Egypt has sent arms, military hardware and special forces to Somalia under the provisions of a military co-operation agreement the Arab League members signed earlier this month, security officials told The National on Thursday.
The move drew an angry response from Ethiopia, Somalia's neighbour and rival which is also at sharp odds with Egypt. It warned that it would not stand by “while other actors” destabilised the Horn of Africa region.
Egypt and Somalia have forged closer relations since landlocked Ethiopia signed a preliminary deal with the breakaway region of Somaliland earlier this year to lease coastal land in exchange for possible recognition of its independence from Somalia.
Somalia called the deal an assault on its sovereignty and said it would block it by all means necessary. It has also threatened to send home an estimated 10,000 Ethiopian troops there as part of a peacekeeping mission to fight Al Shabab militants, if the deal is not cancelled.
Egypt, which has said it intends to apply to join a new African Union peacekeeping force in Somalia next year, has been at loggerheads with Ethiopia for more than a decade. The main issue is the construction by Addis Ababa of a massive Nile dam that Cairo fears would cut Egypt's share of the river's water. The most populous Arab nation depends on the river for most of its fresh water supply.
Egypt, one of the world's driest nations, has said the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam threatens its existence. Ethiopia has repeatedly defended its right to build the dam, arguing that the $4.5 billion project was crucial to its development. It has also accused Egypt of meddling in its domestic affairs by helping secessionist rebels in its western Tigray region.
The security officials, who asked not to be identified, said two Egyptian military transport aircrafts arrived at Mogadishu airport on Tuesday with arms, ammunition and about 300 commandos from an army special forces unit.
Photos taken on Tuesday and shared online showed the two desert camouflaged aircraft and some of the troops, in full combat gear and standing in formation on the tarmac. The officials said it was the first batch of a group that would number in the low thousands, with a mandate to train and equip Somali army units and help protect key government facilities and officials.
By Thursday evening, said the officials, a total of eight Egyptian transport aircraft had landed at the airport since Tuesday, bringing more weapons and hardware. The number of commandos now on the ground in the Horn of Africa country has reachh 1,000.
There will also be future shipments of Egyptian-manufactured defence equipment, including armoured vehicles, rocket launchers, artillery, anti-tank missiles, radars and drones, the officials said. Some of that will come overland from an Egyptian military facility in neighbouring Djibouti, they said.
The establishment of a military mission in Somalia and Cairo's declared intention to contribute troops to a new peacekeeping force there would place Egyptian troops in dangerous proximity to Ethiopian forces across the border, a situation that could lead to hostilities.
Conflict between Ethiopia and Egypt would destabilise the Horn of Africa at a time when world powers are seeking calm in a region where they are vying for a foothold given the growing strategic value of its porous Red Sea coastline and fears of the Gaza war spreading into a regional conflict.
The Ethiopian Foreign Ministry said on Wednesday that the Horn of Africa was moving into uncharted waters and that it could not “stand idle while other actors are taking measures to destabilise the region”.
It said Ethiopia had worked to promote peace and security for Somalia and the region, including discussions to resolve differences with its neighbour.
“Instead of pursuing these efforts for peace, the government of Somalia is colluding with external actors aiming to destabilise the region,” the ministry said.
It did not mention Egypt or the arrival of Egyptian arms and troops in Somalia.
Egypt and Ethiopia have had more than 10 years of on-and-off negotiations without reaching an agreement over the Nile dam. They have frequently exchanged incendiary language and occasionally engaged in sabre-rattling as it became clear that a deal could not be reached.
The military co-operation deal signed on August 14 between Egypt and Somalia was the latest in a series of similar accords that Cairo has struck with Nile basin and Horn of Africa nations to flex its muscle and put pressure on Ethiopia to show flexibility over the Gerd dispute.
“In Egypt you have friends and brothers you can depend on,” President Abdel Fattah El Sisi told Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in August. It was the Somali leader's second visit to Egypt since January.
“Egypt will not allow anyone to threaten Somalia or compromise its security,” said Mr El Sisi. His nation's actions in Somalia fall within the boundaries of international law and the two nations are bound by the Arab League's joint defence pact, he added.
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
Ms Yang's top tips for parents new to the UAE
- Join parent networks
- Look beyond school fees
- Keep an open mind
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre four-cylinder turbo
Power: 268hp at 5,600rpm
Torque: 380Nm at 4,800rpm
Transmission: CVT auto
Fuel consumption: 9.5L/100km
On sale: now
Price: from Dh195,000
How to apply for a drone permit
- Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
- Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
- Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
- Submit their request
What are the regulations?
- Fly it within visual line of sight
- Never over populated areas
- Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
- Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
- Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
- Should have a live feed of the drone flight
- Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
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The Voice of Hind Rajab
Starring: Saja Kilani, Clara Khoury, Motaz Malhees
Director: Kaouther Ben Hania
Rating: 4/5
Get Out
Director: Jordan Peele
Stars: Daniel Kaluuya, Allison Williams, Catherine Keener, Bradley Whitford
Four stars
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Need to know
When: October 17 until November 10
Cost: Entry is free but some events require prior registration
Where: Various locations including National Theatre (Abu Dhabi), Abu Dhabi Cultural Center, Zayed University Promenade, Beach Rotana (Abu Dhabi), Vox Cinemas at Yas Mall, Sharjah Youth Center
What: The Korea Festival will feature art exhibitions, a B-boy dance show, a mini K-pop concert, traditional dance and music performances, food tastings, a beauty seminar, and more.
For more information: www.koreafestivaluae.com
Explainer: Tanween Design Programme
Non-profit arts studio Tashkeel launched this annual initiative with the intention of supporting budding designers in the UAE. This year, three talents were chosen from hundreds of applicants to be a part of the sixth creative development programme. These are architect Abdulla Al Mulla, interior designer Lana El Samman and graphic designer Yara Habib.
The trio have been guided by experts from the industry over the course of nine months, as they developed their own products that merge their unique styles with traditional elements of Emirati design. This includes laboratory sessions, experimental and collaborative practice, investigation of new business models and evaluation.
It is led by British contemporary design project specialist Helen Voce and mentor Kevin Badni, and offers participants access to experts from across the world, including the likes of UK designer Gareth Neal and multidisciplinary designer and entrepreneur, Sheikh Salem Al Qassimi.
The final pieces are being revealed in a worldwide limited-edition release on the first day of Downtown Designs at Dubai Design Week 2019. Tashkeel will be at stand E31 at the exhibition.
Lisa Ball-Lechgar, deputy director of Tashkeel, said: “The diversity and calibre of the applicants this year … is reflective of the dynamic change that the UAE art and design industry is witnessing, with young creators resolute in making their bold design ideas a reality.”
TRAP
Starring: Josh Hartnett, Saleka Shyamalan, Ariel Donaghue
Director: M Night Shyamalan
Rating: 3/5
Blackpink World Tour [Born Pink] In Cinemas
Starring: Rose, Jisoo, Jennie, Lisa
Directors: Min Geun, Oh Yoon-Dong
Rating: 3/5
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SPECS
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