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Israel is insisting that Palestinians serving long jail terms or life in its prisons will have to go into exile if released as part of any deal with Hamas, according to sources familiar with Gaza truce negotiations.
They said Hamas wanted to swap female Israeli soldiers in its custody for 50 Palestinians each, of whom 30 must be high-profile Palestinians sentenced to life or lengthy jail terms in security-related cases.
Hamas is thought to hold five female Israeli soldiers, and it is therefore pushing for 250 detainees to be released, with 150 of them high-profile political prisoners.
According to the sources Israel has said it is willing to free just five Palestinians for each of the female soldiers.
Top of Hamas’s list is Marwan Barghouti, a popular leader of the mainstream Fatah faction sentenced to life in prison in 2004. Mr Barghouti is widely viewed as a possible successor to President Mahmoud Abbas, who is 88 years old.
Other names high on the list are Ibrahim Hamed, the commander of Hamas's military wing in the occupied West Bank, who has been held since 2006 and is serving 54 life sentences, and Ahmad Saadat, the secretary general of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine militant group.
Palestinian politicians have a long history of serving from exile as part of Israel's wider policy of expelling Palestinians and deporting their leaders.
For much of its history, the Palestine Liberation Organisation operated as the internationally recognised representative of Palestinians from abroad, first from Jordan, then from Lebanon and finally from Tunisia, until the signing of the Oslo Accords and the return of PLO officials to the West Bank in 1993.
Some of the most senior Hamas members still live in exile, including leaders Ismail Haniyeh and Khaled Mashaal, who currently live in Qatar. Others operate from Lebanon and Iran.
In 1992, Israel deported 417 Palestinian activists from militant Islamic groups including Hamas, to a no-man's land outside its then self-declared security zone in south Lebanon.
The war in Gaza, in which more than 32,000 Palestinians have been killed and tens of thousands injured, has reportedly exacerbated differences between Hamas's leadership in exile and those on the ground in Gaza.
The war is seen as having shifted power within the group towards the Gaza-based leadership led by Hamas's overall leader Yahya Sinwar and the commanders of its military wing, the Qassam Brigades.
They are thought to have been behind the decision to launch the October 7 attacks on Israel which sparked the current war, when militants killed about 1,200 people in southern Israel and took around 240 others hostage.
During a week-long truce in late November Hamas released 100 hostages in exchange for around 300 Palestinians imprisoned in Israel.
Of the estimated 130 hostages that remain, at least 30 are believed to have died in Hamas’s custody from Israel’s bombardment or lack of food and medicine.
The terms of a hostage and prisoner swap between Hamas and Israel have been among the core issues over which the two arch-enemies are at odds in the negotiations, mediated by the US, Egypt and Qatar.
According to the sources, Hamas is ready to release a first batch of about 40 women, elderly, minor and ailing hostages in exchange for between 1,000 and 1,500 Palestinians held in Israeli jails. Israel has said it is prepared to free at least 700 prisoners.
The remaining hostages, whose number include active-duty male Israeli soldiers, will be used by Hamas to secure freedom for an as-yet unspecified number of Palestinian prisoners. They are likely to be in the low thousands.
Hamas is also demanding that those released from Israeli jails include about 170 Palestinians who were re-arrested by Israel after their release in 2011 as part of a deal that freed an Israeli soldier Hamas had held for years.
An Israeli official quoted by Reuters this week said the US has made a “bridging proposal” for the number of Palestinian detainees to be released by Israel in exchange for every hostage freed by Hamas in any new Gaza truce.
“During the negotiations (in Doha), significant gaps came to light on the question of the ratio” of detainees to be released for each of the 40 hostages whose potential recovery is under discussion, said the official.
“The United States put a bridging proposal on the table, to which Israel responded positively. Hamas's response is pending,” added the official, who gave no further details.
Israel and Hamas are also at odds over the militant group’s demand that an initial six-week ceasefire proposed by the mediators be followed by a permanent cessation of hostilities and Israel's complete withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
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Abaya trends
The utilitarian robe held dear by Arab women is undergoing a change that reveals it as an elegant and graceful garment available in a range of colours and fabrics, while retaining its traditional appeal.
The National Archives, Abu Dhabi
Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.
Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en
Getting there
Flydubai flies direct from Dubai to Tbilisi from Dh1,025 return including taxes
Match info
Liverpool 4
Salah (19'), Mane (45 2', 53'), Sturridge (87')
West Ham United 0
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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if you go
The flights
Emirates offer flights to Buenos Aires from Dubai, via Rio De Janeiro from around Dh6,300. emirates.com
Seeing the games
Tangol sell experiences across South America and generally have good access to tickets for most of the big teams in Buenos Aires: Boca Juniors, River Plate, and Independiente. Prices from Dh550 and include pick up and drop off from your hotel in the city. tangol.com
Staying there
Tangol will pick up tourists from any hotel in Buenos Aires, but after the intensity of the game, the Faena makes for tranquil, upmarket accommodation. Doubles from Dh1,110. faena.com
THE BIO
Family: I have three siblings, one older brother (age 25) and two younger sisters, 20 and 13
Favourite book: Asking for my favourite book has to be one of the hardest questions. However a current favourite would be Sidewalk by Mitchell Duneier
Favourite place to travel to: Any walkable city. I also love nature and wildlife
What do you love eating or cooking: I’m constantly in the kitchen. Ever since I changed the way I eat I enjoy choosing and creating what goes into my body. However, nothing can top home cooked food from my parents.
Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.
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The five pillars of Islam
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Director: Laxman Utekar
Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna
Rating: 1/5
The Bio
Hometown: Bogota, Colombia
Favourite place to relax in UAE: the desert around Al Mleiha in Sharjah or the eastern mangroves in Abu Dhabi
The one book everyone should read: 100 Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez. It will make your mind fly
Favourite documentary: Chasing Coral by Jeff Orlowski. It's a good reality check about one of the most valued ecosystems for humanity
Essentials
The flights: You can fly from the UAE to Iceland with one stop in Europe with a variety of airlines. Return flights with Emirates from Dubai to Stockholm, then Icelandair to Reykjavik, cost from Dh4,153 return. The whole trip takes 11 hours. British Airways flies from Abu Dhabi and Dubai to Reykjavik, via London, with return flights taking 12 hours and costing from Dh2,490 return, including taxes.
The activities: A half-day Silfra snorkelling trip costs 14,990 Icelandic kronur (Dh544) with Dive.is. Inside the Volcano also takes half a day and costs 42,000 kronur (Dh1,524). The Jokulsarlon small-boat cruise lasts about an hour and costs 9,800 kronur (Dh356). Into the Glacier costs 19,500 kronur (Dh708). It lasts three to four hours.
The tours: It’s often better to book a tailor-made trip through a specialist operator. UK-based Discover the World offers seven nights, self-driving, across the island from £892 (Dh4,505) per person. This includes three nights’ accommodation at Hotel Husafell near Into the Glacier, two nights at Hotel Ranga and two nights at the Icelandair Hotel Klaustur. It includes car rental, plus an iPad with itinerary and tourist information pre-loaded onto it, while activities can be booked as optional extras. More information inspiredbyiceland.com
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets