Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli strike in Rafah, where millions of Palestinians are sheltering. AFP
Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli strike in Rafah, where millions of Palestinians are sheltering. AFP
Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli strike in Rafah, where millions of Palestinians are sheltering. AFP
Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli strike in Rafah, where millions of Palestinians are sheltering. AFP

UK condemns Israel's lack of 'credible plan' for Rafah civilians


Thomas Harding
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Live updates: Follow the latest on Israel-Gaza

The UK government has criticised Israel for not making clear “a credible plan to protect civilians” for the imminent invasion of Rafah.

Pressure is growing on Downing Street to condemn Israel’s looming offensive in southern Gaza where 1.4 million people live, with Labour opposition MPs suggesting on Tuesday that it would result in a civilian bloodbath.

“We're on the edge of witnessing a massacre, a mass murder of innocent men, women and children at the behest of fanatical zealots in the Israeli cabinet,” former shadow chancellor John McDonnell told parliament during an urgent question on Gaza.

Deputy Foreign Secretary Andrew Mitchell had told MPs that the government was “deeply concerned about the prospect of a military operation given the number of civilians sheltering,” in the strip.

He urged the Israel to allow “immediate uninterrupted humanitarian assistance to the south”, to “flood Gaza with aid” and ensure safe passage for civilians who wanted to leave Rafah.

“Yet we have not seen a credible plan to protect civilians,” he said.

The British government, along with the US, has consistently warned the Israelis that it would cross a red line if it launched an assault on Rafah.

But Israel moved its tanks taking over the Palestinian side of the crossing on Monday after ceasefire talks broke down with Hamas.

Downing Street was urged by the Council for Arab-British Understanding (Caabu) to “make clear its unequivocal opposition to what Israel is doing”.

“Caabu has been clear: there should be an immediate arms embargo on all weapons trade to and from Israel,” said the group, which promotes Middle East conflict resolution.

But Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was “ignoring the warnings of Israel's allies”, said David Lammy, the shadow foreign secretary, and “risks catastrophic consequences”.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu marking Holocaust remembrance day on Monday. AFP
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu marking Holocaust remembrance day on Monday. AFP

He added that “we are already seeing the consequences for civilians with air strikes in densely packed areas”, with more than 34,000 people killed in Gaza since the October 7 Hamas attacks in which 1,200 Israelis died.

Mr Lammy then asked: “Can the minister say why he thinks an attack on Rafah does not present a clear risk of a serious breach of international humanitarian law?”

Mr Mitchell responded that the government was “deeply concerned about the humanitarian position” reiterating that a clear plan was required to protect civilians.

Several MPs criticised the government’s failure to condemn outright Israel’s operation and cease arms supply to the country.

“A blind eye will be turned to the slaughter of tens of thousands of innocent civilians” if the government continued to make excuses for Israel’s actions, said Brendan O’Hara of the Scottish National Party.

There were widespread mutters of approval in the Commons when Mr McDonnell stated that the attack risked a massacre then urged the government to put Mr Netanyahu on legal notice.

“We need now this government to lead an international exercise to prevent this attack,’ he said. “But one way of preventing it is to make it clear to Netanyahu if this goes ahead, this government will pursue him as a war criminal into the international court.”

Conflict, drought, famine

Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.

Band Aid

Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
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Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Nepotism is the name of the game

Salman Khan’s father, Salim Khan, is one of Bollywood’s most legendary screenwriters. Through his partnership with co-writer Javed Akhtar, Salim is credited with having paved the path for the Indian film industry’s blockbuster format in the 1970s. Something his son now rules the roost of. More importantly, the Salim-Javed duo also created the persona of the “angry young man” for Bollywood megastar Amitabh Bachchan in the 1970s, reflecting the angst of the average Indian. In choosing to be the ordinary man’s “hero” as opposed to a thespian in new Bollywood, Salman Khan remains tightly linked to his father’s oeuvre. Thanks dad. 

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