There is a famous photograph taken at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos thirty years ago.
It is of then South African president FW de Klerk and African National Congress leader Nelson Mandela. The two men, who would together dismantle apartheid in their country, are shaking hands in the grainy black-and-white image. A year later they would both win the Nobel Peace Prize.
Mandela gave a stirring speech at Davos in 1992. “Motivated by nothing other than the fact of our common humanity and informed by the realisation of the common destiny of the peoples of all continents, let us then do together what we can and must do together in the interests of all humanity, while each one of us also does what he or she must do in pursuit of their enlightened self-interest but recognising, in the end, that no man is an island,” he said.
Mandela was a leader bursting into the global consciousness, speaking of his determination to end apartheid and liberate his people “as a matter of urgency”. He also hoped to convince the international community to lift sanctions once an interim government was in place in South Africa. “We are as equally determined that this transformation should bring with it real changes in the material conditions of life of the people,” he said.
There have been other historic moments during an annual gathering of leaders and experts from the political and business worlds that has been held for more than 50 years in the snow-capped Swiss resort.
Getting key decision-makers in one location to work on solutions is more important than ever
In 1994, then Israeli foreign Minister Shimon Peres and Yasser Arafat, then chairman of the Palestinian Liberation Organisation, spontaneously joined hands to thunderous applause. Together with former Israeli prime minister Yitzhak Rabin, they received the Nobel Peace Prize that year. The Davos Declaration signed in 1988 by Greece and Turkey helped both countries pull back from the brink of conflict. In 1989, Hans Modrow and Helmut Kohl, leaders on either side of the Berlin Wall, met to discuss German reunification. In that same iteration, North and South Korea held their first ministerial-level meetings.
I have covered the meeting since 2018, the year then US president Donald Trump was a swirling vortex of attention, with even chief executives of global companies following him around the Congress Centre like star-struck teenagers. In 2019, Greta Thunberg, the Swedish climate change activist, delivered the immortal words: “Our house is on fire."
“At Davos, people like to talk about success, but financial success has come with a price tag, and on the climate we have failed. And unless we recognise the failures of our system, there will be unspoken suffering,” she said.
Two years ago, the Covid-19 pandemic was in its infancy but growing quickly, with experts in Davos talking about how an outbreak in the Chinese city of Wuhan might spread farther. Much of the theory discussed that week in January 2020 proved to be remarkably accurate. At the time, we did not quite understand that we were living through history being made.
This year, the first in-person annual meeting since then will definitely not have the snow-covered streets we have become used to, held next week as a kind of springtime Davos, given the pandemic-related delays that have been navigated. It already has the flavour of a landmark event, though. This year’s theme even underlines this feeling: "History at a Turning Point: Government Policies and Business Strategies.”
The world is facing a number of challenges, including the war in Ukraine, rising inflation and energy crises. Economies are only now beginning to recover from Covid-19, and as a recent spike in cases in China shows, we cannot take this trajectory for granted. There is also the lingering question of how we regulate Big Tech companies and handle innovation in a measured, productive way. Job creation and access to economic opportunity is as urgent as it was before the coronavirus hit.
The climate emergency is, of course, the biggest task facing the world, including the opportunities and risks brought about by the energy transition to a low-carbon future.
All these forces can only be effectively met through co-operation – international and between the public and private sectors. Getting many of the key decision-makers in one location to work on solutions is thus more important than ever.
European leaders expected to attend in person include Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who is scheduled to speak on Thursday. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol will be there. Ivory Coast Prime Minister Patrick Achi, Colombian President Ivan Duque, World Trade Organisation Director General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala and Rwandan President Paul Kagame are set to attend as well.
From the Middle East, attendees include the Egyptian Minister of International Co-operation, Rania Al Mashat, Majid Al Futtaim chief executive Alain Bejjani and a number of senior officials from the Gulf. Nadia Murad, co-founder of the Global Survivors Fund and the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize Laureate, is also expected to be there.
It will also be an important “Ukrainian moment”, the Forum said, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy due to speak virtually on Monday. Although a breakthrough for peace is unlikely, given that no Russian officials are invited to the meeting, Mr Zelenskyy has said it is an “especially important event” where post-war reconstruction will be discussed.
Ultimately, the defining moment of the meeting, perhaps, will be that it is happening at all. It could even mark a watershed for the return to the normality we crave after a disruptive couple of years.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Heather, the Totality
Matthew Weiner,
Canongate
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
The specs: Hyundai Ionic Hybrid
Price, base: Dh117,000 (estimate)
Engine: 1.6L four-cylinder, with 1.56kWh battery
Transmission: Six-speed automatic
Power: 105hp (engine), plus 43.5hp (battery)
Torque: 147Nm (engine), plus 170Nm (battery)
Fuel economy, combined: 3.4L / 100km
T10 Cricket League
Sharjah Cricket Stadium
December 14- 17
6pm, Opening ceremony, followed by:
Bengal Tigers v Kerala Kings
Maratha Arabians v Pakhtoons
Tickets available online at q-tickets.com/t10
BULKWHIZ PROFILE
Date started: February 2017
Founders: Amira Rashad (CEO), Yusuf Saber (CTO), Mahmoud Sayedahmed (adviser), Reda Bouraoui (adviser)
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: E-commerce
Size: 50 employees
Funding: approximately $6m
Investors: Beco Capital, Enabling Future and Wain in the UAE; China's MSA Capital; 500 Startups; Faith Capital and Savour Ventures in Kuwait
How to improve Arabic reading in early years
One 45-minute class per week in Standard Arabic is not sufficient
The goal should be for grade 1 and 2 students to become fluent readers
Subjects like technology, social studies, science can be taught in later grades
Grade 1 curricula should include oral instruction in Standard Arabic
First graders must regularly practice individual letters and combinations
Time should be slotted in class to read longer passages in early grades
Improve the appearance of textbooks
Revision of curriculum should be undertaken as per research findings
Conjugations of most common verb forms should be taught
Systematic learning of Standard Arabic grammar
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Electoral College Victory
Trump has so far secured 295 Electoral College votes, according to the Associated Press, exceeding the 270 needed to win. Only Nevada and Arizona remain to be called, and both swing states are leaning Republican. Trump swept all five remaining swing states, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, sealing his path to victory and giving him a strong mandate.
Popular Vote Tally
The count is ongoing, but Trump currently leads with nearly 51 per cent of the popular vote to Harris’s 47.6 per cent. Trump has over 72.2 million votes, while Harris trails with approximately 67.4 million.
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The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo
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On sale: now
Desert Warrior
Starring: Anthony Mackie, Aiysha Hart, Ben Kingsley
Director: Rupert Wyatt
Rating: 3/5
match info
Chelsea 2
Willian (13'), Ross Barkley (64')
Liverpool 0