The level of carcinogenic pollutants from diesel generators in Beirut's air has doubled since 2017, increasing the risk of developing cancer by 50 per cent, a study has found.
Lebanon has become overly dependent on costly and polluting diesel-powered generators since a devastating economic crisis in 2019 dealt the final blow to its already crumbling electricity sector.
Unable to afford the fuel for its power plants, state power company Electricite du Liban provides barely a couple of hours of electricity a day, leaving Lebanese reliant on privately owned generators that use polluting fossil fuels.
“We re-ran the test several times as we could not believe the results,” said Najat Saliba, an atmospheric chemist who led the study and shared its main findings with The National.
We re-ran the test several times as we could not believe the results
Najat Saliba,
atmospheric chemist who led the study
The soon-to-be-published study, led by scientists from the American University of Beirut, monitored three different locations in Beirut through the 2022-2023 year.
The results show that the concentration of highly carcinogenic materials in the air has doubled since the last time the study was conducted in 2017, before the economic crisis, from 0.66 nanograms per metre cube to 1.36 nanograms per metre cube over the year.
In one of the study areas, Makassed, the level of fine particulates - particles less than 2.5 microns in diameter - averaged 25 micrograms per cubic metre over two seasons.
World Health Organisation guidelines say annual fine particulate matter exposure should not exceed 5 micrograms per cubic metre.
Exposure to Beirut's polluted air is on par with smoking at least four cigarettes a day, Ms Saliba said.
Nasser Yassin, the Minister of Environment in Lebanon's caretaker government, said the findings were “extremely worrying” and that he planned to raise the issue at Cabinet meetings.
“The presence of this large number of generators and their use most of the time is an anomaly and should be reduced through better and cleaner sources of electricity,” Mr Yassin told The National.
In collaboration with the AUB research team, the environment ministry issued new and stricter guidelines for generator filters last autumn to reduce the pollutants emitted.
“We now request that the municipality apply it when they give generator approvals,” he said.
“It is being applied, but slowly.”
Surge in 'younger cancer patients'
The AUB team has conducted air quality tests for more than a decade, providing sufficient data to discern overarching trends.
“Our first study focusing on diesel generators and their contribution to airborne carcinogens dates back to 2010. This provides a solid reference for comparison in our current findings,” Ms Saliba said.
The new findings were even more surprising given that pollution levels had not increased dramatically until recently. This raises the question: what has changed?
Lebanon's dysfunctional electricity sector has always relied on private generators, which are technically illegal but tolerated as the only alternative to make up the shortfall from EDL's supply.
According to AUB research, the density of generators in Beirut remained stable over the years – averaging one for every two buildings, or around 9,300 generators.
But after the 2019 economic crisis, as the state's power supply shrank from 21 hours in Beirut to just a few hours a day, generators became the primary electricity provider.
As a result, the risk of developing cancer over a lifetime has risen by 50 cents since before the crisis, the study found.
“We calculate cancer risk based on the chemicals emitted from generator exhaust, including some classified as category 1A carcinogens,” Ms Saliba said.
According to WHO figures from 2020, lung cancer is the third most prevalent cancer in Lebanon, after bladder cancer and breast cancer.
Hani Nassar, president of the Barbara Nassar Association for Adult Cancer Patient Support, said he was not surprised by the AUB study's findings.
“We are seeing younger patients more than ever before.
“The government is not taking any action, whether it's prevention or ensuring access to medication,” he said.
Cancer patients have been significantly affected by the economic crisis, facing medication shortages and soaring prices for treatments, when they are available on the black market, as public healthcare services crumbled.
“Every month, we have 1,500 to 2,000 people requesting our services, either unable to afford their medication or because it's unavailable in the market,” Mr Nassar said.
An $1.6 billion financial bonanza
Experts say weak governance, corruption and mismanagement are the root of the power sector's problems.
Lebanon failed to invest in cleaner energy production when it had the opportunity as dollars flowed into a seemingly flourishing banking sector, which was later described as a Ponzi scheme after its complete collapse.
The state has not built power plants in decades or invested in renewable energy, despite several projects planned, which were ultimately hampered by clientelism interests and were unable to agree on profit sharing.
“Generators' health impacts are a crime against every citizen,” Marc Ayoub, an energy researcher at the AUB, said.
“Yet, it is ultimately the government's responsibility for failing to implement affordable, sustainable and green electricity instead of generators.”
He said there is now a minimal incentive to change the status quo given the financial bonanza it represents for the political elite, which has formed a “deep interlinkage” with the “generator market and fuel importers.”
“The stakes are high – we're looking at a diesel import market worth around $1.6 billion in 2023," Mr Ayoub said.
This is around 8 per cent of a shrinking GDP.
“We now need bold political moves to end this and invest in cleaner energy production,” he added.
Ms Saliba, who is also an independent MP, is advocating for “diesel generators' owners to comply with the law,” regarding filters.
But the long-term solution lies elsewhere.
“The government should step up, remove all these generators, and establish a national grid. They've allowed an irregular sector to thrive. It's costing us our lives.”
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How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE
When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
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Islamophobia definition
A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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%3Cp%3EThe%20%3Cem%3ESafer%3C%2Fem%3E%20has%20been%20moored%20off%20the%20Yemeni%20coast%20of%20Ras%20Issa%20since%201988.%3Cbr%3EThe%20Houthis%20have%20been%20blockading%20UN%20efforts%20to%20inspect%20and%20maintain%20the%20vessel%20since%202015%2C%20when%20the%20war%20between%20the%20group%20and%20the%20Yemen%20government%2C%20backed%20by%20the%20Saudi-led%20coalition%20began.%3Cbr%3ESince%20then%2C%20a%20handful%20of%20people%20acting%20as%20a%20%3Ca%20href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.ae%2Furl%3Fsa%3Dt%26rct%3Dj%26q%3D%26esrc%3Ds%26source%3Dweb%26cd%3D%26ved%3D2ahUKEwiw2OfUuKr4AhVBuKQKHTTzB7cQFnoECB4QAQ%26url%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.thenationalnews.com%252Fworld%252Fmena%252Fyemen-s-floating-bomb-tanker-millions-kept-safe-by-skeleton-crew-1.1104713%26usg%3DAOvVaw0t9FPiRsx7zK7aEYgc65Ad%22%20target%3D%22_self%22%3Eskeleton%20crew%3C%2Fa%3E%2C%20have%20performed%20rudimentary%20maintenance%20work%20to%20keep%20the%20%3Cem%3ESafer%3C%2Fem%3E%20intact.%3Cbr%3EThe%20%3Cem%3ESafer%3C%2Fem%3E%20is%20connected%20to%20a%20pipeline%20from%20the%20oil-rich%20city%20of%20Marib%2C%20and%20was%20once%20a%20hub%20for%20the%20storage%20and%20export%20of%20crude%20oil.%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EThe%20%3Cem%3ESafer%3C%2Fem%3E%E2%80%99s%20environmental%20and%20humanitarian%20impact%20may%20extend%20well%20beyond%20Yemen%2C%20experts%20believe%2C%20into%20the%20surrounding%20waters%20of%20Saudi%20Arabia%2C%20Djibouti%20and%20Eritrea%2C%20impacting%20marine-life%20and%20vital%20infrastructure%20like%20desalination%20plans%20and%20fishing%20ports.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
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