vriitya Aravind, Asif Khan, Basil Hameed, Rohan Mustafa, Kashif Daud, Zahoor Khan, Junaid Siddique, Karthik Meiyappan, Akif Raja, Rahul Bhatia
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Common OCD symptoms and how they manifest
Checking: the obsession or thoughts focus on some harm coming from things not being as they should, which usually centre around the theme of safety. For example, the obsession is “the building will burn down”, therefore the compulsion is checking that the oven is switched off.
Contamination: the obsession is focused on the presence of germs, dirt or harmful bacteria and how this will impact the person and/or their loved ones. For example, the obsession is “the floor is dirty; me and my family will get sick and die”, the compulsion is repetitive cleaning.
Orderliness: the obsession is a fear of sitting with uncomfortable feelings, or to prevent harm coming to oneself or others. Objectively there appears to be no logical link between the obsession and compulsion. For example,” I won’t feel right if the jars aren’t lined up” or “harm will come to my family if I don’t line up all the jars”, so the compulsion is therefore lining up the jars.
Intrusive thoughts: the intrusive thought is usually highly distressing and repetitive. Common examples may include thoughts of perpetrating violence towards others, harming others, or questions over one’s character or deeds, usually in conflict with the person’s true values. An example would be: “I think I might hurt my family”, which in turn leads to the compulsion of avoiding social gatherings.
Hoarding: the intrusive thought is the overvaluing of objects or possessions, while the compulsion is stashing or hoarding these items and refusing to let them go. For example, “this newspaper may come in useful one day”, therefore, the compulsion is hoarding newspapers instead of discarding them the next day.
Source: Dr Robert Chandler, clinical psychologist at Lighthouse Arabia
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NBA FINALS SO FAR
(Toronto lead 3-2 in best-of-seven series)
Game 1 Raptors 118 Warriors 109
Game 2 Raptors 104 Warriors 109
Game 3 Warriors 109 Raptors 123
Game 4 Warriors 92 Raptors 105
Game 5 Raptors 105 Warriors 106
Game 6 Thursday, at Oakland
Game 7 Sunday, at Toronto (if needed)
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
THE SPECS
Engine: 1.5-litre
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Power: 110 horsepower
Torque: 147Nm
Price: From Dh59,700
On sale: now
The National Archives, Abu Dhabi
Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.
Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en
How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers
Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.
It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.
The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.
Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.
Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.
He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.
AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”
A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.
Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.
Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.
Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.
By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.
Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.
In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”
Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.
She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.
Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.
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AUSTRALIA SQUAD
Tim Paine (captain), Sean Abbott, Pat Cummins, Cameron Green, Marcus Harris, Josh Hazlewood, Travis Head, Moises Henriques, Marnus Labuschagne, Nathan Lyon, Michael Neser, James Pattinson, Will Pucovski, Steve Smith, Mitchell Starc, Mitchell Swepson, Matthew Wade, David Warner
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Results
Stage Two:
1. Mark Cavendish (GBR) QuickStep-AlphaVinyl 04:20:45
2. Jasper Philipsen (BEL) Alpecin-Fenix
3. Pascal Ackermann (GER) UAE Team Emirates
4. Olav Kooij (NED) Jumbo-Visma
5. Arnaud Demare (FRA) Groupama-FDJ
General Classification:
1. Jasper Philipsen (BEL) Alpecin-Fenix 09:03:03
2. Dmitry Strakhov (RUS) Gazprom-Rusvelo 00:00:04
3. Mark Cavendish (GBR) QuickStep-AlphaVinyl 00:00:06
4. Sam Bennett (IRL) Bora-Hansgrohe 00:00:10
5. Pascal Ackermann (GER) UAE Team Emirates 00:00:12